💡 Click any month cell below to break it down year-by-year.
💡 Click any week cell to break it down year-by-year.
💡 Click any weekday cell to break it down year-by-year.
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Jan — script -0.21σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Jan residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.30σ
2025-0.26σ
2024-0.07σ
2023-0.30σ
2022-0.15σ
2021-0.24σ
2020-0.16σ
2019-0.20σ
2018-0.00σ
2017+0.12σ
2016-0.39σ
2015+0.13σ
2014-0.29σ
2013-0.09σ
2012+0.35σ
2011-0.63σ
2010-0.34σ
2009-0.28σ
2008-1.02σ
2007-0.11σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Jan: -0.21σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Jan at least this cold turns up 5.5% of the time — so the 15% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Feb — script -0.23σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Feb residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.12σ
2025-0.55σ
2024-0.04σ
2023-0.28σ
2022-0.31σ
2021+0.25σ
2020-0.47σ
2019-0.15σ
2018-0.38σ
2017+0.09σ
2016-0.48σ
2015-0.08σ
2014+0.01σ
2013-0.43σ
2012+0.05σ
2011-0.32σ
2010-0.18σ
2009-0.34σ
2008-0.20σ
2007-0.67σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Feb: -0.23σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Feb at least this cold turns up 6.0% of the time — so the 20% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Mar — script -0.14σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Mar residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.84σ
2025+0.27σ
2024-0.05σ
2023-0.10σ
2022+0.07σ
2021-0.07σ
2020-1.35σ
2019+0.28σ
2018-0.32σ
2017+0.02σ
2016+0.35σ
2015-0.32σ
2014+0.20σ
2013-0.17σ
2012-0.18σ
2011+0.18σ
2010-0.01σ
2009+0.19σ
2008-0.86σ
2007-0.17σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Mar: -0.14σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Mar at least this cold turns up 30.9% of the time — so the 40% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: M-FYEND · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Apr — script +0.06σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Apr residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.40σ
2025+0.07σ
2024+0.02σ
2023+0.14σ
2022-0.18σ
2021-0.11σ
2020+0.71σ
2019-0.12σ
2018+0.18σ
2017+0.00σ
2016-0.03σ
2015-0.30σ
2014-0.11σ
2013+0.06σ
2012-0.18σ
2011-0.19σ
2010-0.13σ
2009+0.58σ
2008+0.23σ
2007+0.10σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Apr: +0.06σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Apr at least this hot turns up 80.6% of the time — so the 55% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · May — script -0.05σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's May residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.15σ
2025+0.01σ
2024-0.11σ
2023+0.03σ
2022-0.33σ
2021+0.21σ
2020-0.24σ
2019-0.06σ
2018-0.20σ
2017-0.04σ
2016+0.02σ
2015+0.03σ
2014+0.26σ
2013-0.10σ
2012-0.38σ
2011-0.26σ
2010-0.28σ
2009+1.11σ
2008-0.56σ
2007-0.00σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis May: -0.05σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a May at least this cold turns up 82.1% of the time — so the 35% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Jun — script -0.12σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Jun residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.08σ
2025+0.04σ
2024+0.25σ
2023+0.06σ
2022-0.38σ
2021-0.06σ
2020+0.24σ
2019-0.20σ
2018-0.18σ
2017-0.15σ
2016-0.04σ
2015-0.17σ
2014+0.12σ
2013-0.28σ
2012+0.13σ
2011-0.13σ
2010-0.01σ
2009-0.27σ
2008-1.15σ
2007-0.18σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Jun: -0.12σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Jun at least this cold turns up 47.3% of the time — so the 30% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Jul — script -0.03σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Jul residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.03σ
2025-0.29σ
2024+0.08σ
2023+0.04σ
2022+0.33σ
2021-0.09σ
2020+0.18σ
2019-0.41σ
2018+0.12σ
2017+0.13σ
2016+0.10σ
2015-0.02σ
2014-0.10σ
2013-0.24σ
2012-0.17σ
2011-0.27σ
2010-0.11σ
2009+0.15σ
2008+0.12σ
2007-0.06σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Jul: -0.03σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Jul at least this cold turns up 94.0% of the time — so the 45% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Aug — script -0.14σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Aug residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.15σ
2025-0.24σ
2024-0.08σ
2023-0.20σ
2022+0.10σ
2021+0.23σ
2020+0.03σ
2019-0.16σ
2018+0.03σ
2017-0.18σ
2016-0.04σ
2015-0.40σ
2014+0.00σ
2013-0.35σ
2012-0.13σ
2011-0.52σ
2010-0.13σ
2009-0.09σ
2008-0.20σ
2007-0.32σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Aug: -0.14σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Aug at least this cold turns up 26.4% of the time — so the 25% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Sep — script -0.11σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Sep residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.48σ
2025-0.08σ
2024-0.02σ
2023-0.01σ
2022-0.30σ
2021+0.03σ
2020-0.15σ
2019+0.09σ
2018-0.60σ
2017-0.18σ
2016-0.19σ
2015-0.15σ
2014-0.10σ
2013+0.10σ
2012+0.23σ
2011-0.22σ
2010+0.20σ
2009+0.13σ
2008-0.80σ
2007+0.34σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Sep: -0.11σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Sep at least this cold turns up 51.2% of the time — so the 35% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Oct — script -0.18σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Oct residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-1.19σ
2025+0.10σ
2024-0.48σ
2023-0.28σ
2022+0.11σ
2021-0.12σ
2020+0.02σ
2019+0.07σ
2018-0.33σ
2017+0.16σ
2016-0.08σ
2015-0.06σ
2014+0.09σ
2013+0.26σ
2012-0.19σ
2011+0.12σ
2010-0.15σ
2009-0.44σ
2008-1.62σ
2007+0.41σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Oct: -0.18σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Oct at least this cold turns up 35.8% of the time — so the 45% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Nov — script -0.10σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Nov residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.05σ
2024-0.13σ
2023+0.20σ
2022+0.04σ
2021-0.30σ
2020+0.46σ
2019-0.06σ
2018+0.08σ
2017-0.14σ
2016-0.36σ
2015-0.19σ
2014+0.05σ
2013-0.19σ
2012+0.08σ
2011-0.58σ
2010-0.29σ
2009+0.15σ
2008-0.47σ
2007-0.21σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Nov: -0.10σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Nov at least this cold turns up 49.8% of the time — so the 37% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Dec — script -0.05σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Dec residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.15σ
2024-0.22σ
2023+0.30σ
2022-0.29σ
2021-0.03σ
2020+0.22σ
2019-0.10σ
2018-0.11σ
2017+0.04σ
2016-0.18σ
2015-0.11σ
2014-0.22σ
2013-0.03σ
2012-0.08σ
2011-0.38σ
2010-0.04σ
2009-0.00σ
2008+0.19σ
2007+0.18σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Dec: -0.05σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Dec at least this cold turns up 82.1% of the time — so the 26% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: M-YEAREND · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 1 — year by year — script +0.10σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 1 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.42σ
2025+0.21σ
2024-0.10σ
2023-0.38σ
2022+0.38σ
2021+0.48σ
2020+0.07σ
2019-0.44σ
2018+0.01σ
2017+0.11σ
2016-0.91σ
2015+0.48σ
2014-0.12σ
2013+0.15σ
2012+0.20σ
2011-0.84σ
2010+0.09σ
2009+1.33σ
2008+0.62σ
2007+0.14σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 1: +0.10σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 1 at least this hot turns up 82.1% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 2 — year by year — script -0.27σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 2 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.70σ
2025-0.97σ
2024+0.03σ
2023-0.02σ
2022+0.38σ
2021-0.10σ
2020-0.06σ
2019-0.03σ
2018+0.05σ
2017+0.26σ
2016-0.73σ
2015-0.36σ
2014-0.27σ
2013-0.37σ
2012+0.41σ
2011-0.84σ
2010+0.02σ
2009-1.42σ
2008-0.71σ
2007-0.02σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 2: -0.27σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 2 at least this cold turns up 12.9% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 3 — year by year — script -0.21σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 3 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.10σ
2025-0.23σ
2024-0.29σ
2023-0.10σ
2022-0.89σ
2021-0.26σ
2020+0.13σ
2019-0.01σ
2018+0.06σ
2017-0.21σ
2016-0.22σ
2015+0.37σ
2014-0.00σ
2013+0.12σ
2012+0.44σ
2011-0.06σ
2010-0.74σ
2009-0.40σ
2008-1.77σ
2007-0.04σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 3: -0.21σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 3 at least this cold turns up 21.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 4 — year by year — script -0.41σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 4 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.82σ
2025-0.43σ
2024-0.53σ
2023-0.95σ
2022-0.91σ
2021-1.43σ
2020-0.21σ
2019-0.43σ
2018+0.15σ
2017+0.71σ
2016+0.32σ
2015+0.44σ
2014-0.14σ
2013-0.20σ
2012+0.56σ
2011-0.92σ
2010-0.86σ
2009-1.08σ
2008-1.40σ
2007-0.02σ
Why this reads grey — the subtle one
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 4: -0.41σ
On its own this looks strong: a random reshuffle beats it only 2.5% of the time. But it is 1 of 53 weeks tested for Nifty 200; correct for looking at all 53 (dependency-safe Benjamini–Hochberg–Yekutieli) and it no longer stands. Strong in isolation ≠ surviving the look across the whole calendar — — up, still grey.
mechanism: M-BUDGET-RUNUP · gates: fdr-fail
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 5 — year by year — script -0.05σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 5 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.26σ
2025+0.14σ
2024+0.40σ
2023-0.02σ
2022+0.39σ
2021+1.66σ
2020-1.00σ
2019+0.03σ
2018-0.89σ
2017+0.15σ
2016-0.30σ
2015-0.15σ
2014-0.60σ
2013-0.30σ
2012+0.29σ
2011-0.49σ
2010-0.44σ
2009+1.22σ
2008-0.71σ
2007-0.04σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 5: -0.05σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 5 at least this cold turns up 68.7% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: M-BUDGET-RUNUP · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 6 — year by year — script -0.20σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 6 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.69σ
2025-0.07σ
2024-0.06σ
2023-0.07σ
2022-0.35σ
2021+0.23σ
2020+0.74σ
2019-0.14σ
2018-0.55σ
2017+0.02σ
2016-1.46σ
2015-0.58σ
2014-0.16σ
2013-0.46σ
2012+0.12σ
2011-0.51σ
2010+0.11σ
2009-0.35σ
2008-0.82σ
2007-0.29σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 6: -0.20σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 6 at least this cold turns up 28.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: M-BUDGET-DAY · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,variance
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 7 — year by year — script -0.09σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 7 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.28σ
2025-1.03σ
2024+0.12σ
2023-0.12σ
2022-0.33σ
2021-0.28σ
2020-0.20σ
2019-0.60σ
2018-0.17σ
2017-0.08σ
2016+0.43σ
2015+0.24σ
2014-0.21σ
2013-0.26σ
2012+0.47σ
2011+0.34σ
2010-0.23σ
2009+0.48σ
2008+0.39σ
2007-0.54σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 7: -0.09σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 7 at least this cold turns up 65.2% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 8 — year by year — script -0.39σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 8 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.04σ
2025-0.12σ
2024+0.03σ
2023-0.67σ
2022-0.83σ
2021-0.63σ
2020-0.14σ
2019+0.07σ
2018-0.08σ
2017+0.17σ
2016-0.59σ
2015-0.04σ
2014+0.19σ
2013-0.24σ
2012-0.73σ
2011-0.69σ
2010-0.05σ
2009-1.36σ
2008-0.89σ
2007-1.17σ
Why this reads grey — the subtle one
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 8: -0.39σ
On its own this looks strong: a random reshuffle beats it only 1.5% of the time. But it is 1 of 53 weeks tested for Nifty 200; correct for looking at all 53 (dependency-safe Benjamini–Hochberg–Yekutieli) and it no longer stands. Strong in isolation ≠ surviving the look across the whole calendar — — up, still grey.
mechanism: — · gates: fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 9 — year by year — script -0.16σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 9 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.38σ
2025-1.17σ
2024-0.02σ
2023+0.08σ
2022-0.71σ
2021+0.48σ
2020-1.70σ
2019+0.10σ
2018-0.22σ
2017-0.23σ
2016+1.09σ
2015-0.05σ
2014+0.29σ
2013-0.58σ
2012-0.23σ
2011+0.74σ
2010+0.48σ
2009-0.07σ
2008+0.07σ
2007-1.16σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 9: -0.16σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 9 at least this cold turns up 39.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 10 — year by year — script -0.27σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 10 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.96σ
2025+0.41σ
2024-0.03σ
2023-0.31σ
2022+0.38σ
2021-0.04σ
2020-0.50σ
2019+0.33σ
2018-0.63σ
2017-0.09σ
2016-0.07σ
2015+0.04σ
2014+0.55σ
2013+0.49σ
2012-0.21σ
2011-0.41σ
2010-0.23σ
2009-1.05σ
2008-2.70σ
2007-0.44σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 10: -0.27σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 10 at least this cold turns up 14.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 11 — year by year — script -0.32σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 11 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-1.28σ
2025-0.43σ
2024-0.72σ
2023-0.48σ
2022+0.80σ
2021-0.56σ
2020-2.67σ
2019+0.53σ
2018-0.10σ
2017+0.56σ
2016+0.08σ
2015-0.91σ
2014-0.20σ
2013-0.37σ
2012-0.18σ
2011-0.35σ
2010+0.10σ
2009+0.73σ
2008-0.35σ
2007-0.62σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 11: -0.32σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 11 at least this cold turns up 5.5% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 12 — year by year — script -0.25σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 12 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.18σ
2025+0.98σ
2024+0.03σ
2023-0.32σ
2022-0.25σ
2021-0.41σ
2020-2.69σ
2019-0.11σ
2018-0.55σ
2017-0.21σ
2016+0.37σ
2015-0.38σ
2014-0.05σ
2013-0.87σ
2012-0.23σ
2011+0.62σ
2010-0.21σ
2009+0.41σ
2008-1.88σ
2007+0.91σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 12: -0.25σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 12 at least this cold turns up 22.9% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 13 — year by year — script +0.20σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 13 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.53σ
2025-0.03σ
2024+0.34σ
2023+0.40σ
2022+0.48σ
2021+0.78σ
2020-0.27σ
2019+0.22σ
2018+0.30σ
2017+0.05σ
2016-0.08σ
2015-0.61σ
2014+0.44σ
2013+0.08σ
2012-0.05σ
2011+0.37σ
2010-0.05σ
2009+1.39σ
2008+1.33σ
2007-0.46σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 13: +0.20σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 13 at least this hot turns up 22.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 14 — year by year — script -0.15σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 14 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.30σ
2025-0.83σ
2024+0.25σ
2023+0.32σ
2022+0.19σ
2021-0.07σ
2020-1.58σ
2019-0.08σ
2018+0.43σ
2017+0.01σ
2016-0.45σ
2015+0.76σ
2014-0.05σ
2013-0.46σ
2012+0.10σ
2011-0.04σ
2010+0.06σ
2009+0.59σ
2008-1.30σ
2007-0.60σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 14: -0.15σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 14 at least this cold turns up 34.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 15 — year by year — script +0.31σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 15 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+1.34σ
2025-0.19σ
2024-0.12σ
2023+0.22σ
2022-0.62σ
2021-0.56σ
2020+4.12σ
2019-0.16σ
2018+0.10σ
2017-0.17σ
2016+1.01σ
2015+0.33σ
2014+0.20σ
2013-0.19σ
2012-0.50σ
2011-0.19σ
2010-0.49σ
2009+1.11σ
2008+0.35σ
2007+0.54σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 15: +0.31σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 15 at least this hot turns up 14.9% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 16 — year by year — script +0.12σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 16 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.45σ
2025+1.48σ
2024-0.64σ
2023-0.30σ
2022-0.47σ
2021-0.57σ
2020+0.42σ
2019+0.12σ
2018+0.04σ
2017-0.14σ
2016+0.05σ
2015-0.62σ
2014-0.16σ
2013+0.76σ
2012+0.09σ
2011-0.01σ
2010-0.07σ
2009+0.39σ
2008+1.05σ
2007+0.46σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 16: +0.12σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 16 at least this hot turns up 66.7% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 17 — year by year — script -0.07σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 17 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.47σ
2025+0.05σ
2024+0.29σ
2023+0.40σ
2022-0.25σ
2021+0.30σ
2020-0.43σ
2019-0.21σ
2018+0.10σ
2017+0.27σ
2016-0.23σ
2015-0.81σ
2014-0.06σ
2013+0.19σ
2012-0.39σ
2011-0.52σ
2010-0.17σ
2009+0.34σ
2008+0.37σ
2007-0.16σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 17: -0.07σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 17 at least this cold turns up 66.2% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 18 — year by year — script -0.16σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 18 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.03σ
2025+0.13σ
2024+0.04σ
2023-0.04σ
2022-1.25σ
2021+0.19σ
2020+1.72σ
2019-0.34σ
2018-0.41σ
2017-0.19σ
2016-0.38σ
2015-0.41σ
2014-0.41σ
2013+0.20σ
2012-0.62σ
2011-0.74σ
2010-0.84σ
2009-0.40σ
2008+0.42σ
2007+0.15σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 18: -0.16σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 18 at least this cold turns up 33.8% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 19 — year by year — script -0.27σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 19 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.22σ
2025-0.47σ
2024-0.60σ
2023+0.14σ
2022-1.10σ
2021-0.35σ
2020-1.37σ
2019-0.88σ
2018+0.07σ
2017+0.12σ
2016+0.08σ
2015-0.17σ
2014+0.27σ
2013+0.23σ
2012-0.65σ
2011-0.13σ
2010+0.10σ
2009+0.64σ
2008-1.21σ
2007-0.42σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 19: -0.27σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 19 at least this cold turns up 10.9% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 20 — year by year — script +0.04σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 20 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.65σ
2025+0.99σ
2024+0.39σ
2023-0.24σ
2022+0.52σ
2021+0.61σ
2020-0.26σ
2019+0.01σ
2018-0.57σ
2017-0.20σ
2016-0.32σ
2015+0.15σ
2014+0.79σ
2013+0.12σ
2012-0.29σ
2011-0.37σ
2010-0.72σ
2009+0.08σ
2008+0.39σ
2007+0.47σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 20: +0.04σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 20 at least this hot turns up 79.1% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 21 — year by year — script +0.16σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 21 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.00σ
2025-0.26σ
2024+0.37σ
2023+0.28σ
2022-0.11σ
2021+0.18σ
2020-0.35σ
2019+0.72σ
2018-0.10σ
2017+0.09σ
2016+0.74σ
2015+0.33σ
2014+0.55σ
2013-0.73σ
2012-0.04σ
2011-0.16σ
2010+0.18σ
2009+2.79σ
2008-1.18σ
2007-0.10σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 21: +0.16σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 21 at least this hot turns up 33.8% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 22 — year by year — script +0.01σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 22 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.15σ
2025-0.17σ
2024-0.54σ
2023-0.02σ
2022+0.13σ
2021+0.30σ
2020+1.33σ
2019+0.03σ
2018-0.02σ
2017+0.03σ
2016+0.00σ
2015-0.14σ
2014-0.49σ
2013-0.14σ
2012-0.38σ
2011+0.01σ
2010+0.13σ
2009+0.94σ
2008-0.70σ
2007-0.02σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 22: +0.01σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 22 at least this hot turns up 100.0% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 23 — year by year — script -0.08σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 23 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.36σ
2025+0.18σ
2024+0.62σ
2023-0.07σ
2022-0.58σ
2021+0.10σ
2020+1.08σ
2019-0.29σ
2018+0.03σ
2017-0.04σ
2016-0.20σ
2015-0.83σ
2014+0.81σ
2013-0.38σ
2012+0.58σ
2011-0.23σ
2010-0.19σ
2009+0.39σ
2008-1.27σ
2007-0.92σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 23: -0.08σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 23 at least this cold turns up 67.7% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 24 — year by year — script -0.27σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 24 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.03σ
2025-0.41σ
2024+0.22σ
2023+0.24σ
2022-1.34σ
2021-0.40σ
2020-0.40σ
2019-0.25σ
2018-0.07σ
2017-0.25σ
2016-0.12σ
2015-0.46σ
2014-0.32σ
2013-0.47σ
2012+0.04σ
2011-0.50σ
2010+0.19σ
2009-0.30σ
2008-0.71σ
2007-0.11σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 24: -0.27σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 24 at least this cold turns up 12.9% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 25 — year by year — script -0.12σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 25 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.35σ
2025+0.08σ
2024-0.13σ
2023-0.35σ
2022+0.42σ
2021+0.10σ
2020+0.37σ
2019-0.30σ
2018-0.19σ
2017-0.24σ
2016-0.30σ
2015+0.44σ
2014-0.20σ
2013-0.55σ
2012-0.07σ
2011+0.02σ
2010-0.09σ
2009-1.10σ
2008-0.93σ
2007+0.19σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 25: -0.12σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 25 at least this cold turns up 49.8% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 26 — year by year — script +0.03σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 26 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.17σ
2025+0.36σ
2024+0.22σ
2023+0.58σ
2022-0.04σ
2021-0.27σ
2020+0.23σ
2019+0.03σ
2018-0.39σ
2017-0.19σ
2016+0.52σ
2015+0.19σ
2014-0.03σ
2013+0.27σ
2012+0.31σ
2011+0.32σ
2010-0.20σ
2009+0.14σ
2008-1.36σ
2007+0.07σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 26: +0.03σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 26 at least this hot turns up 92.5% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 27 — year by year — script +0.03σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 27 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.03σ
2025-0.23σ
2024+0.23σ
2023+0.03σ
2022+0.54σ
2021-0.10σ
2020+0.25σ
2019-0.11σ
2018-0.06σ
2017+0.20σ
2016-0.10σ
2015+0.11σ
2014+0.48σ
2013-0.04σ
2012+0.05σ
2011-0.05σ
2010+0.17σ
2009+0.07σ
2008-0.93σ
2007-0.01σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 27: +0.03σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 27 at least this hot turns up 90.5% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 28 — year by year — script -0.16σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 28 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.10σ
2025-0.42σ
2024+0.00σ
2023+0.11σ
2022-0.21σ
2021+0.16σ
2020+0.16σ
2019-0.57σ
2018+0.23σ
2017+0.27σ
2016+0.32σ
2015-0.39σ
2014-0.95σ
2013+0.24σ
2012-0.40σ
2011-0.33σ
2010-0.04σ
2009-1.70σ
2008+0.10σ
2007+0.31σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 28: -0.16σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 28 at least this cold turns up 34.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 29 — year by year — script +0.03σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 29 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.13σ
2025-0.20σ
2024-0.34σ
2023+0.03σ
2022+0.69σ
2021-0.24σ
2020+0.09σ
2019-0.44σ
2018-0.23σ
2017-0.07σ
2016-0.06σ
2015+0.42σ
2014+0.41σ
2013-0.12σ
2012-0.22σ
2011-0.06σ
2010-0.04σ
2009+1.33σ
2008-0.17σ
2007-0.05σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 29: +0.03σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 29 at least this hot turns up 88.1% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 30 — year by year — script -0.08σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 30 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.54σ
2025-0.34σ
2024+0.26σ
2023-0.10σ
2022+0.38σ
2021-0.20σ
2020+0.34σ
2019-0.37σ
2018+0.48σ
2017+0.06σ
2016+0.13σ
2015-0.33σ
2014+0.04σ
2013-0.61σ
2012-0.54σ
2011-0.64σ
2010-0.35σ
2009+0.50σ
2008+1.03σ
2007-0.79σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 30: -0.08σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 30 at least this cold turns up 64.2% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 31 — year by year — script -0.14σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 31 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.42σ
2025-0.44σ
2024-0.17σ
2023-0.23σ
2022+0.19σ
2021+0.37σ
2020-0.26σ
2019-0.67σ
2018+0.08σ
2017-0.03σ
2016-0.03σ
2015-0.07σ
2014-0.55σ
2013-0.88σ
2012+0.28σ
2011-0.97σ
2010+0.06σ
2009+0.15σ
2008+0.33σ
2007-0.34σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 31: -0.14σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 31 at least this cold turns up 41.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 32 — year by year — script -0.17σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 32 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.07σ
2025-0.34σ
2024-0.41σ
2023-0.19σ
2022+0.32σ
2021+0.10σ
2020+0.20σ
2019+0.11σ
2018-0.04σ
2017-0.88σ
2016-0.15σ
2015+0.04σ
2014-0.23σ
2013-0.47σ
2012+0.11σ
2011-0.57σ
2010-0.08σ
2009-0.62σ
2008+0.28σ
2007-0.56σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 32: -0.17σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 32 at least this cold turns up 28.9% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 33 — year by year — script -0.20σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 33 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.24σ
2025+0.17σ
2024+0.04σ
2023-0.30σ
2022+0.04σ
2021-0.29σ
2020-0.12σ
2019-0.34σ
2018-0.01σ
2017+0.31σ
2016-0.00σ
2015-0.28σ
2014+0.43σ
2013-0.29σ
2012+0.04σ
2011-1.18σ
2010+0.08σ
2009+0.22σ
2008-0.73σ
2007-1.47σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 33: -0.20σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 33 at least this cold turns up 26.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 34 — year by year — script -0.18σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 34 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.23σ
2025+0.13σ
2024+0.15σ
2023-0.09σ
2022-0.30σ
2021+0.24σ
2020+0.28σ
2019-0.57σ
2018+0.09σ
2017-0.11σ
2016-0.30σ
2015-0.55σ
2014+0.23σ
2013-0.30σ
2012-0.12σ
2011-0.50σ
2010-0.52σ
2009-0.37σ
2008-0.75σ
2007-0.04σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 34: -0.18σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 34 at least this cold turns up 27.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 35 — year by year — script +0.14σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 35 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.15σ
2025-0.74σ
2024+0.17σ
2023+0.13σ
2022-0.06σ
2021+0.70σ
2020+0.34σ
2019+0.30σ
2018+0.14σ
2017+0.18σ
2016+0.33σ
2015-0.78σ
2014-0.09σ
2013-0.17σ
2012-0.51σ
2011+1.48σ
2010+0.12σ
2009+0.53σ
2008-0.11σ
2007+0.99σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 35: +0.14σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 35 at least this hot turns up 48.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 36 — year by year — script -0.07σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 36 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.43σ
2025+0.21σ
2024-0.42σ
2023+0.36σ
2022+0.21σ
2021-0.03σ
2020-0.70σ
2019-0.31σ
2018-0.36σ
2017-0.15σ
2016+0.08σ
2015-0.62σ
2014+0.24σ
2013+0.50σ
2012+0.14σ
2011-0.06σ
2010+0.35σ
2009-0.29σ
2008-0.24σ
2007+0.10σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 36: -0.07σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 36 at least this cold turns up 71.1% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 37 — year by year — script -0.02σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 37 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.54σ
2025+0.22σ
2024+0.30σ
2023+0.15σ
2022-0.44σ
2021+0.14σ
2020+0.06σ
2019+0.22σ
2018-0.32σ
2017+0.19σ
2016-0.40σ
2015-0.24σ
2014+0.01σ
2013+0.54σ
2012+0.43σ
2011-0.12σ
2010+0.37σ
2009+0.17σ
2008-0.86σ
2007-0.16σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 37: -0.02σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 37 at least this cold turns up 93.0% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 38 — year by year — script -0.05σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 38 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.17σ
2025+0.12σ
2024+0.15σ
2023-0.75σ
2022-0.39σ
2021+0.12σ
2020+0.04σ
2019+0.33σ
2018-1.07σ
2017-0.44σ
2016+0.03σ
2015+0.33σ
2014-0.15σ
2013+0.33σ
2012+0.39σ
2011-0.82σ
2010+0.10σ
2009+0.39σ
2008-0.51σ
2007+0.95σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 38: -0.05σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 38 at least this cold turns up 81.1% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 39 — year by year — script -0.35σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 39 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.37σ
2025-0.84σ
2024+0.17σ
2023-0.13σ
2022-0.45σ
2021-0.42σ
2020-0.99σ
2019+0.24σ
2018-0.70σ
2017-0.45σ
2016-0.54σ
2015-0.39σ
2014-0.53σ
2013-0.57σ
2012+0.02σ
2011-0.02σ
2010+0.12σ
2009-0.20σ
2008-1.33σ
2007+0.46σ
Why this reads grey — the subtle one
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 39: -0.35σ
On its own this looks strong: a random reshuffle beats it only 4.0% of the time. But it is 1 of 53 weeks tested for Nifty 200; correct for looking at all 53 (dependency-safe Benjamini–Hochberg–Yekutieli) and it no longer stands. Strong in isolation ≠ surviving the look across the whole calendar — — up, still grey.
mechanism: — · gates: fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 40 — year by year — script -0.20σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 40 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-1.08σ
2025+0.21σ
2024-1.29σ
2023-0.14σ
2022+0.22σ
2021+0.33σ
2020+0.75σ
2019-0.97σ
2018-1.54σ
2017+0.37σ
2016+0.17σ
2015+0.16σ
2014-0.17σ
2013+0.16σ
2012+0.05σ
2011-0.50σ
2010-0.17σ
2009+0.38σ
2008-1.29σ
2007+0.44σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 40: -0.20σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 40 at least this cold turns up 32.8% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 41 — year by year — script -0.15σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 41 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.20σ
2024-0.09σ
2023-0.01σ
2022-0.42σ
2021+0.56σ
2020+0.58σ
2019+0.10σ
2018+0.22σ
2017+0.20σ
2016-0.51σ
2015+0.35σ
2014-0.36σ
2013+0.51σ
2012-0.29σ
2011+0.63σ
2010-0.29σ
2009-0.53σ
2008-4.14σ
2007+0.47σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 41: -0.15σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 41 at least this cold turns up 57.7% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 42 — year by year — script -0.20σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 42 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.16σ
2024-0.31σ
2023-0.38σ
2022+0.27σ
2021-0.57σ
2020-0.39σ
2019+0.59σ
2018-0.52σ
2017-0.15σ
2016+0.12σ
2015-0.14σ
2014-0.36σ
2013+0.13σ
2012-0.13σ
2011-0.45σ
2010-0.09σ
2009+0.54σ
2008-1.10σ
2007-1.10σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 42: -0.20σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 42 at least this cold turns up 25.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 43 — year by year — script -0.22σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 43 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.05σ
2024-0.94σ
2023-0.79σ
2022+0.17σ
2021-0.59σ
2020+0.20σ
2019-0.16σ
2018-0.65σ
2017+0.24σ
2016-0.24σ
2015+0.13σ
2014+0.60σ
2013-0.21σ
2012-0.26σ
2011+0.98σ
2010-0.32σ
2009-0.69σ
2008-3.11σ
2007+1.54σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 43: -0.22σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 43 at least this cold turns up 16.9% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 44 — year by year — script +0.15σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 44 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.12σ
2024+0.06σ
2023+0.15σ
2022+0.28σ
2021+0.32σ
2020-0.56σ
2019+0.49σ
2018+1.00σ
2017+0.17σ
2016-0.80σ
2015-0.58σ
2014+0.49σ
2013+0.30σ
2012-0.01σ
2011-0.30σ
2010+0.55σ
2009-1.19σ
2008+2.01σ
2007+0.53σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 44: +0.15σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 44 at least this hot turns up 47.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 45 — year by year — script -0.16σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 45 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.33σ
2024-0.27σ
2023+0.21σ
2022+0.10σ
2021+0.14σ
2020+0.91σ
2019-0.16σ
2018-0.02σ
2017-0.35σ
2016-0.47σ
2015-0.39σ
2014+0.01σ
2013-0.70σ
2012-0.14σ
2011-0.84σ
2010-0.75σ
2009+0.38σ
2008+0.59σ
2007-0.92σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 45: -0.16σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 45 at least this cold turns up 40.8% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 46 — year by year — script -0.27σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 46 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.19σ
2024-0.90σ
2023+0.21σ
2022-0.26σ
2021-0.61σ
2020+0.58σ
2019-0.16σ
2018-0.00σ
2017-0.15σ
2016-0.80σ
2015-0.61σ
2014+0.05σ
2013-0.40σ
2012-0.43σ
2011-1.12σ
2010-0.77σ
2009+0.54σ
2008-1.29σ
2007+0.75σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 46: -0.27σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 46 at least this cold turns up 18.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 47 — year by year — script -0.28σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 47 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.12σ
2024+0.22σ
2023-0.08σ
2022+0.09σ
2021-0.97σ
2020+0.13σ
2019-0.11σ
2018-0.46σ
2017+0.08σ
2016+0.02σ
2015+0.12σ
2014+0.04σ
2013-0.29σ
2012-0.03σ
2011-0.74σ
2010-0.69σ
2009-0.02σ
2008-1.34σ
2007-1.16σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 47: -0.28σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 47 at least this cold turns up 9.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 48 — year by year — script +0.20σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 48 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.01σ
2024+0.25σ
2023+0.58σ
2022+0.16σ
2021+0.06σ
2020+0.14σ
2019+0.15σ
2018+0.43σ
2017-0.56σ
2016-0.18σ
2015+0.11σ
2014+0.08σ
2013+0.38σ
2012+0.80σ
2011+0.90σ
2010+0.50σ
2009-0.48σ
2008+0.10σ
2007+0.42σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 48: +0.20σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 48 at least this hot turns up 29.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 49 — year by year — script -0.02σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 49 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.19σ
2024+0.45σ
2023+0.61σ
2022-0.33σ
2021+0.27σ
2020+0.50σ
2019-0.43σ
2018-0.51σ
2017+0.16σ
2016+0.30σ
2015-0.45σ
2014-0.11σ
2013+0.07σ
2012+0.02σ
2011-0.89σ
2010-0.65σ
2009+0.50σ
2008-0.32σ
2007+0.55σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 49: -0.02σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 49 at least this cold turns up 91.0% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 50 — year by year — script -0.13σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 50 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.24σ
2024-0.07σ
2023+0.36σ
2022-0.40σ
2021-0.81σ
2020+0.25σ
2019+0.14σ
2018+0.19σ
2017-0.05σ
2016-0.46σ
2015-0.57σ
2014-0.79σ
2013-0.41σ
2012-0.21σ
2011-0.97σ
2010+0.15σ
2009-0.15σ
2008+1.39σ
2007+0.17σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 50: -0.13σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 50 at least this cold turns up 37.8% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 51 — year by year — script -0.19σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 51 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.19σ
2024-1.18σ
2023-0.23σ
2022-0.85σ
2021-0.13σ
2020+0.22σ
2019+0.14σ
2018-0.17σ
2017+0.27σ
2016-0.56σ
2015+0.28σ
2014-0.12σ
2013+0.24σ
2012-0.18σ
2011-0.07σ
2010-0.03σ
2009-0.54σ
2008+0.93σ
2007-1.44σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 51: -0.19σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 51 at least this cold turns up 36.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 52 — year by year — script +0.05σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 52 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.05σ
2024+0.04σ
2023+0.39σ
2022+0.36σ
2021+0.30σ
2020-0.17σ
2019-0.15σ
2018+0.08σ
2017+0.01σ
2016+0.34σ
2015+0.16σ
2014-0.13σ
2013+0.07σ
2012+0.10σ
2011-0.47σ
2010+0.15σ
2009+0.59σ
2008-1.85σ
2007+1.16σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 52: +0.05σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Week 52 at least this hot turns up 76.1% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Week 53 — year by year — script +0.19σ over 5 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 53 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2021+0.32σ
2020+0.31σ
2016+0.25σ
2015+0.10σ
2009-0.01σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 53: +0.19σ
Only 5 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Mon — year by year — script -0.15σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Mon residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.25σ
2025-0.04σ
2024-0.03σ
2023+0.02σ
2022-0.21σ
2021-0.08σ
2020-1.04σ
2019-0.10σ
2018-0.08σ
2017+0.10σ
2016-0.11σ
2015-0.25σ
2014+0.16σ
2013-0.09σ
2012-0.27σ
2011-0.24σ
2010+0.15σ
2009+0.10σ
2008-0.71σ
2007+0.02σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Mon: -0.15σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Mon at least this cold turns up 16.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Tue — year by year — script -0.07σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Tue residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.17σ
2025-0.17σ
2024-0.33σ
2023+0.03σ
2022+0.21σ
2021+0.30σ
2020+0.47σ
2019-0.15σ
2018-0.14σ
2017-0.08σ
2016-0.09σ
2015-0.28σ
2014-0.13σ
2013-0.25σ
2012+0.26σ
2011-0.23σ
2010-0.30σ
2009-0.15σ
2008-0.36σ
2007+0.09σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Tue: -0.07σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Tue at least this cold turns up 82.1% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Wed — year by year — script -0.05σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Wed residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.14σ
2025+0.14σ
2024-0.03σ
2023-0.08σ
2022-0.11σ
2021-0.08σ
2020+0.14σ
2019-0.12σ
2018-0.14σ
2017-0.02σ
2016-0.09σ
2015-0.07σ
2014-0.01σ
2013-0.23σ
2012-0.06σ
2011-0.04σ
2010-0.11σ
2009+0.18σ
2008-0.27σ
2007-0.23σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Wed: -0.05σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Wed at least this cold turns up 91.5% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Thu — year by year — script -0.15σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Thu residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.35σ
2025-0.07σ
2024-0.06σ
2023-0.15σ
2022-0.23σ
2021+0.04σ
2020+0.01σ
2019-0.14σ
2018-0.21σ
2017+0.01σ
2016-0.25σ
2015-0.05σ
2014-0.11σ
2013+0.02σ
2012-0.12σ
2011-0.43σ
2010-0.12σ
2009-0.04σ
2008-0.81σ
2007+0.01σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Thu: -0.15σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Thu at least this cold turns up 14.9% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: F-EXPIRY · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,variance
Behind the script · Nifty 200 · Fri — year by year — script -0.11σ over 20 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Fri residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.30σ
2025-0.35σ
2024+0.09σ
2023+0.00σ
2022-0.20σ
2021-0.33σ
2020+0.19σ
2019+0.04σ
2018-0.10σ
2017-0.07σ
2016-0.01σ
2015-0.01σ
2014+0.03σ
2013-0.07σ
2012-0.01σ
2011-0.38σ
2010-0.23σ
2009+0.26σ
2008-0.52σ
2007-0.19σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Fri: -0.11σ
Reshuffle Nifty 200’s own calendar at random and a Fri at least this cold turns up 50.2% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism