💡 Click any month cell below to break it down year-by-year.
💡 Click any week cell to break it down year-by-year.
💡 Click any weekday cell to break it down year-by-year.
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Jan — script -0.27σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Jan residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.24σ
2025-0.62σ
2024+0.03σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Jan: -0.27σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Feb — script +0.25σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Feb residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.83σ
2025-0.19σ
2024+0.13σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Feb: +0.25σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Mar — script -0.09σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Mar residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.15σ
2025-0.21σ
2024+0.10σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Mar: -0.09σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: M-FYEND · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Apr — script +0.36σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Apr residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.46σ
2025+0.15σ
2024+0.46σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Apr: +0.36σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · May — script -0.16σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's May residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.47σ
2025-0.18σ
2024+0.17σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis May: -0.16σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Jun — script +0.26σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Jun residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.36σ
2025+0.01σ
2024+0.42σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Jun: +0.26σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: M-MONSOON · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Jul — script +0.32σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Jul residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.70σ
2025+0.16σ
2024+0.10σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Jul: +0.32σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: M-MONSOON · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Aug — script +0.26σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Aug residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.18σ
2025+0.25σ
2024+0.36σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Aug: +0.26σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Sep — script -0.10σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Sep residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.31σ
2025-0.41σ
2024+0.43σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Sep: -0.10σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Oct — script -0.74σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Oct residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-1.86σ
2025+0.06σ
2024-0.42σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Oct: -0.74σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: M-FESTIVE · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Nov — script +0.03σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Nov residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Nov: +0.03σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: M-FESTIVE · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Dec — script +0.15σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Dec residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Dec: +0.15σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 1 — year by year — script +0.51σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 1 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.57σ
2025+0.53σ
2024+0.43σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 1: +0.51σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 2 — year by year — script +0.23σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 2 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+1.21σ
2025-1.14σ
2024+0.60σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 2: +0.23σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 3 — year by year — script -0.78σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 3 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-1.17σ
2025-0.94σ
2024-0.22σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 3: -0.78σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 4 — year by year — script -0.89σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 4 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-1.30σ
2025-0.78σ
2024-0.59σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 4: -0.89σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: M-BUDGET-RUNUP · gates: N<15,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 5 — year by year — script +0.10σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 5 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.29σ
2025+0.27σ
2024-0.25σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 5: +0.10σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: M-BUDGET-RUNUP · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 6 — year by year — script +0.16σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 6 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+1.29σ
2025-0.31σ
2024-0.50σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 6: +0.16σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: M-BUDGET-DAY · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,variance
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 7 — year by year — script +0.03σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 7 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+1.39σ
2025-1.57σ
2024+0.26σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 7: +0.03σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 8 — year by year — script +0.17σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 8 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.03σ
2025-0.10σ
2024+0.63σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 8: +0.17σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 9 — year by year — script +0.43σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 9 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.38σ
2025+0.11σ
2024+0.82σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 9: +0.43σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 10 — year by year — script -0.09σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 10 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.07σ
2025+0.04σ
2024-0.23σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 10: -0.09σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 11 — year by year — script -0.27σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 11 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.07σ
2025-0.42σ
2024-0.46σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 11: -0.27σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 12 — year by year — script +0.04σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 12 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.08σ
2025+0.19σ
2024-0.01σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 12: +0.04σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 13 — year by year — script -0.15σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 13 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.39σ
2025-0.71σ
2024+0.66σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 13: -0.15σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 14 — year by year — script -0.11σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 14 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.67σ
2025-0.19σ
2024+0.52σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 14: -0.11σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 15 — year by year — script +1.06σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 15 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+1.41σ
2025+1.85σ
2024-0.07σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 15: +1.06σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 16 — year by year — script +0.31σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 16 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+1.13σ
2025-0.21σ
2024+0.03σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 16: +0.31σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 17 — year by year — script +0.16σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 17 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.40σ
2025-0.53σ
2024+1.42σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 17: +0.16σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 18 — year by year — script -0.25σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 18 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.16σ
2025-0.72σ
2024-0.18σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 18: -0.25σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 19 — year by year — script -0.16σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 19 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.40σ
2025+0.58σ
2024-0.64σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 19: -0.16σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 20 — year by year — script +0.17σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 20 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.82σ
2025+0.17σ
2024+1.16σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 20: +0.17σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 21 — year by year — script -0.38σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 21 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.35σ
2025-0.70σ
2024-0.10σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 21: -0.38σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 22 — year by year — script -0.15σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 22 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.29σ
2025-0.32σ
2024+0.15σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 22: -0.15σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 23 — year by year — script +0.33σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 23 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.88σ
2025-0.33σ
2024+0.43σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 23: +0.33σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 24 — year by year — script +0.04σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 24 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.55σ
2025-0.44σ
2024+1.11σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 24: +0.04σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 25 — year by year — script +0.65σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 25 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+1.63σ
2025+0.03σ
2024+0.28σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 25: +0.65σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 26 — year by year — script -0.19σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 26 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.92σ
2025+0.52σ
2024-0.17σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 26: -0.19σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 27 — year by year — script +0.36σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 27 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.35σ
2025+1.10σ
2024-0.38σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 27: +0.36σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 28 — year by year — script +0.21σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 28 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+1.34σ
2025-0.74σ
2024+0.03σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 28: +0.21σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 29 — year by year — script +0.32σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 29 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+1.20σ
2025+0.53σ
2024-0.76σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 29: +0.32σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 30 — year by year — script +0.56σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 30 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.23σ
2025+0.32σ
2024+1.12σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 30: +0.56σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 31 — year by year — script +0.10σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 31 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.42σ
2025-0.27σ
2024+0.14σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 31: +0.10σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 32 — year by year — script -0.22σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 32 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.19σ
2025-0.03σ
2024-0.43σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 32: -0.22σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 33 — year by year — script +0.53σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 33 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.70σ
2025-0.67σ
2024+1.56σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 33: +0.53σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 34 — year by year — script +0.67σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 34 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.15σ
2025+1.05σ
2024+0.80σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 34: +0.67σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 35 — year by year — script +0.24σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 35 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.07σ
2025+0.63σ
2024+0.03σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 35: +0.24σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 36 — year by year — script +0.27σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 36 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.49σ
2025+0.71σ
2024+0.61σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 36: +0.27σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 37 — year by year — script +0.04σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 37 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.06σ
2025-0.86σ
2024+0.91σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 37: +0.04σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 38 — year by year — script -0.39σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 38 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-1.06σ
2025-0.45σ
2024+0.35σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 38: -0.39σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 39 — year by year — script -0.08σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 39 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.80σ
2025-0.78σ
2024-0.27σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 39: -0.08σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 40 — year by year — script -0.43σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 40 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-1.46σ
2025-0.18σ
2024+0.33σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 40: -0.43σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 41 — year by year — script +0.11σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 41 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 41: +0.11σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 42 — year by year — script +0.01σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 42 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 42: +0.01σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 43 — year by year — script -0.68σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 43 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 43: -0.68σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 44 — year by year — script -0.35σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 44 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 44: -0.35σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 45 — year by year — script -0.14σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 45 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 45: -0.14σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 46 — year by year — script -0.06σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 46 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 46: -0.06σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 47 — year by year — script +0.47σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 47 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 47: +0.47σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 48 — year by year — script -0.28σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 48 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 48: -0.28σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 49 — year by year — script +0.02σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 49 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 49: +0.02σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 50 — year by year — script +0.48σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 50 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 50: +0.48σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 51 — year by year — script +0.12σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 51 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 51: +0.12σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Week 52 — year by year — script -0.14σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 52 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 52: -0.14σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Mon — year by year — script +0.04σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Mon residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.06σ
2025-0.09σ
2024+0.15σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Mon: +0.04σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Tue — year by year — script +0.02σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Tue residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.08σ
2025-0.29σ
2024+0.42σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Tue: +0.02σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Wed — year by year — script +0.22σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Wed residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.45σ
2025-0.02σ
2024+0.23σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Wed: +0.22σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Thu — year by year — script -0.08σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Thu residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.11σ
2025-0.18σ
2024-0.18σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Thu: -0.08σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: F-EXPIRY · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,variance
Behind the script · Nifty Consumer Durables · Fri — year by year — script +0.14σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Fri residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.16σ
2025-0.18σ
2024+0.44σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Fri: +0.14σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism