💡 Click any month cell below to break it down year-by-year.
💡 Click any week cell to break it down year-by-year.
💡 Click any weekday cell to break it down year-by-year.
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Jan — script +0.10σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Jan residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.39σ
2025+0.19σ
2024-0.44σ
2023-0.06σ
2022+0.62σ
2021+0.05σ
2020-0.25σ
2019+0.20σ
2018+0.34σ
2017+0.06σ
2016-0.07σ
2015-0.04σ
2014-0.29σ
2013+0.02σ
2012+0.40σ
2011+0.15σ
2010+0.05σ
2009-0.24σ
2008+0.81σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Jan: +0.10σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Jan at least this hot turns up 17.9% of the time — so the 63% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Feb — script +0.05σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Feb residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.14σ
2025+0.65σ
2024-0.04σ
2023+0.24σ
2022+0.09σ
2021+0.38σ
2020+0.19σ
2019-0.07σ
2018-0.21σ
2017+0.04σ
2016-0.01σ
2015-0.12σ
2014+0.13σ
2013-0.14σ
2012-0.01σ
2011+0.16σ
2010+0.10σ
2009-0.31σ
2008-0.18σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Feb: +0.05σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Feb at least this hot turns up 48.3% of the time — so the 53% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Mar — script -0.03σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Mar residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.29σ
2025-0.09σ
2024+0.16σ
2023+0.09σ
2022-0.24σ
2021-0.37σ
2020-0.58σ
2019+0.33σ
2018+0.13σ
2017+0.00σ
2016+0.21σ
2015-0.23σ
2014+0.55σ
2013-0.01σ
2012-0.00σ
2011+0.09σ
2010+0.15σ
2009-0.07σ
2008-0.50σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Mar: -0.03σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Mar at least this cold turns up 60.2% of the time — so the 47% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: M-FYEND · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Apr — script +0.07σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Apr residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.18σ
2025+0.31σ
2024+0.10σ
2023+0.14σ
2022+0.08σ
2021-0.10σ
2020-0.28σ
2019-0.14σ
2018-0.13σ
2017+0.10σ
2016+0.15σ
2015+0.35σ
2014+0.04σ
2013+0.30σ
2012+0.12σ
2011-0.08σ
2010+0.15σ
2009+0.26σ
2008+0.25σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Apr: +0.07σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Apr at least this hot turns up 33.8% of the time — so the 68% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · May — script +0.03σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's May residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.02σ
2025-0.15σ
2024-0.04σ
2023-0.10σ
2022+0.34σ
2021+0.05σ
2020-0.57σ
2019+0.28σ
2018+0.56σ
2017+0.20σ
2016+0.10σ
2015-0.09σ
2014+0.17σ
2013-0.10σ
2012-0.02σ
2011-0.03σ
2010-0.03σ
2009+0.19σ
2008-0.23σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis May: +0.03σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a May at least this hot turns up 64.2% of the time — so the 42% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Jun — script -0.01σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Jun residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.39σ
2025-0.03σ
2024-0.04σ
2023-0.21σ
2022+0.09σ
2021-0.26σ
2020+0.10σ
2019+0.10σ
2018+0.02σ
2017-0.02σ
2016-0.04σ
2015-0.06σ
2014-0.25σ
2013-0.18σ
2012+0.11σ
2011+0.07σ
2010-0.13σ
2009+0.12σ
2008-0.01σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Jun: -0.01σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Jun at least this cold turns up 87.1% of the time — so the 42% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: M-MONSOON · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Jul — script -0.05σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Jul residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.14σ
2025+0.16σ
2024-0.41σ
2023-0.13σ
2022+0.10σ
2021-0.12σ
2020-0.39σ
2019+0.05σ
2018-0.03σ
2017+0.12σ
2016+0.01σ
2015-0.06σ
2014+0.01σ
2013-0.62σ
2012+0.10σ
2011-0.02σ
2010+0.25σ
2009-0.18σ
2008+0.37σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Jul: -0.05σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Jul at least this cold turns up 46.8% of the time — so the 47% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: M-MONSOON · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Aug — script -0.02σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Aug residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.17σ
2025-0.08σ
2024-0.05σ
2023-0.14σ
2022+0.07σ
2021-0.13σ
2020+0.41σ
2019-0.29σ
2018-0.17σ
2017-0.10σ
2016+0.14σ
2015-0.06σ
2014+0.01σ
2013-0.28σ
2012-0.20σ
2011-0.12σ
2010+0.19σ
2009-0.11σ
2008+0.41σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Aug: -0.02σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Aug at least this cold turns up 84.1% of the time — so the 37% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Sep — script +0.08σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Sep residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.15σ
2025+0.10σ
2024+0.11σ
2023-0.04σ
2022+0.18σ
2021-0.05σ
2020-0.66σ
2019+0.15σ
2018+0.03σ
2017+0.04σ
2016-0.04σ
2015+0.09σ
2014-0.17σ
2013+0.06σ
2012+0.23σ
2011+0.07σ
2010+0.22σ
2009+0.39σ
2008+0.59σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Sep: +0.08σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Sep at least this hot turns up 30.9% of the time — so the 74% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Oct — script +0.25σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Oct residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+1.39σ
2025+0.12σ
2024+0.43σ
2023+0.01σ
2022+0.22σ
2021+0.36σ
2020+0.62σ
2019-0.04σ
2018+0.39σ
2017-0.22σ
2016+0.00σ
2015-0.06σ
2014+0.40σ
2013+0.46σ
2012+0.00σ
2011-0.05σ
2010-0.03σ
2009+0.16σ
2008+0.66σ
Why this reads grey — the subtle one
chance’s 95% reachthis Oct: +0.25σ
On its own this looks strong: a random reshuffle beats it only 5.0% of the time. But it is 1 of 12 months tested for Nifty Bank; correct for looking at all 12 (dependency-safe Benjamini–Hochberg–Yekutieli) and it no longer stands. Strong in isolation ≠ surviving the look across the whole calendar — 74% up, still grey.
mechanism: M-FESTIVE · gates: fdr-fail
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Nov — script +0.11σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Nov residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.26σ
2024+0.16σ
2023-0.27σ
2022+0.10σ
2021-0.38σ
2020+0.68σ
2019+0.37σ
2018+0.18σ
2017+0.11σ
2016+0.18σ
2015+0.13σ
2014+0.33σ
2013-0.12σ
2012+0.12σ
2011-0.17σ
2010+0.09σ
2009-0.02σ
2008+0.24σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Nov: +0.11σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Nov at least this hot turns up 20.4% of the time — so the 72% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: M-FESTIVE · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Dec — script -0.01σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Dec residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.08σ
2024+0.01σ
2023-0.02σ
2022+0.28σ
2021-0.18σ
2020-0.19σ
2019+0.03σ
2018+0.06σ
2017-0.22σ
2016-0.02σ
2015-0.21σ
2014+0.25σ
2013-0.09σ
2012+0.06σ
2011-0.00σ
2010-0.16σ
2009-0.16σ
2008+0.35σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Dec: -0.01σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Dec at least this cold turns up 92.5% of the time — so the 44% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 1 — year by year — script -0.04σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 1 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.08σ
2025-0.19σ
2024-0.33σ
2023-0.10σ
2022+1.10σ
2021-0.23σ
2020-0.55σ
2019+0.35σ
2018-0.18σ
2017-0.32σ
2016-0.15σ
2015+0.07σ
2014-0.20σ
2013-0.14σ
2012+0.47σ
2011-0.38σ
2010-0.07σ
2009-0.10σ
2008+0.24σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 1: -0.04σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 1 at least this cold turns up 86.6% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 2 — year by year — script +0.03σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 2 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.59σ
2025+0.19σ
2024-0.53σ
2023+0.01σ
2022-0.33σ
2021+0.18σ
2020-0.08σ
2019+0.14σ
2018-0.13σ
2017+0.33σ
2016-0.42σ
2015-0.19σ
2014-0.63σ
2013+0.06σ
2012+0.48σ
2011-0.21σ
2010-0.71σ
2009+0.42σ
2008+1.36σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 2: +0.03σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 2 at least this hot turns up 86.1% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 3 — year by year — script +0.12σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 3 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.60σ
2025+0.15σ
2024-0.61σ
2023+0.14σ
2022+0.72σ
2021-0.74σ
2020-0.98σ
2019-0.14σ
2018+1.15σ
2017+0.01σ
2016+0.80σ
2015+0.02σ
2014+0.10σ
2013-0.29σ
2012+0.51σ
2011+0.76σ
2010+0.46σ
2009-0.75σ
2008+0.35σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 3: +0.12σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 3 at least this hot turns up 35.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 4 — year by year — script +0.27σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 4 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.47σ
2025+0.60σ
2024-0.64σ
2023-0.49σ
2022+1.56σ
2021+1.48σ
2020-0.19σ
2019+0.22σ
2018+0.38σ
2017+0.21σ
2016-0.72σ
2015+0.23σ
2014+0.22σ
2013+0.19σ
2012-0.20σ
2011+0.36σ
2010+0.63σ
2009-0.79σ
2008+1.67σ
Why this reads grey — the subtle one
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 4: +0.27σ
On its own this looks strong: a random reshuffle beats it only 3.5% of the time. But it is 1 of 53 weeks tested for Nifty Bank; correct for looking at all 53 (dependency-safe Benjamini–Hochberg–Yekutieli) and it no longer stands. Strong in isolation ≠ surviving the look across the whole calendar — — up, still grey.
mechanism: M-BUDGET-RUNUP · gates: fdr-fail
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 5 — year by year — script +0.12σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 5 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.19σ
2025+0.30σ
2024-0.17σ
2023+0.70σ
2022+0.05σ
2021+1.76σ
2020+0.31σ
2019-0.25σ
2018+0.41σ
2017+0.21σ
2016-0.25σ
2015-0.33σ
2014-0.96σ
2013+0.07σ
2012+0.10σ
2011+0.21σ
2010-0.25σ
2009+0.33σ
2008-0.17σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 5: +0.12σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 5 at least this hot turns up 30.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: M-BUDGET-RUNUP · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 6 — year by year — script -0.06σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 6 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.39σ
2025+0.38σ
2024-0.26σ
2023-0.04σ
2022+0.32σ
2021-0.25σ
2020-0.05σ
2019+0.33σ
2018-0.49σ
2017-0.22σ
2016+0.16σ
2015-1.04σ
2014+0.13σ
2013-0.09σ
2012+0.26σ
2011+0.59σ
2010-0.04σ
2009-0.17σ
2008-0.30σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 6: -0.06σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 6 at least this cold turns up 73.6% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: M-BUDGET-DAY · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,variance
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 7 — year by year — script +0.20σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 7 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.29σ
2025+1.20σ
2024+0.20σ
2023-0.23σ
2022-0.21σ
2021+0.04σ
2020-0.19σ
2019+0.31σ
2018-0.32σ
2017+0.47σ
2016-0.17σ
2015+0.18σ
2014+0.03σ
2013+0.33σ
2012+0.41σ
2011+0.29σ
2010+0.34σ
2009+0.18σ
2008+0.71σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 7: +0.20σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 7 at least this hot turns up 10.0% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 8 — year by year — script -0.10σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 8 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.46σ
2025-0.11σ
2024+0.07σ
2023+0.05σ
2022+0.43σ
2021-0.06σ
2020+0.17σ
2019-0.26σ
2018+0.14σ
2017+0.08σ
2016-0.22σ
2015-0.69σ
2014+0.35σ
2013-0.40σ
2012-0.49σ
2011-0.19σ
2010+0.38σ
2009-1.00σ
2008-0.68σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 8: -0.10σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 8 at least this cold turns up 46.8% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 9 — year by year — script +0.07σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 9 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.09σ
2025+1.44σ
2024+0.17σ
2023+0.70σ
2022-1.13σ
2021-0.64σ
2020+0.93σ
2019-0.24σ
2018-0.42σ
2017-0.35σ
2016+0.88σ
2015+0.63σ
2014-0.04σ
2013-0.34σ
2012+0.07σ
2011+0.07σ
2010-0.04σ
2009-0.25σ
2008-0.21σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 9: +0.07σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 9 at least this hot turns up 60.7% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 10 — year by year — script -0.11σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 10 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.38σ
2025-0.89σ
2024+0.48σ
2023-0.36σ
2022-0.69σ
2021+0.13σ
2020-0.72σ
2019+0.17σ
2018+0.24σ
2017+0.28σ
2016-0.48σ
2015-0.24σ
2014+1.48σ
2013+0.35σ
2012+0.32σ
2011-0.08σ
2010+0.36σ
2009-0.87σ
2008-1.26σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 10: -0.11σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 10 at least this cold turns up 43.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 11 — year by year — script +0.15σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 11 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.36σ
2025+0.34σ
2024+0.36σ
2023+0.03σ
2022+0.55σ
2021-0.30σ
2020+0.99σ
2019+0.64σ
2018+0.20σ
2017-0.42σ
2016+0.57σ
2015-0.29σ
2014+0.53σ
2013-0.40σ
2012-0.15σ
2011+0.22σ
2010-0.11σ
2009+0.47σ
2008-0.02σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 11: +0.15σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 11 at least this hot turns up 35.8% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 12 — year by year — script -0.19σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 12 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.03σ
2025-0.30σ
2024-0.08σ
2023+0.26σ
2022-0.62σ
2021-0.22σ
2020-1.78σ
2019+0.28σ
2018-0.16σ
2017+0.08σ
2016-0.16σ
2015-0.16σ
2014-0.13σ
2013-0.08σ
2012-0.04σ
2011+0.21σ
2010+0.51σ
2009-0.35σ
2008-0.90σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 12: -0.19σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 12 at least this cold turns up 15.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 13 — year by year — script +0.16σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 13 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.11σ
2025+0.57σ
2024-0.46σ
2023+0.32σ
2022+0.45σ
2021-0.77σ
2020+0.53σ
2019+0.27σ
2018+0.54σ
2017+0.08σ
2016+0.42σ
2015+0.04σ
2014+0.45σ
2013+0.21σ
2012-0.29σ
2011-0.38σ
2010-0.04σ
2009+1.22σ
2008+0.01σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 13: +0.16σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 13 at least this hot turns up 14.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 14 — year by year — script -0.36σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 14 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.42σ
2025+1.22σ
2024+0.12σ
2023-0.25σ
2022-0.04σ
2021-1.37σ
2020-3.10σ
2019-0.39σ
2018-0.24σ
2017-0.26σ
2016-0.51σ
2015-0.22σ
2014-0.59σ
2013-0.12σ
2012+0.06σ
2011-0.07σ
2010+0.01σ
2009-0.62σ
2008+0.00σ
Why this reads grey — the subtle one
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 14: -0.36σ
On its own this looks strong: a random reshuffle beats it only 2.0% of the time. But it is 1 of 53 weeks tested for Nifty Bank; correct for looking at all 53 (dependency-safe Benjamini–Hochberg–Yekutieli) and it no longer stands. Strong in isolation ≠ surviving the look across the whole calendar — — up, still grey.
mechanism: — · gates: fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 15 — year by year — script +0.17σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 15 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.23σ
2025-0.21σ
2024+0.05σ
2023+0.46σ
2022+0.48σ
2021+0.36σ
2020+0.55σ
2019-0.08σ
2018+0.06σ
2017+0.45σ
2016+0.15σ
2015-0.55σ
2014+0.16σ
2013+0.80σ
2012+0.53σ
2011+0.23σ
2010-0.26σ
2009-0.45σ
2008+0.34σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 15: +0.17σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 15 at least this hot turns up 16.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 16 — year by year — script +0.21σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 16 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.59σ
2025+0.63σ
2024+0.08σ
2023+0.30σ
2022-0.51σ
2021+0.47σ
2020+0.52σ
2019+0.12σ
2018-0.57σ
2017-0.21σ
2016+0.60σ
2015+0.04σ
2014-0.09σ
2013+0.90σ
2012-0.02σ
2011+0.16σ
2010+0.72σ
2009+1.40σ
2008+0.09σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 16: +0.21σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 16 at least this hot turns up 13.9% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 17 — year by year — script +0.11σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 17 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.30σ
2025+0.00σ
2024-0.36σ
2023-0.06σ
2022+0.36σ
2021+0.29σ
2020-1.02σ
2019+0.00σ
2018+0.22σ
2017+0.42σ
2016+0.38σ
2015+0.73σ
2014+0.51σ
2013+0.10σ
2012-0.02σ
2011-0.22σ
2010+0.13σ
2009-0.27σ
2008+0.60σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 17: +0.11σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 17 at least this hot turns up 43.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 18 — year by year — script +0.07σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 18 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-1.08σ
2025+0.06σ
2024+0.39σ
2023-0.62σ
2022+0.47σ
2021-0.43σ
2020+0.63σ
2019+0.33σ
2018+0.89σ
2017+0.53σ
2016-0.37σ
2015+1.10σ
2014+0.03σ
2013-0.90σ
2012-0.37σ
2011+0.23σ
2010-0.17σ
2009+0.38σ
2008+0.16σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 18: +0.07σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 18 at least this hot turns up 73.6% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 19 — year by year — script -0.00σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 19 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.39σ
2025-0.24σ
2024-0.03σ
2023+0.38σ
2022+0.53σ
2021-0.48σ
2020-1.03σ
2019+0.36σ
2018+0.63σ
2017-0.33σ
2016+0.35σ
2015-0.69σ
2014+1.15σ
2013+0.01σ
2012-0.13σ
2011-0.27σ
2010+0.34σ
2009+0.02σ
2008-0.20σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 19: -0.00σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 19 at least this cold turns up 98.0% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 20 — year by year — script +0.10σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 20 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.09σ
2025-0.95σ
2024-0.53σ
2023+0.34σ
2022-0.03σ
2021+1.01σ
2020-0.55σ
2019+0.30σ
2018+0.22σ
2017+0.31σ
2016-0.01σ
2015+0.14σ
2014+0.47σ
2013+0.63σ
2012+0.07σ
2011-0.35σ
2010-0.15σ
2009+0.61σ
2008+0.31σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 20: +0.10σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 20 at least this hot turns up 45.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 21 — year by year — script -0.05σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 21 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.07σ
2025+0.25σ
2024-0.06σ
2023-0.59σ
2022+1.28σ
2021-0.05σ
2020-2.15σ
2019+0.32σ
2018+0.47σ
2017+0.46σ
2016+0.31σ
2015-0.33σ
2014-0.66σ
2013-0.06σ
2012+0.23σ
2011+0.14σ
2010-0.05σ
2009+0.42σ
2008-0.90σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 21: -0.05σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 21 at least this cold turns up 79.6% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 22 — year by year — script +0.00σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 22 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.19σ
2025+0.24σ
2024+0.74σ
2023-0.27σ
2022-0.76σ
2021-0.59σ
2020+1.94σ
2019-0.12σ
2018+0.37σ
2017-0.26σ
2016+0.07σ
2015+0.45σ
2014-0.19σ
2013-0.57σ
2012-0.04σ
2011-0.13σ
2010-0.06σ
2009-0.30σ
2008-0.64σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 22: +0.00σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 22 at least this hot turns up 88.1% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 23 — year by year — script -0.05σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 23 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.54σ
2025-0.05σ
2024-0.56σ
2023-0.07σ
2022+0.15σ
2021-0.63σ
2020+0.56σ
2019-0.03σ
2018-0.46σ
2017+0.22σ
2016+0.33σ
2015-0.50σ
2014-0.38σ
2013-0.12σ
2012+0.69σ
2011-0.04σ
2010+0.10σ
2009-0.77σ
2008+0.07σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 23: -0.05σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 23 at least this cold turns up 66.7% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 24 — year by year — script +0.01σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 24 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+1.19σ
2025-0.10σ
2024-0.58σ
2023-0.67σ
2022+0.64σ
2021+0.10σ
2020-0.07σ
2019-0.17σ
2018-0.10σ
2017-0.03σ
2016-0.22σ
2015+0.57σ
2014-0.35σ
2013-0.04σ
2012-0.07σ
2011+0.25σ
2010-0.12σ
2009-0.31σ
2008+0.22σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 24: +0.01σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 24 at least this hot turns up 95.5% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 25 — year by year — script +0.17σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 25 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.36σ
2025+0.26σ
2024+1.31σ
2023+0.21σ
2022-0.05σ
2021+0.33σ
2020+0.15σ
2019+0.37σ
2018+0.61σ
2017+0.30σ
2016-0.06σ
2015-0.44σ
2014-0.07σ
2013-0.57σ
2012-0.15σ
2011+0.31σ
2010-0.35σ
2009+1.36σ
2008+0.14σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 25: +0.17σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 25 at least this hot turns up 20.9% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 26 — year by year — script -0.08σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 26 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.48σ
2025-0.20σ
2024-0.06σ
2023-0.16σ
2022-0.21σ
2021-0.31σ
2020-0.26σ
2019+0.21σ
2018+0.10σ
2017-0.36σ
2016-0.30σ
2015+0.17σ
2014-0.21σ
2013+0.00σ
2012+0.01σ
2011+0.07σ
2010-0.21σ
2009+0.08σ
2008-0.41σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 26: -0.08σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 26 at least this cold turns up 46.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 27 — year by year — script -0.02σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 27 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.38σ
2025-0.06σ
2024-0.45σ
2023-0.13σ
2022+0.30σ
2021+0.18σ
2020-0.18σ
2019+0.38σ
2018+0.06σ
2017-0.28σ
2016+0.02σ
2015+0.09σ
2014-0.10σ
2013-0.58σ
2012+0.36σ
2011-0.10σ
2010+0.32σ
2009+0.15σ
2008+0.09σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 27: -0.02σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 27 at least this cold turns up 93.5% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 28 — year by year — script +0.07σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 28 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.05σ
2025+0.37σ
2024-0.34σ
2023-0.46σ
2022-0.22σ
2021+0.05σ
2020+0.31σ
2019-0.07σ
2018-0.06σ
2017-0.03σ
2016+0.72σ
2015+0.39σ
2014-0.36σ
2013+0.01σ
2012+0.31σ
2011+0.13σ
2010+0.42σ
2009-0.58σ
2008+0.69σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 28: +0.07σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 28 at least this hot turns up 60.7% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 29 — year by year — script -0.04σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 29 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.35σ
2025-0.18σ
2024+0.54σ
2023+0.59σ
2022+0.39σ
2021-0.53σ
2020-0.90σ
2019-0.22σ
2018+0.21σ
2017+0.29σ
2016-0.50σ
2015-0.42σ
2014+0.69σ
2013-1.66σ
2012-0.09σ
2011-0.03σ
2010+0.02σ
2009+0.09σ
2008+0.65σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 29: -0.04σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 29 at least this cold turns up 78.6% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 30 — year by year — script -0.10σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 30 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.26σ
2025+0.64σ
2024-1.24σ
2023-0.45σ
2022-0.15σ
2021-0.29σ
2020+0.22σ
2019+0.01σ
2018-0.23σ
2017+0.37σ
2016-0.04σ
2015-0.31σ
2014-0.32σ
2013-0.37σ
2012-0.05σ
2011-0.08σ
2010+0.35σ
2009-0.36σ
2008+0.68σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 30: -0.10σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 30 at least this cold turns up 46.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 31 — year by year — script -0.09σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 31 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.52σ
2025+0.12σ
2024+0.15σ
2023-0.22σ
2022-0.17σ
2021+0.34σ
2020-1.18σ
2019-0.17σ
2018-0.28σ
2017-0.06σ
2016-0.16σ
2015+0.01σ
2014+0.35σ
2013+0.14σ
2012-0.25σ
2011+0.09σ
2010+0.12σ
2009+0.01σ
2008-0.10σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 31: -0.09σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 31 at least this cold turns up 41.8% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 32 — year by year — script +0.07σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 32 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.07σ
2025+0.11σ
2024+0.06σ
2023-0.35σ
2022+0.44σ
2021+0.06σ
2020-0.46σ
2019-0.13σ
2018+0.36σ
2017+0.41σ
2016+0.17σ
2015-0.10σ
2014-0.41σ
2013-0.02σ
2012-0.26σ
2011+0.23σ
2010+0.44σ
2009-0.12σ
2008+0.99σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 32: +0.07σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 32 at least this hot turns up 64.2% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 33 — year by year — script -0.21σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 33 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.11σ
2025-0.18σ
2024-0.18σ
2023+0.03σ
2022-0.28σ
2021-0.77σ
2020-0.14σ
2019+0.04σ
2018-0.16σ
2017-0.67σ
2016+0.57σ
2015+0.11σ
2014-0.17σ
2013-0.96σ
2012-0.12σ
2011-0.57σ
2010+0.27σ
2009-0.02σ
2008-0.81σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 33: -0.21σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 33 at least this cold turns up 17.9% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 34 — year by year — script -0.06σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 34 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.32σ
2025-0.55σ
2024-0.26σ
2023+0.18σ
2022+0.28σ
2021-0.09σ
2020+0.08σ
2019-0.55σ
2018-0.71σ
2017+0.26σ
2016+0.00σ
2015-0.27σ
2014+0.58σ
2013+0.34σ
2012-0.24σ
2011-0.49σ
2010-0.11σ
2009+0.17σ
2008-0.13σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 34: -0.06σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 34 at least this cold turns up 70.7% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 35 — year by year — script +0.01σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 35 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.08σ
2025+0.08σ
2024-0.18σ
2023-0.35σ
2022+0.33σ
2021-0.44σ
2020+2.16σ
2019-0.19σ
2018-0.22σ
2017-0.38σ
2016+0.25σ
2015-0.03σ
2014-0.19σ
2013-1.09σ
2012-0.15σ
2011+0.07σ
2010+0.13σ
2009-0.52σ
2008+1.04σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 35: +0.01σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 35 at least this hot turns up 95.0% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 36 — year by year — script +0.05σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 36 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.44σ
2025-0.27σ
2024-0.00σ
2023-0.33σ
2022+0.19σ
2021-0.28σ
2020-0.93σ
2019+0.07σ
2018-0.17σ
2017-0.03σ
2016+0.28σ
2015-0.46σ
2014-0.26σ
2013+1.55σ
2012-0.12σ
2011+0.07σ
2010+0.29σ
2009+0.07σ
2008+0.88σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 36: +0.05σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 36 at least this hot turns up 71.6% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 37 — year by year — script +0.19σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 37 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.27σ
2025-0.11σ
2024+0.18σ
2023+0.39σ
2022+0.85σ
2021+0.50σ
2020-0.96σ
2019+0.54σ
2018-0.03σ
2017+0.04σ
2016-0.15σ
2015+0.37σ
2014+0.12σ
2013-0.44σ
2012+0.26σ
2011+0.07σ
2010+0.43σ
2009+0.64σ
2008+0.54σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 37: +0.19σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 37 at least this hot turns up 12.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 38 — year by year — script +0.12σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 38 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.06σ
2025-0.03σ
2024+0.75σ
2023-0.24σ
2022-0.41σ
2021-0.34σ
2020-1.03σ
2019+0.32σ
2018-0.47σ
2017+0.05σ
2016-0.20σ
2015+0.84σ
2014-0.09σ
2013+0.57σ
2012+1.10σ
2011+0.18σ
2010+0.02σ
2009+0.34σ
2008+0.91σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 38: +0.12σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 38 at least this hot turns up 37.8% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 39 — year by year — script +0.02σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 39 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.01σ
2025+0.72σ
2024-0.37σ
2023-0.04σ
2022-0.08σ
2021-0.01σ
2020+0.10σ
2019+0.35σ
2018+0.67σ
2017+0.19σ
2016-0.13σ
2015-0.01σ
2014-0.07σ
2013-1.24σ
2012-0.08σ
2011+0.06σ
2010+0.10σ
2009+0.23σ
2008-0.11σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 39: +0.02σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 39 at least this hot turns up 91.5% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 40 — year by year — script +0.04σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 40 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.84σ
2025+0.29σ
2024+0.16σ
2023-0.14σ
2022-0.04σ
2021-0.36σ
2020+0.81σ
2019-1.29σ
2018+1.46σ
2017-0.69σ
2016-0.39σ
2015-0.57σ
2014-0.80σ
2013+0.46σ
2012-0.17σ
2011-0.66σ
2010-0.14σ
2009+0.70σ
2008+1.27σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 40: +0.04σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 40 at least this hot turns up 82.1% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 41 — year by year — script +0.26σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 41 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.15σ
2024-0.23σ
2023-0.20σ
2022+0.70σ
2021+0.40σ
2020+1.09σ
2019+0.14σ
2018+0.61σ
2017+0.04σ
2016-0.23σ
2015-0.13σ
2014+0.72σ
2013+0.20σ
2012+0.01σ
2011+0.34σ
2010-0.01σ
2009+0.13σ
2008+0.96σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 41: +0.26σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 41 at least this hot turns up 6.0% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 42 — year by year — script +0.47σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 42 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.27σ
2024+0.90σ
2023+0.04σ
2022+0.54σ
2021+1.65σ
2020+0.10σ
2019-0.05σ
2018+0.22σ
2017-0.96σ
2016+0.57σ
2015+0.17σ
2014+1.47σ
2013-0.06σ
2012+0.20σ
2011+0.47σ
2010+0.00σ
2009+0.68σ
2008+2.21σ
Why this reads grey — the subtle one
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 42: +0.47σ
On its own this looks strong: a random reshuffle beats it only 3.0% of the time. But it is 1 of 53 weeks tested for Nifty Bank; correct for looking at all 53 (dependency-safe Benjamini–Hochberg–Yekutieli) and it no longer stands. Strong in isolation ≠ surviving the look across the whole calendar — — up, still grey.
mechanism: — · gates: fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 43 — year by year — script +0.12σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 43 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.11σ
2024+0.80σ
2023+0.41σ
2022-0.23σ
2021-0.12σ
2020+0.67σ
2019+0.44σ
2018+0.17σ
2017+0.38σ
2016-0.04σ
2015+0.02σ
2014-0.16σ
2013+0.43σ
2012+0.27σ
2011-0.87σ
2010+0.14σ
2009-0.10σ
2008+0.05σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 43: +0.12σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 43 at least this hot turns up 27.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 44 — year by year — script -0.06σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 44 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.08σ
2024+0.08σ
2023-0.08σ
2022-0.43σ
2021-0.38σ
2020+0.06σ
2019+0.00σ
2018-0.41σ
2017+0.37σ
2016+0.46σ
2015-0.10σ
2014-0.14σ
2013+0.60σ
2012-0.26σ
2011+0.01σ
2010+0.42σ
2009-0.18σ
2008-1.18σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 44: -0.06σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 44 at least this cold turns up 72.6% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 45 — year by year — script +0.23σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 45 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.52σ
2024+0.29σ
2023-0.19σ
2022+0.51σ
2021-1.09σ
2020+1.92σ
2019+0.52σ
2018-0.09σ
2017+0.25σ
2016+1.68σ
2015+0.08σ
2014+0.51σ
2013-1.09σ
2012+0.05σ
2011-0.96σ
2010-0.33σ
2009+0.12σ
2008+1.45σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 45: +0.23σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 45 at least this hot turns up 7.5% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 46 — year by year — script +0.16σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 46 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.08σ
2024+0.44σ
2023-0.93σ
2022+0.51σ
2021+0.11σ
2020+0.51σ
2019+0.43σ
2018+0.40σ
2017+0.34σ
2016-0.08σ
2015+0.46σ
2014+0.07σ
2013+0.15σ
2012+0.09σ
2011+0.39σ
2010+0.15σ
2009+0.08σ
2008-0.18σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 46: +0.16σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 46 at least this hot turns up 17.9% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 47 — year by year — script +0.02σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 47 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.34σ
2024+0.24σ
2023+0.09σ
2022+0.04σ
2021-0.11σ
2020+0.38σ
2019+0.08σ
2018+0.25σ
2017-0.32σ
2016-0.88σ
2015-0.22σ
2014+0.44σ
2013-0.07σ
2012+0.16σ
2011-0.05σ
2010+0.18σ
2009-0.00σ
2008-0.26σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 47: +0.02σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 47 at least this hot turns up 98.0% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 48 — year by year — script +0.03σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 48 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.32σ
2024-0.15σ
2023-0.25σ
2022-0.40σ
2021-0.18σ
2020-0.12σ
2019+0.33σ
2018+0.11σ
2017+0.06σ
2016-0.29σ
2015+0.21σ
2014+0.36σ
2013+0.25σ
2012+0.21σ
2011+0.27σ
2010+0.18σ
2009-0.10σ
2008-0.24σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 48: +0.03σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 48 at least this hot turns up 82.1% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 49 — year by year — script +0.10σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 49 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.24σ
2024-0.09σ
2023+0.52σ
2022+0.78σ
2021+0.07σ
2020-0.49σ
2019-0.02σ
2018+0.40σ
2017-0.31σ
2016-0.02σ
2015-0.24σ
2014+0.27σ
2013+0.90σ
2012+0.12σ
2011-0.02σ
2010-0.57σ
2009-0.18σ
2008+0.54σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 49: +0.10σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 49 at least this hot turns up 40.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 50 — year by year — script -0.04σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 50 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.04σ
2024+0.03σ
2023-0.24σ
2022+0.18σ
2021-0.02σ
2020-0.05σ
2019+0.25σ
2018-0.30σ
2017+0.06σ
2016+0.05σ
2015-0.10σ
2014+0.54σ
2013-0.31σ
2012+0.27σ
2011-0.36σ
2010-0.42σ
2009-0.24σ
2008-0.16σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 50: -0.04σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 50 at least this cold turns up 74.6% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 51 — year by year — script -0.09σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 51 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.02σ
2024+0.07σ
2023-0.20σ
2022+0.35σ
2021-0.59σ
2020-0.47σ
2019-0.07σ
2018+0.12σ
2017-0.53σ
2016+0.15σ
2015-0.30σ
2014+0.40σ
2013-0.83σ
2012-0.13σ
2011+0.27σ
2010-0.07σ
2009-0.47σ
2008+0.74σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 51: -0.09σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 51 at least this cold turns up 46.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 52 — year by year — script -0.06σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 52 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.17σ
2024+0.23σ
2023-0.20σ
2022+0.05σ
2021-0.24σ
2020-0.25σ
2019+0.05σ
2018+0.05σ
2017-0.39σ
2016-0.32σ
2015-0.07σ
2014+0.13σ
2013+0.05σ
2012-0.02σ
2011-0.40σ
2010+0.09σ
2009+0.07σ
2008+0.29σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 52: -0.06σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Week 52 at least this cold turns up 60.7% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Week 53 — year by year — script -0.12σ over 5 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 53 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2021-1.04σ
2020+0.33σ
2016+0.28σ
2015-0.17σ
2009+0.01σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 53: -0.12σ
Only 5 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Mon — year by year — script +0.06σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Mon residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.03σ
2025+0.20σ
2024+0.15σ
2023+0.05σ
2022+0.26σ
2021+0.14σ
2020-0.37σ
2019+0.10σ
2018+0.17σ
2017-0.12σ
2016-0.09σ
2015+0.08σ
2014+0.07σ
2013-0.13σ
2012+0.00σ
2011+0.02σ
2010+0.09σ
2009-0.00σ
2008+0.46σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Mon: +0.06σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Mon at least this hot turns up 31.8% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Tue — year by year — script +0.02σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Tue residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.03σ
2025+0.15σ
2024+0.10σ
2023+0.03σ
2022+0.08σ
2021-0.19σ
2020+0.24σ
2019+0.04σ
2018-0.04σ
2017+0.01σ
2016+0.04σ
2015-0.07σ
2014+0.06σ
2013-0.26σ
2012+0.13σ
2011-0.18σ
2010+0.02σ
2009+0.06σ
2008+0.06σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Tue: +0.02σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Tue at least this hot turns up 83.1% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Wed — year by year — script +0.01σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Wed residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.12σ
2025-0.10σ
2024-0.14σ
2023-0.21σ
2022+0.16σ
2021-0.00σ
2020+0.09σ
2019+0.20σ
2018+0.05σ
2017+0.14σ
2016+0.08σ
2015-0.23σ
2014+0.16σ
2013-0.17σ
2012-0.03σ
2011-0.05σ
2010-0.08σ
2009-0.21σ
2008+0.32σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Wed: +0.01σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Wed at least this hot turns up 93.5% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Thu — year by year — script +0.05σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Thu residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.02σ
2025+0.16σ
2024-0.02σ
2023-0.05σ
2022+0.08σ
2021-0.11σ
2020-0.13σ
2019-0.15σ
2018+0.37σ
2017-0.09σ
2016+0.19σ
2015-0.10σ
2014-0.13σ
2013+0.35σ
2012+0.13σ
2011+0.01σ
2010+0.21σ
2009+0.07σ
2008+0.12σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Thu: +0.05σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Thu at least this hot turns up 39.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: F-EXPIRY · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,variance
Behind the script · Nifty Bank · Fri — year by year — script +0.07σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Fri residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.23σ
2025+0.21σ
2024-0.16σ
2023-0.02σ
2022+0.21σ
2021-0.19σ
2020-0.25σ
2019+0.24σ
2018-0.04σ
2017+0.11σ
2016+0.04σ
2015+0.07σ
2014+0.27σ
2013-0.10σ
2012+0.16σ
2011+0.23σ
2010+0.11σ
2009+0.07σ
2008+0.25σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Fri: +0.07σ
Reshuffle Nifty Bank’s own calendar at random and a Fri at least this hot turns up 17.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism