💡 Click any month cell below to break it down year-by-year.
💡 Click any week cell to break it down year-by-year.
💡 Click any weekday cell to break it down year-by-year.
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Jan — script +0.08σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Jan residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.51σ
2025+0.31σ
2024+0.11σ
2023-0.05σ
2022+0.36σ
2021+0.02σ
2020-0.34σ
2019-0.24σ
2018-0.22σ
2017+0.18σ
2016+0.29σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Jan: +0.08σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Feb — script +0.13σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Feb residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.25σ
2025+0.28σ
2024+0.05σ
2023-0.28σ
2022+0.29σ
2021+0.67σ
2020-0.12σ
2019+0.20σ
2018+0.12σ
2017-0.36σ
2016+0.33σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Feb: +0.13σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Mar — script +0.14σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Mar residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.48σ
2025+0.31σ
2024+0.15σ
2023+0.25σ
2022+0.10σ
2021+0.28σ
2020+0.40σ
2019+0.09σ
2018-0.34σ
2017-0.40σ
2016+0.19σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Mar: +0.14σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: M-FYEND · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Apr — script +0.06σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Apr residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.03σ
2025-0.29σ
2024+0.14σ
2023-0.11σ
2022+0.43σ
2021+0.50σ
2020+0.01σ
2019+0.20σ
2018-0.35σ
2017-0.11σ
2016+0.22σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Apr: +0.06σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · May — script -0.12σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's May residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.06σ
2025-0.27σ
2024+0.04σ
2023-0.25σ
2022-0.67σ
2021+0.15σ
2020+0.49σ
2019-0.14σ
2018-0.19σ
2017-0.45σ
2016-0.07σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis May: -0.12σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Jun — script -0.19σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Jun residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.62σ
2025+0.02σ
2024-0.28σ
2023-0.13σ
2022-0.24σ
2021-0.11σ
2020-0.39σ
2019+0.05σ
2018-0.34σ
2017-0.39σ
2016+0.32σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Jun: -0.19σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: M-MONSOON · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Jul — script +0.00σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Jul residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.14σ
2025+0.10σ
2024-0.05σ
2023+0.09σ
2022-0.00σ
2021+0.33σ
2020-0.15σ
2019-0.26σ
2018-0.22σ
2017-0.05σ
2016+0.37σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Jul: +0.00σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: M-MONSOON · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Aug — script -0.04σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Aug residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.16σ
2025+0.03σ
2024-0.25σ
2023-0.12σ
2022+0.07σ
2021-0.42σ
2020+0.03σ
2019-0.48σ
2018+0.15σ
2017+0.45σ
2016+0.24σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Aug: -0.04σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Sep — script +0.15σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Sep residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.25σ
2025+0.30σ
2024+0.11σ
2023+0.15σ
2022-0.14σ
2021+0.05σ
2020-0.08σ
2019+0.30σ
2018+0.67σ
2017-0.18σ
2016+0.17σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Sep: +0.15σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Oct — script -0.18σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Oct residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-1.67σ
2025-0.00σ
2024-0.25σ
2023-0.05σ
2022-0.04σ
2021+0.08σ
2020+0.10σ
2019-0.05σ
2018-0.54σ
2017+0.08σ
2016+0.37σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Oct: -0.18σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: M-FESTIVE · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Nov — script -0.14σ over 10 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Nov residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.31σ
2024-0.41σ
2023+0.13σ
2022+0.12σ
2021-0.24σ
2020-0.18σ
2019-0.13σ
2018-0.34σ
2017-0.54σ
2016+0.51σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Nov: -0.14σ
Only 10 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: M-FESTIVE · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Dec — script +0.02σ over 10 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Dec residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.31σ
2024-0.33σ
2023+0.31σ
2022+0.10σ
2021+0.10σ
2020-0.25σ
2019-0.05σ
2018-0.00σ
2017-0.13σ
2016+0.11σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Dec: +0.02σ
Only 10 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 1 — year by year — script +0.44σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 1 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+1.20σ
2025+0.60σ
2024-0.32σ
2023+0.23σ
2022+0.65σ
2021+0.59σ
2020+0.37σ
2019-0.26σ
2018+0.31σ
2017+0.55σ
2016+0.94σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 1: +0.44σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 2 — year by year — script -0.08σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 2 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.35σ
2025-0.19σ
2024-0.09σ
2023+0.28σ
2022+0.27σ
2021-0.37σ
2020+0.12σ
2019-0.62σ
2018-0.18σ
2017-0.02σ
2016+0.24σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 2: -0.08σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 3 — year by year — script +0.08σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 3 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+1.27σ
2025+1.34σ
2024+0.28σ
2023+0.04σ
2022+0.56σ
2021-0.51σ
2020-0.46σ
2019+0.26σ
2018-1.40σ
2017-0.08σ
2016-0.46σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 3: +0.08σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 4 — year by year — script +0.12σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 4 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.28σ
2025+0.38σ
2024+0.55σ
2023-1.09σ
2022+0.39σ
2021+0.49σ
2020-0.38σ
2019-0.19σ
2018-0.00σ
2017+0.51σ
2016+0.40σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 4: +0.12σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: M-BUDGET-RUNUP · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 5 — year by year — script -0.25σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 5 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.20σ
2025-0.61σ
2024+0.72σ
2023-0.54σ
2022-0.09σ
2021+0.11σ
2020-1.00σ
2019-0.59σ
2018+0.18σ
2017-0.66σ
2016-0.42σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 5: -0.25σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: M-BUDGET-RUNUP · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 6 — year by year — script +0.26σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 6 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.74σ
2025+0.37σ
2024+0.55σ
2023-0.69σ
2022+0.77σ
2021-0.04σ
2020+0.89σ
2019-0.41σ
2018+0.46σ
2017-0.51σ
2016+0.76σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 6: +0.26σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: M-BUDGET-DAY · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,variance
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 7 — year by year — script +0.13σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 7 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.17σ
2025+0.21σ
2024-0.11σ
2023+0.64σ
2022-0.26σ
2021+0.98σ
2020-0.56σ
2019+0.08σ
2018+0.20σ
2017-0.30σ
2016+0.72σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 7: +0.13σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 8 — year by year — script +0.36σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 8 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.21σ
2025+1.10σ
2024-0.41σ
2023-0.08σ
2022-0.22σ
2021+1.63σ
2020-0.24σ
2019+1.33σ
2018-0.02σ
2017+0.23σ
2016+0.48σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 8: +0.36σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 9 — year by year — script +0.20σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 9 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.68σ
2025-0.09σ
2024+0.20σ
2023-0.04σ
2022+1.74σ
2021+0.37σ
2020-0.47σ
2019+0.57σ
2018+0.07σ
2017-0.30σ
2016-0.50σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 9: +0.20σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 10 — year by year — script +0.15σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 10 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.50σ
2025+1.12σ
2024+0.47σ
2023+0.45σ
2022-0.01σ
2021-0.33σ
2020+0.15σ
2019+0.20σ
2018-0.56σ
2017-0.74σ
2016+0.40σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 10: +0.15σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 11 — year by year — script -0.01σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 11 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.57σ
2025+0.38σ
2024-0.90σ
2023+0.54σ
2022-0.79σ
2021+0.70σ
2020+0.00σ
2019-0.21σ
2018-0.27σ
2017-0.69σ
2016+0.59σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 11: -0.01σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 12 — year by year — script +0.34σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 12 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.32σ
2025-0.29σ
2024+0.57σ
2023-0.02σ
2022+1.07σ
2021+0.29σ
2020+2.06σ
2019-0.08σ
2018-0.39σ
2017+0.06σ
2016+0.19σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 12: +0.34σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 13 — year by year — script -0.23σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 13 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.10σ
2025+0.05σ
2024+0.08σ
2023-0.16σ
2022-0.83σ
2021+0.90σ
2020-2.10σ
2019+0.32σ
2018-0.28σ
2017-0.41σ
2016-0.04σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 13: -0.23σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 14 — year by year — script +0.39σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 14 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.20σ
2025-0.47σ
2024+0.12σ
2023-0.66σ
2022+0.97σ
2021+0.58σ
2020+2.77σ
2019-0.07σ
2018-0.48σ
2017+0.37σ
2016+0.93σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 14: +0.39σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 15 — year by year — script -0.17σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 15 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.63σ
2025+0.30σ
2024+0.41σ
2023+0.13σ
2022+0.96σ
2021+0.14σ
2020-1.84σ
2019-0.22σ
2018-0.21σ
2017-0.50σ
2016-0.38σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 15: -0.17σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 16 — year by year — script +0.20σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 16 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.36σ
2025-1.04σ
2024+0.29σ
2023+0.06σ
2022+0.66σ
2021-0.30σ
2020+1.44σ
2019+0.30σ
2018+0.20σ
2017-0.15σ
2016+0.33σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 16: +0.20σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 17 — year by year — script -0.02σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 17 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.66σ
2025-0.21σ
2024+0.02σ
2023-0.13σ
2022-0.52σ
2021+1.00σ
2020-0.68σ
2019+0.48σ
2018-0.69σ
2017-0.14σ
2016-0.03σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 17: -0.02σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 18 — year by year — script +0.13σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 18 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.35σ
2025-0.30σ
2024+0.25σ
2023+0.12σ
2022+0.59σ
2021+1.13σ
2020+0.01σ
2019+0.90σ
2018-0.76σ
2017-0.87σ
2016+0.04σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 18: +0.13σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 19 — year by year — script -0.36σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 19 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.42σ
2025-0.19σ
2024-0.40σ
2023-0.59σ
2022-1.65σ
2021+0.18σ
2020+0.08σ
2019-0.61σ
2018+0.44σ
2017-0.26σ
2016-0.56σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 19: -0.36σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 20 — year by year — script +0.05σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 20 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.57σ
2025+0.01σ
2024+0.14σ
2023-0.26σ
2022+0.28σ
2021-0.45σ
2020+1.03σ
2019-0.23σ
2018-0.31σ
2017-0.43σ
2016+0.24σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 20: +0.05σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 21 — year by year — script -0.25σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 21 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.09σ
2025-0.22σ
2024+0.54σ
2023-0.06σ
2022-1.75σ
2021-0.42σ
2020+0.47σ
2019+0.16σ
2018-0.73σ
2017-0.42σ
2016-0.25σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 21: -0.25σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 22 — year by year — script -0.12σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 22 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.24σ
2025-0.66σ
2024-0.35σ
2023-0.31σ
2022-0.41σ
2021+0.37σ
2020+0.34σ
2019-0.10σ
2018+0.03σ
2017-0.91σ
2016+0.43σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 22: -0.12σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 23 — year by year — script -0.08σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 23 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.37σ
2025-0.22σ
2024-0.60σ
2023+0.25σ
2022+0.22σ
2021-0.01σ
2020-0.52σ
2019-0.21σ
2018+0.19σ
2017-0.41σ
2016+0.78σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 23: -0.08σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 24 — year by year — script -0.27σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 24 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-1.07σ
2025+0.27σ
2024-0.07σ
2023+0.25σ
2022-0.47σ
2021-0.66σ
2020-0.26σ
2019+0.21σ
2018-0.91σ
2017-0.23σ
2016+0.01σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 24: -0.27σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 25 — year by year — script -0.36σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 25 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.41σ
2025-0.30σ
2024-0.46σ
2023-0.52σ
2022-1.12σ
2021+0.10σ
2020-0.33σ
2019+0.02σ
2018-0.55σ
2017-0.52σ
2016+0.10σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 25: -0.36σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 26 — year by year — script -0.05σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 26 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.91σ
2025+0.47σ
2024-0.02σ
2023-0.64σ
2022+0.23σ
2021-0.35σ
2020-0.24σ
2019+0.14σ
2018-0.10σ
2017+0.30σ
2016+0.55σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 26: -0.05σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 27 — year by year — script -0.24σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 27 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.22σ
2025+0.29σ
2024-0.30σ
2023+0.05σ
2022-0.75σ
2021+0.55σ
2020-0.93σ
2019-0.81σ
2018-0.73σ
2017+0.20σ
2016+0.05σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 27: -0.24σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 28 — year by year — script -0.03σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 28 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.09σ
2025+0.09σ
2024-0.24σ
2023-0.33σ
2022+0.52σ
2021+0.14σ
2020-0.59σ
2019+0.15σ
2018-0.60σ
2017+0.02σ
2016+0.64σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 28: -0.03σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 29 — year by year — script -0.01σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 29 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.22σ
2025+0.14σ
2024-0.65σ
2023-0.20σ
2022+0.04σ
2021+0.30σ
2020+0.12σ
2019+0.15σ
2018-0.44σ
2017-0.01σ
2016+0.70σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 29: -0.01σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 30 — year by year — script +0.18σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 30 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.52σ
2025-0.27σ
2024+0.45σ
2023+0.64σ
2022+0.49σ
2021+0.72σ
2020-0.27σ
2019-0.12σ
2018+0.66σ
2017-0.66σ
2016-0.15σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 30: +0.18σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 31 — year by year — script +0.09σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 31 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.64σ
2025-0.04σ
2024+0.38σ
2023+0.13σ
2022-0.01σ
2021-0.70σ
2020+0.62σ
2019-1.11σ
2018+0.15σ
2017+1.47σ
2016+0.78σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 31: +0.09σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 32 — year by year — script -0.09σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 32 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.05σ
2025+0.53σ
2024-0.45σ
2023+0.10σ
2022+0.14σ
2021-0.38σ
2020+0.13σ
2019-1.01σ
2018+0.06σ
2017+0.19σ
2016-0.28σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 32: -0.09σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 33 — year by year — script -0.11σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 33 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.45σ
2025-0.37σ
2024-0.61σ
2023-0.48σ
2022-0.09σ
2021-1.25σ
2020+0.12σ
2019+0.71σ
2018-0.66σ
2017+0.55σ
2016+1.33σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 33: -0.11σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 34 — year by year — script +0.11σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 34 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.04σ
2025-0.19σ
2024+0.16σ
2023-0.23σ
2022+0.32σ
2021+0.18σ
2020+1.00σ
2019-0.42σ
2018+0.79σ
2017-0.21σ
2016-0.29σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 34: +0.11σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 35 — year by year — script -0.10σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 35 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.02σ
2025+0.19σ
2024-0.26σ
2023+0.46σ
2022-0.53σ
2021+0.27σ
2020-1.04σ
2019-0.39σ
2018+0.43σ
2017+0.24σ
2016-0.47σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 35: -0.10σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 36 — year by year — script +0.26σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 36 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.48σ
2025+0.27σ
2024-0.34σ
2023+0.23σ
2022+0.14σ
2021+0.31σ
2020+0.17σ
2019+1.06σ
2018+0.25σ
2017+0.20σ
2016+0.07σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 36: +0.26σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 37 — year by year — script -0.11σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 37 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.17σ
2025-0.17σ
2024-0.53σ
2023-0.15σ
2022+0.40σ
2021-0.63σ
2020-0.15σ
2019+0.47σ
2018+0.55σ
2017-0.61σ
2016-0.17σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 37: -0.11σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 38 — year by year — script -0.05σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 38 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.01σ
2025+0.09σ
2024-0.28σ
2023-0.07σ
2022-0.48σ
2021-0.86σ
2020-0.06σ
2019-0.13σ
2018+1.47σ
2017-0.79σ
2016+0.61σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 38: -0.05σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 39 — year by year — script +0.40σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 39 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.34σ
2025+0.75σ
2024+1.19σ
2023+0.20σ
2022-0.34σ
2021+1.62σ
2020-0.51σ
2019-0.22σ
2018+0.53σ
2017+0.43σ
2016+0.40σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 39: +0.40σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 40 — year by year — script -0.00σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 40 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.33σ
2025+0.29σ
2024+0.60σ
2023-0.92σ
2022+0.42σ
2021-0.17σ
2020-0.33σ
2019+0.33σ
2018-1.58σ
2017+0.67σ
2016+1.00σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 40: -0.00σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 41 — year by year — script -0.13σ over 10 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 41 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.35σ
2024-0.74σ
2023+0.33σ
2022-0.30σ
2021+0.47σ
2020-1.26σ
2019-0.13σ
2018+0.43σ
2017-0.48σ
2016+0.76σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 41: -0.13σ
Only 10 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 42 — year by year — script -0.02σ over 10 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 42 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.21σ
2024-0.09σ
2023-0.04σ
2022-0.37σ
2021-0.58σ
2020+0.81σ
2019+0.32σ
2018-0.10σ
2017+0.29σ
2016-0.26σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 42: -0.02σ
Only 10 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 43 — year by year — script +0.03σ over 10 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 43 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.03σ
2024-0.51σ
2023-0.02σ
2022+0.35σ
2021+0.40σ
2020+0.17σ
2019-0.39σ
2018-0.26σ
2017+0.45σ
2016+0.19σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 43: +0.03σ
Only 10 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 44 — year by year — script +0.18σ over 10 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 44 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.71σ
2024+0.24σ
2023+0.18σ
2022+0.52σ
2021-0.07σ
2020+1.10σ
2019+0.03σ
2018-0.32σ
2017-0.91σ
2016+0.34σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 44: +0.18σ
Only 10 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 45 — year by year — script -0.19σ over 10 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 45 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.23σ
2024-0.48σ
2023+0.28σ
2022-0.28σ
2021+0.02σ
2020-1.06σ
2019-0.43σ
2018-0.15σ
2017-0.79σ
2016+1.17σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 45: -0.19σ
Only 10 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 46 — year by year — script -0.29σ over 10 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 46 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.32σ
2024-0.47σ
2023+0.02σ
2022-0.20σ
2021-0.79σ
2020+0.34σ
2019-0.93σ
2018-0.07σ
2017-0.50σ
2016-0.02σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 46: -0.29σ
Only 10 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 47 — year by year — script -0.15σ over 10 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 47 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.60σ
2024-1.16σ
2023+0.03σ
2022+0.01σ
2021+0.29σ
2020-0.24σ
2019+0.38σ
2018-0.48σ
2017-0.35σ
2016+0.58σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 47: -0.15σ
Only 10 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 48 — year by year — script -0.02σ over 10 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 48 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.09σ
2024+0.16σ
2023+0.41σ
2022+0.65σ
2021-0.27σ
2020+0.14σ
2019+0.21σ
2018-1.54σ
2017-0.23σ
2016+0.31σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 48: -0.02σ
Only 10 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 49 — year by year — script +0.12σ over 10 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 49 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.02σ
2024-0.14σ
2023+0.50σ
2022-0.07σ
2021+0.20σ
2020+1.06σ
2019-0.48σ
2018-0.18σ
2017-0.25σ
2016+0.57σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 49: +0.12σ
Only 10 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 50 — year by year — script -0.03σ over 10 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 50 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.62σ
2024-0.25σ
2023+0.25σ
2022+0.14σ
2021+0.35σ
2020-1.00σ
2019+0.10σ
2018+0.15σ
2017+0.03σ
2016-0.65σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 50: -0.03σ
Only 10 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 51 — year by year — script -0.07σ over 10 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 51 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.08σ
2024-0.55σ
2023+0.01σ
2022-0.44σ
2021-0.05σ
2020-0.10σ
2019-0.29σ
2018+0.43σ
2017-0.11σ
2016+0.45σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 51: -0.07σ
Only 10 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 52 — year by year — script -0.11σ over 10 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 52 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.34σ
2024-0.50σ
2023+0.51σ
2022+0.49σ
2021-0.36σ
2020-0.93σ
2019+0.21σ
2018-0.57σ
2017-0.22σ
2016-0.08σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 52: -0.11σ
Only 10 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Week 53 — year by year — script +0.05σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 53 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2021-0.23σ
2020-0.13σ
2016+0.51σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 53: +0.05σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Mon — year by year — script +0.08σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Mon residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.15σ
2025+0.03σ
2024+0.08σ
2023+0.09σ
2022+0.10σ
2021+0.33σ
2020+0.11σ
2019-0.10σ
2018-0.14σ
2017-0.09σ
2016+0.29σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Mon: +0.08σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Tue — year by year — script +0.01σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Tue residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.05σ
2025+0.14σ
2024-0.27σ
2023+0.17σ
2022-0.07σ
2021+0.06σ
2020-0.12σ
2019+0.10σ
2018+0.14σ
2017-0.17σ
2016+0.09σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Tue: +0.01σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Wed — year by year — script -0.05σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Wed residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.22σ
2025+0.04σ
2024-0.14σ
2023-0.10σ
2022+0.06σ
2021-0.01σ
2020-0.16σ
2019-0.18σ
2018-0.43σ
2017-0.08σ
2016+0.26σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Wed: -0.05σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Thu — year by year — script -0.00σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Thu residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.09σ
2025+0.07σ
2024+0.02σ
2023-0.00σ
2022+0.06σ
2021+0.28σ
2020-0.26σ
2019-0.11σ
2018-0.13σ
2017-0.31σ
2016+0.26σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Thu: -0.00σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: F-EXPIRY · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,variance
Behind the script · Nifty Commodities · Fri — year by year — script -0.01σ over 11 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Fri residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.19σ
2025+0.13σ
2024-0.09σ
2023-0.15σ
2022-0.03σ
2021-0.10σ
2020+0.24σ
2019+0.02σ
2018-0.15σ
2017-0.14σ
2016+0.35σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Fri: -0.01σ
Only 11 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism