💡 Click any month cell below to break it down year-by-year.
💡 Click any week cell to break it down year-by-year.
💡 Click any weekday cell to break it down year-by-year.
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Jan — script -0.04σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Jan residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.40σ
2025+0.13σ
2024-0.31σ
2023+0.18σ
2022-0.18σ
2021-0.14σ
2020+0.11σ
2019-0.11σ
2018-0.05σ
2017+0.06σ
2016-0.16σ
2015+0.04σ
2014+0.04σ
2013-0.06σ
2012-0.39σ
2011-0.11σ
2010+0.05σ
2009+0.21σ
2008+0.38σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Jan: -0.04σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Jan at least this cold turns up 58.2% of the time — so the 47% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Feb — script -0.05σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Feb residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.01σ
2025-0.42σ
2024-0.20σ
2023+0.20σ
2022+0.00σ
2021-0.49σ
2020-0.07σ
2019-0.13σ
2018+0.01σ
2017-0.07σ
2016+0.01σ
2015-0.10σ
2014-0.17σ
2013-0.07σ
2012-0.07σ
2011+0.23σ
2010-0.01σ
2009+0.15σ
2008+0.36σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Feb: -0.05σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Feb at least this cold turns up 48.8% of the time — so the 37% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Mar — script +0.11σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Mar residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.29σ
2025+0.08σ
2024-0.06σ
2023+0.13σ
2022-0.02σ
2021+0.43σ
2020+0.69σ
2019-0.13σ
2018+0.03σ
2017+0.14σ
2016+0.03σ
2015-0.28σ
2014+0.09σ
2013+0.27σ
2012+0.42σ
2011-0.02σ
2010+0.19σ
2009-0.26σ
2008+0.68σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Mar: +0.11σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Mar at least this hot turns up 8.0% of the time — so the 63% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: M-FYEND · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Apr — script +0.05σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Apr residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.38σ
2025+0.23σ
2024-0.14σ
2023+0.10σ
2022+0.42σ
2021-0.31σ
2020-0.31σ
2019-0.03σ
2018+0.31σ
2017-0.11σ
2016-0.15σ
2015-0.03σ
2014-0.27σ
2013+0.33σ
2012+0.36σ
2011+0.26σ
2010+0.15σ
2009-0.39σ
2008+0.15σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Apr: +0.05σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Apr at least this hot turns up 35.3% of the time — so the 53% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · May — script +0.01σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's May residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.24σ
2025-0.29σ
2024-0.04σ
2023+0.27σ
2022+0.28σ
2021+0.01σ
2020+0.24σ
2019-0.19σ
2018+0.05σ
2017+0.41σ
2016+0.06σ
2015+0.02σ
2014-0.32σ
2013+0.12σ
2012-0.02σ
2011+0.21σ
2010+0.28σ
2009-0.90σ
2008+0.31σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis May: +0.01σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a May at least this hot turns up 80.6% of the time — so the 63% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Jun — script +0.04σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Jun residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.13σ
2025-0.20σ
2024+0.02σ
2023-0.03σ
2022+0.04σ
2021+0.06σ
2020-0.19σ
2019-0.04σ
2018+0.06σ
2017+0.18σ
2016+0.15σ
2015+0.00σ
2014-0.40σ
2013-0.21σ
2012+0.24σ
2011+0.25σ
2010+0.35σ
2009+0.48σ
2008+0.14σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Jun: +0.04σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Jun at least this hot turns up 52.2% of the time — so the 63% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: M-MONSOON · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Jul — script +0.11σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Jul residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.02σ
2025+0.23σ
2024+0.40σ
2023-0.10σ
2022+0.42σ
2021-0.08σ
2020-0.11σ
2019+0.11σ
2018+0.18σ
2017-0.45σ
2016-0.06σ
2015+0.06σ
2014+0.33σ
2013+0.28σ
2012+0.08σ
2011+0.11σ
2010+0.01σ
2009+0.55σ
2008+0.11σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Jul: +0.11σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Jul at least this hot turns up 7.5% of the time — so the 68% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: M-MONSOON · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Aug — script +0.01σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Aug residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.43σ
2025+0.14σ
2024+0.06σ
2023-0.16σ
2022+0.02σ
2021+0.33σ
2020-0.24σ
2019+0.04σ
2018+0.20σ
2017+0.03σ
2016-0.03σ
2015-0.05σ
2014+0.02σ
2013-0.29σ
2012+0.28σ
2011+0.10σ
2010+0.22σ
2009-0.36σ
2008+0.24σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Aug: +0.01σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Aug at least this hot turns up 95.0% of the time — so the 63% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Sep — script +0.01σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Sep residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.05σ
2025-0.22σ
2024+0.16σ
2023-0.03σ
2022+0.22σ
2021-0.00σ
2020-0.17σ
2019+0.22σ
2018-0.33σ
2017-0.32σ
2016-0.30σ
2015-0.08σ
2014+0.07σ
2013+0.24σ
2012-0.13σ
2011-0.01σ
2010+0.24σ
2009-0.09σ
2008+0.58σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Sep: +0.01σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Sep at least this hot turns up 91.0% of the time — so the 42% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Oct — script -0.11σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Oct residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-1.42σ
2025+0.00σ
2024-0.39σ
2023+0.08σ
2022-0.20σ
2021-0.40σ
2020-0.22σ
2019+0.06σ
2018-0.13σ
2017+0.02σ
2016-0.13σ
2015-0.06σ
2014-0.38σ
2013-0.39σ
2012+0.16σ
2011+0.19σ
2010-0.12σ
2009+0.65σ
2008+0.49σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Oct: -0.11σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Oct at least this cold turns up 47.3% of the time — so the 42% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: M-FESTIVE · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Nov — script +0.02σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Nov residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.13σ
2024-0.17σ
2023-0.07σ
2022+0.04σ
2021-0.03σ
2020-0.00σ
2019-0.37σ
2018+0.15σ
2017-0.01σ
2016-0.11σ
2015+0.04σ
2014+0.02σ
2013-0.23σ
2012+0.19σ
2011+0.14σ
2010+0.13σ
2009-0.06σ
2008+0.85σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Nov: +0.02σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Nov at least this hot turns up 77.1% of the time — so the 44% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: M-FESTIVE · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Dec — script -0.02σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Dec residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.00σ
2024-0.08σ
2023+0.15σ
2022-0.06σ
2021-0.07σ
2020+0.16σ
2019-0.24σ
2018+0.02σ
2017+0.07σ
2016+0.08σ
2015-0.09σ
2014+0.06σ
2013-0.16σ
2012-0.22σ
2011+0.16σ
2010+0.07σ
2009-0.24σ
2008-0.02σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Dec: -0.02σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Dec at least this cold turns up 69.7% of the time — so the 44% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 1 — year by year — script -0.31σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 1 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-3.56σ
2025+0.29σ
2024+0.29σ
2023+0.36σ
2022-0.20σ
2021-0.63σ
2020-0.25σ
2019-0.06σ
2018-0.15σ
2017-0.13σ
2016-0.47σ
2015-0.52σ
2014-0.20σ
2013-0.31σ
2012-0.43σ
2011+0.23σ
2010+0.32σ
2009-0.66σ
2008+0.18σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 1: -0.31σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 1 at least this cold turns up 11.9% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 2 — year by year — script +0.02σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 2 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.15σ
2025+0.40σ
2024-0.74σ
2023-0.38σ
2022-0.47σ
2021+0.26σ
2020+0.15σ
2019+0.38σ
2018+0.08σ
2017+0.08σ
2016+0.17σ
2015+0.31σ
2014+0.34σ
2013-0.71σ
2012-0.16σ
2011+0.18σ
2010-0.44σ
2009+0.88σ
2008-0.02σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 2: +0.02σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 2 at least this hot turns up 90.5% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 3 — year by year — script -0.05σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 3 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.21σ
2025-0.57σ
2024-0.11σ
2023-0.04σ
2022-0.11σ
2021-0.06σ
2020+0.62σ
2019-0.30σ
2018+0.17σ
2017+0.50σ
2016-0.66σ
2015+0.37σ
2014-0.20σ
2013+0.11σ
2012-0.81σ
2011-0.33σ
2010+0.25σ
2009-0.05σ
2008+0.53σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 3: -0.05σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 3 at least this cold turns up 74.6% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 4 — year by year — script +0.02σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 4 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.36σ
2025+0.44σ
2024-0.32σ
2023+1.16σ
2022+0.09σ
2021-0.28σ
2020+0.13σ
2019-0.29σ
2018+0.02σ
2017-0.49σ
2016+0.53σ
2015-0.76σ
2014-0.09σ
2013+0.39σ
2012-0.49σ
2011-0.21σ
2010+0.08σ
2009+0.32σ
2008-0.22σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 4: +0.02σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 4 at least this hot turns up 85.6% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: M-BUDGET-RUNUP · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 5 — year by year — script +0.18σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 5 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.82σ
2025+0.79σ
2024-0.54σ
2023+0.86σ
2022+0.56σ
2021-0.26σ
2020-0.26σ
2019+0.08σ
2018+0.14σ
2017+0.69σ
2016+0.55σ
2015+0.58σ
2014+0.30σ
2013+0.44σ
2012+0.07σ
2011-1.05σ
2010+0.24σ
2009+0.19σ
2008+0.93σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 5: +0.18σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 5 at least this hot turns up 10.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: M-BUDGET-RUNUP · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 6 — year by year — script -0.22σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 6 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.40σ
2025-1.69σ
2024-0.70σ
2023-0.40σ
2022-0.39σ
2021-0.91σ
2020-0.18σ
2019-0.38σ
2018-0.25σ
2017-0.09σ
2016-0.42σ
2015+0.50σ
2014-0.04σ
2013-0.25σ
2012-0.20σ
2011+0.20σ
2010+0.15σ
2009+0.28σ
2008+0.24σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 6: -0.22σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 6 at least this cold turns up 6.5% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: M-BUDGET-DAY · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,variance
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 7 — year by year — script -0.15σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 7 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.44σ
2025-0.17σ
2024-0.38σ
2023+0.09σ
2022+0.09σ
2021-0.39σ
2020-0.09σ
2019-0.05σ
2018-0.08σ
2017-0.34σ
2016-0.16σ
2015+0.02σ
2014-0.37σ
2013+0.03σ
2012-0.44σ
2011+0.18σ
2010+0.25σ
2009-0.49σ
2008-0.11σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 7: -0.15σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 7 at least this cold turns up 23.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 8 — year by year — script +0.04σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 8 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.44σ
2025-0.61σ
2024+0.29σ
2023+0.30σ
2022-0.29σ
2021-0.39σ
2020-0.03σ
2019-0.28σ
2018+0.01σ
2017-0.29σ
2016-0.02σ
2015+0.62σ
2014-0.35σ
2013-0.47σ
2012+0.73σ
2011+0.31σ
2010-0.70σ
2009+0.51σ
2008+0.89σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 8: +0.04σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 8 at least this hot turns up 85.1% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 9 — year by year — script +0.04σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 9 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.16σ
2025-0.06σ
2024-0.04σ
2023-0.16σ
2022-0.19σ
2021+0.24σ
2020+0.08σ
2019-0.06σ
2018-0.19σ
2017-0.14σ
2016+0.09σ
2015-1.08σ
2014+0.12σ
2013+0.27σ
2012-0.26σ
2011+1.11σ
2010+0.56σ
2009+0.32σ
2008+0.35σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 9: +0.04σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 9 at least this hot turns up 92.0% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 10 — year by year — script -0.00σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 10 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.14σ
2025+0.16σ
2024-0.06σ
2023+0.08σ
2022+0.36σ
2021-0.41σ
2020-0.04σ
2019+0.09σ
2018-0.07σ
2017+0.00σ
2016+0.23σ
2015-0.35σ
2014-0.13σ
2013-0.16σ
2012+0.31σ
2011-0.03σ
2010+0.05σ
2009-1.16σ
2008+1.25σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 10: -0.00σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 10 at least this cold turns up 90.0% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 11 — year by year — script +0.15σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 11 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.28σ
2025+0.29σ
2024+0.41σ
2023+0.02σ
2022+0.37σ
2021+1.17σ
2020-1.15σ
2019-0.55σ
2018-0.03σ
2017+0.99σ
2016+0.05σ
2015+0.13σ
2014+0.32σ
2013+0.50σ
2012+0.73σ
2011-0.33σ
2010+0.02σ
2009-0.13σ
2008+0.27σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 11: +0.15σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 11 at least this hot turns up 20.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 12 — year by year — script +0.15σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 12 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.49σ
2025-0.36σ
2024-0.36σ
2023+0.30σ
2022-0.87σ
2021+0.07σ
2020+2.03σ
2019+0.23σ
2018+0.20σ
2017-0.02σ
2016-0.30σ
2015-0.77σ
2014+0.82σ
2013+0.56σ
2012+0.62σ
2011+0.08σ
2010+0.39σ
2009-0.04σ
2008+0.78σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 12: +0.15σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 12 at least this hot turns up 25.9% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 13 — year by year — script +0.10σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 13 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.10σ
2025+0.27σ
2024-0.25σ
2023+0.21σ
2022+0.39σ
2021+0.61σ
2020+0.18σ
2019-0.22σ
2018-0.02σ
2017-0.12σ
2016+0.35σ
2015-0.26σ
2014-0.28σ
2013+0.25σ
2012+0.43σ
2011+0.23σ
2010-0.18σ
2009-0.08σ
2008+0.46σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 13: +0.10σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 13 at least this hot turns up 44.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 14 — year by year — script +0.07σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 14 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.07σ
2025+0.73σ
2024-0.43σ
2023-0.21σ
2022+0.90σ
2021+0.22σ
2020+2.23σ
2019-0.47σ
2018+0.15σ
2017-0.57σ
2016-0.49σ
2015+0.48σ
2014-0.62σ
2013-0.59σ
2012-0.24σ
2011+0.04σ
2010+0.16σ
2009-0.71σ
2008+0.91σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 14: +0.07σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 14 at least this hot turns up 54.7% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 15 — year by year — script +0.27σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 15 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.00σ
2025+1.29σ
2024-0.19σ
2023-0.22σ
2022+0.24σ
2021-0.01σ
2020+0.66σ
2019+0.57σ
2018-0.03σ
2017+0.33σ
2016+0.28σ
2015+0.83σ
2014-0.36σ
2013+0.23σ
2012+1.06σ
2011+0.82σ
2010+0.33σ
2009-0.70σ
2008-0.04σ
Why this reads grey — the subtle one
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 15: +0.27σ
On its own this looks strong: a random reshuffle beats it only 4.0% of the time. But it is 1 of 53 weeks tested for Nifty FMCG; correct for looking at all 53 (dependency-safe Benjamini–Hochberg–Yekutieli) and it no longer stands. Strong in isolation ≠ surviving the look across the whole calendar — — up, still grey.
mechanism: — · gates: fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 16 — year by year — script +0.09σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 16 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.57σ
2025-0.55σ
2024-0.04σ
2023+0.40σ
2022-0.00σ
2021-0.79σ
2020-0.21σ
2019-0.19σ
2018+0.89σ
2017-0.36σ
2016-0.47σ
2015+0.45σ
2014+0.90σ
2013+0.62σ
2012+0.45σ
2011-0.02σ
2010+0.21σ
2009+0.13σ
2008-0.23σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 16: +0.09σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 16 at least this hot turns up 51.2% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 17 — year by year — script +0.01σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 17 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.90σ
2025-0.21σ
2024+0.25σ
2023+0.23σ
2022+0.46σ
2021-0.47σ
2020-0.28σ
2019-0.06σ
2018+0.09σ
2017+0.15σ
2016-0.13σ
2015-0.24σ
2014-0.86σ
2013-0.24σ
2012+0.20σ
2011+0.43σ
2010+0.06σ
2009-0.09σ
2008+0.02σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 17: +0.01σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 17 at least this hot turns up 83.1% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 18 — year by year — script -0.14σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 18 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.12σ
2025-0.34σ
2024-0.16σ
2023+0.18σ
2022+0.13σ
2021+0.11σ
2020-1.47σ
2019-0.86σ
2018-0.10σ
2017-0.04σ
2016-0.12σ
2015-1.50σ
2014-0.23σ
2013+1.76σ
2012-0.05σ
2011-0.28σ
2010+0.19σ
2009-0.03σ
2008+0.08σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 18: -0.14σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 18 at least this cold turns up 38.8% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 19 — year by year — script +0.20σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 19 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.28σ
2025-0.04σ
2024+0.95σ
2023+0.20σ
2022+0.58σ
2021+0.81σ
2020-0.87σ
2019+0.21σ
2018+0.11σ
2017+0.12σ
2016-0.05σ
2015+0.43σ
2014-0.25σ
2013+0.49σ
2012+0.01σ
2011+0.80σ
2010+0.35σ
2009-0.59σ
2008+0.79σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 19: +0.20σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 19 at least this hot turns up 9.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 20 — year by year — script +0.04σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 20 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.41σ
2025-0.26σ
2024-0.53σ
2023+0.04σ
2022+0.66σ
2021-0.71σ
2020+0.28σ
2019+0.44σ
2018+0.68σ
2017+0.45σ
2016+0.17σ
2015-0.10σ
2014-0.13σ
2013-0.83σ
2012+0.44σ
2011+0.06σ
2010+0.29σ
2009-0.59σ
2008-0.11σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 20: +0.04σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 20 at least this hot turns up 78.6% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 21 — year by year — script -0.11σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 21 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.54σ
2025-0.20σ
2024-0.22σ
2023+0.52σ
2022-0.19σ
2021-0.12σ
2020+1.01σ
2019-0.73σ
2018-0.28σ
2017+1.00σ
2016+0.77σ
2015-0.17σ
2014-1.23σ
2013+0.23σ
2012-0.63σ
2011+0.10σ
2010+0.35σ
2009-1.69σ
2008-0.12σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 21: -0.11σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 21 at least this cold turns up 34.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 22 — year by year — script +0.06σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 22 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.62σ
2025-0.63σ
2024-0.38σ
2023+0.36σ
2022-0.24σ
2021-0.19σ
2020+0.63σ
2019-0.28σ
2018-0.09σ
2017+0.69σ
2016-0.15σ
2015-0.11σ
2014+0.35σ
2013+0.52σ
2012+0.23σ
2011+0.51σ
2010+0.58σ
2009-0.72σ
2008+0.71σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 22: +0.06σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 22 at least this hot turns up 62.2% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 23 — year by year — script -0.07σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 23 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.46σ
2025-0.02σ
2024+1.34σ
2023-0.41σ
2022-0.24σ
2021+0.16σ
2020-0.85σ
2019+0.25σ
2018-0.05σ
2017-0.56σ
2016-0.26σ
2015-0.51σ
2014-0.60σ
2013-0.13σ
2012-0.17σ
2011-0.11σ
2010-0.04σ
2009+0.80σ
2008+0.59σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 23: -0.07σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 23 at least this cold turns up 52.2% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 24 — year by year — script +0.07σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 24 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.21σ
2025-0.45σ
2024-0.74σ
2023+0.61σ
2022+0.17σ
2021+0.71σ
2020-0.18σ
2019+0.08σ
2018-0.03σ
2017+0.01σ
2016+0.33σ
2015-0.30σ
2014-0.11σ
2013-0.14σ
2012+0.56σ
2011+0.37σ
2010+0.37σ
2009+0.39σ
2008-0.57σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 24: +0.07σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 24 at least this hot turns up 56.2% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 25 — year by year — script -0.01σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 25 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.00σ
2025-0.05σ
2024-0.80σ
2023-0.44σ
2022+0.69σ
2021-0.42σ
2020-0.88σ
2019-0.37σ
2018-0.08σ
2017+0.31σ
2016-0.20σ
2015+0.12σ
2014-0.06σ
2013-0.19σ
2012+0.12σ
2011+0.04σ
2010+0.51σ
2009+0.92σ
2008+0.56σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 25: -0.01σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 25 at least this cold turns up 98.5% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 26 — year by year — script +0.13σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 26 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.06σ
2025-0.20σ
2024+0.11σ
2023+0.03σ
2022+0.60σ
2021+0.21σ
2020+0.64σ
2019-0.06σ
2018+0.51σ
2017+0.73σ
2016+0.83σ
2015+0.12σ
2014-0.88σ
2013-0.37σ
2012+0.21σ
2011+0.41σ
2010+0.10σ
2009+0.00σ
2008-0.50σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 26: +0.13σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 26 at least this hot turns up 30.9% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 27 — year by year — script +0.14σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 27 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.26σ
2025-0.15σ
2024+0.10σ
2023+0.25σ
2022+0.98σ
2021-0.08σ
2020+0.40σ
2019+0.34σ
2018+0.25σ
2017+0.36σ
2016-0.32σ
2015+0.42σ
2014+0.20σ
2013+1.15σ
2012-0.53σ
2011-0.08σ
2010-0.12σ
2009-0.10σ
2008-0.61σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 27: +0.14σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 27 at least this hot turns up 26.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 28 — year by year — script +0.24σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 28 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.48σ
2025+0.83σ
2024+0.90σ
2023+0.05σ
2022+0.44σ
2021-0.24σ
2020-0.00σ
2019-0.33σ
2018-0.06σ
2017+0.03σ
2016-0.19σ
2015-0.41σ
2014+1.01σ
2013-0.05σ
2012+0.16σ
2011+0.07σ
2010+0.10σ
2009+1.93σ
2008+0.72σ
Why this reads grey — the subtle one
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 28: +0.24σ
On its own this looks strong: a random reshuffle beats it only 4.0% of the time. But it is 1 of 53 weeks tested for Nifty FMCG; correct for looking at all 53 (dependency-safe Benjamini–Hochberg–Yekutieli) and it no longer stands. Strong in isolation ≠ surviving the look across the whole calendar — — up, still grey.
mechanism: — · gates: fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 29 — year by year — script +0.04σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 29 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.31σ
2025+0.31σ
2024+1.03σ
2023-0.02σ
2022-0.03σ
2021+0.36σ
2020+0.36σ
2019+0.04σ
2018-0.23σ
2017-1.97σ
2016-0.16σ
2015+0.33σ
2014-0.52σ
2013+1.49σ
2012+0.17σ
2011+0.27σ
2010-0.03σ
2009-0.40σ
2008+0.12σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 29: +0.04σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 29 at least this hot turns up 78.1% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 30 — year by year — script +0.07σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 30 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.53σ
2025-0.78σ
2024+0.40σ
2023-0.43σ
2022-0.41σ
2021-0.36σ
2020-0.77σ
2019+0.27σ
2018+0.74σ
2017+0.05σ
2016-0.01σ
2015-0.22σ
2014+0.65σ
2013-0.09σ
2012+0.60σ
2011+0.29σ
2010+0.09σ
2009+0.19σ
2008+0.58σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 30: +0.07σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 30 at least this hot turns up 55.2% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 31 — year by year — script -0.02σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 31 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.37σ
2025+1.11σ
2024-0.43σ
2023-0.43σ
2022+0.01σ
2021+0.09σ
2020-0.06σ
2019+0.23σ
2018+0.35σ
2017-0.56σ
2016-0.20σ
2015+0.63σ
2014+0.02σ
2013-1.48σ
2012+0.08σ
2011-0.35σ
2010+0.39σ
2009+0.88σ
2008-0.23σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 31: -0.02σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 31 at least this cold turns up 88.6% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 32 — year by year — script -0.08σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 32 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.00σ
2025-0.48σ
2024+0.43σ
2023-0.35σ
2022-0.74σ
2021-0.02σ
2020+0.20σ
2019+0.11σ
2018-0.06σ
2017-0.18σ
2016+0.26σ
2015-0.24σ
2014+0.00σ
2013-0.38σ
2012+0.42σ
2011+0.33σ
2010-0.09σ
2009-1.03σ
2008+0.29σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 32: -0.08σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 32 at least this cold turns up 57.2% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 33 — year by year — script +0.13σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 33 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.38σ
2025-0.40σ
2024-0.11σ
2023+0.21σ
2022+0.26σ
2021+1.78σ
2020-0.28σ
2019-0.48σ
2018+0.75σ
2017+0.77σ
2016-0.41σ
2015-0.56σ
2014+0.21σ
2013-0.13σ
2012-0.29σ
2011+0.78σ
2010+0.42σ
2009-0.36σ
2008+0.73σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 33: +0.13σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 33 at least this hot turns up 33.8% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 34 — year by year — script -0.05σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 34 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.60σ
2025+0.32σ
2024+0.25σ
2023-0.05σ
2022-0.01σ
2021-0.17σ
2020-0.10σ
2019-0.25σ
2018-0.16σ
2017-0.27σ
2016+0.10σ
2015+0.71σ
2014-0.73σ
2013-0.62σ
2012+0.36σ
2011+0.13σ
2010+0.02σ
2009-0.01σ
2008+0.09σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 34: -0.05σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 34 at least this cold turns up 64.7% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 35 — year by year — script +0.13σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 35 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.41σ
2025+0.79σ
2024-0.41σ
2023-0.42σ
2022+0.64σ
2021+0.27σ
2020-0.74σ
2019+0.53σ
2018+0.15σ
2017+0.03σ
2016+0.19σ
2015-0.10σ
2014+0.89σ
2013+0.12σ
2012+0.56σ
2011-0.35σ
2010+0.39σ
2009-0.01σ
2008+0.43σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 35: +0.13σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 35 at least this hot turns up 33.8% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 36 — year by year — script -0.19σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 36 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.34σ
2025-0.21σ
2024+0.24σ
2023-0.14σ
2022-0.20σ
2021+0.17σ
2020+0.09σ
2019-0.60σ
2018-1.09σ
2017-0.51σ
2016-0.35σ
2015-0.07σ
2014-0.56σ
2013+0.04σ
2012-0.17σ
2011-0.29σ
2010-0.14σ
2009+0.38σ
2008+0.21σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 36: -0.19σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 36 at least this cold turns up 10.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 37 — year by year — script -0.06σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 37 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.21σ
2025-0.15σ
2024+0.48σ
2023-0.13σ
2022-0.15σ
2021-0.09σ
2020-0.03σ
2019-0.41σ
2018-0.23σ
2017-0.19σ
2016+0.26σ
2015-0.56σ
2014+0.17σ
2013+0.51σ
2012-0.25σ
2011-0.11σ
2010+0.19σ
2009-0.92σ
2008+0.68σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 37: -0.06σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 37 at least this cold turns up 64.7% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 38 — year by year — script +0.08σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 38 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.37σ
2025-0.37σ
2024+0.14σ
2023+0.32σ
2022+1.27σ
2021-0.01σ
2020-0.69σ
2019+0.76σ
2018+0.14σ
2017-0.05σ
2016-0.69σ
2015-0.28σ
2014+0.01σ
2013+0.70σ
2012-1.04σ
2011-0.10σ
2010+0.89σ
2009-0.10σ
2008+0.21σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 38: +0.08σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 38 at least this hot turns up 53.7% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 39 — year by year — script +0.15σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 39 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.50σ
2025-0.12σ
2024-0.24σ
2023-0.04σ
2022-0.00σ
2021-0.27σ
2020-0.02σ
2019+0.72σ
2018-0.04σ
2017-0.53σ
2016-0.60σ
2015+0.11σ
2014+0.81σ
2013-0.08σ
2012+0.75σ
2011+0.37σ
2010-0.22σ
2009+0.52σ
2008+1.23σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 39: +0.15σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 39 at least this hot turns up 22.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 40 — year by year — script -0.23σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 40 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.94σ
2025-0.10σ
2024-0.45σ
2023-0.02σ
2022-0.76σ
2021-0.70σ
2020-0.31σ
2019-0.09σ
2018-1.00σ
2017+0.36σ
2016-0.22σ
2015+0.52σ
2014-0.60σ
2013-0.80σ
2012+0.37σ
2011+0.14σ
2010-0.48σ
2009-0.31σ
2008+1.00σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 40: -0.23σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 40 at least this cold turns up 8.5% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 41 — year by year — script -0.06σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 41 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.35σ
2024-0.66σ
2023+0.40σ
2022-0.15σ
2021+0.58σ
2020-0.63σ
2019-0.10σ
2018-0.04σ
2017-0.00σ
2016-0.16σ
2015+0.20σ
2014-0.68σ
2013-0.43σ
2012+0.56σ
2011-0.03σ
2010+0.02σ
2009+1.35σ
2008-0.90σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 41: -0.06σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 41 at least this cold turns up 76.1% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 42 — year by year — script +0.13σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 42 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.65σ
2024-0.35σ
2023-0.19σ
2022+0.39σ
2021-1.28σ
2020-0.04σ
2019+0.32σ
2018+1.05σ
2017+0.14σ
2016-0.12σ
2015-0.14σ
2014+0.05σ
2013+0.41σ
2012+0.50σ
2011+0.03σ
2010+0.02σ
2009-0.25σ
2008+1.16σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 42: +0.13σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 42 at least this hot turns up 33.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 43 — year by year — script +0.06σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 43 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.25σ
2024-0.26σ
2023+0.29σ
2022-0.49σ
2021-0.11σ
2020-0.20σ
2019+0.22σ
2018-0.36σ
2017-0.10σ
2016-0.04σ
2015+0.27σ
2014-0.33σ
2013-0.49σ
2012-0.72σ
2011+0.50σ
2010+0.08σ
2009+0.83σ
2008+2.18σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 43: +0.06σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 43 at least this hot turns up 64.7% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 44 — year by year — script -0.13σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 44 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.09σ
2024-0.02σ
2023+0.02σ
2022+0.02σ
2021+0.00σ
2020+0.01σ
2019+0.13σ
2018-0.20σ
2017-0.33σ
2016+0.81σ
2015-0.53σ
2014-0.35σ
2013-0.67σ
2012-0.35σ
2011+0.12σ
2010+0.05σ
2009+0.76σ
2008-1.65σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 44: -0.13σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 44 at least this cold turns up 28.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 45 — year by year — script -0.02σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 45 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.31σ
2024-0.39σ
2023-0.16σ
2022-0.16σ
2021-0.10σ
2020-0.17σ
2019-0.41σ
2018-0.26σ
2017+0.27σ
2016-0.70σ
2015+0.34σ
2014+0.05σ
2013-0.74σ
2012+0.36σ
2011+1.03σ
2010+0.14σ
2009-0.64σ
2008+1.54σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 45: -0.02σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 45 at least this cold turns up 89.5% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 46 — year by year — script -0.13σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 46 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.18σ
2024-0.91σ
2023+0.02σ
2022-0.37σ
2021+0.34σ
2020+0.28σ
2019-0.69σ
2018+0.26σ
2017-0.17σ
2016-0.76σ
2015-0.23σ
2014+0.56σ
2013-0.26σ
2012-0.25σ
2011-0.11σ
2010+0.26σ
2009-0.21σ
2008+0.14σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 46: -0.13σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 46 at least this cold turns up 38.8% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 47 — year by year — script +0.07σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 47 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.01σ
2024+0.47σ
2023-0.14σ
2022+0.03σ
2021-0.26σ
2020-0.15σ
2019-0.47σ
2018+0.33σ
2017-0.01σ
2016+0.08σ
2015+0.43σ
2014+0.01σ
2013-0.19σ
2012+0.53σ
2011-0.40σ
2010-0.04σ
2009+0.26σ
2008+0.80σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 47: +0.07σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 47 at least this hot turns up 54.2% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 48 — year by year — script +0.11σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 48 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.06σ
2024+0.10σ
2023+0.24σ
2022+0.39σ
2021-0.22σ
2020-0.06σ
2019-0.13σ
2018+0.32σ
2017-0.01σ
2016+0.01σ
2015-0.27σ
2014-0.52σ
2013+0.34σ
2012+0.38σ
2011+0.38σ
2010-0.00σ
2009+0.34σ
2008+0.73σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 48: +0.11σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 48 at least this hot turns up 42.8% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 49 — year by year — script -0.02σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 49 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.13σ
2024-0.60σ
2023-0.69σ
2022+0.78σ
2021+0.14σ
2020+0.13σ
2019-0.16σ
2018-0.12σ
2017+0.51σ
2016+0.15σ
2015-0.23σ
2014+1.29σ
2013-0.93σ
2012-0.09σ
2011-0.25σ
2010+0.20σ
2009-0.45σ
2008+0.14σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 49: -0.02σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 49 at least this cold turns up 91.5% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 50 — year by year — script -0.10σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 50 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.29σ
2024-0.47σ
2023-0.14σ
2022-0.31σ
2021-0.72σ
2020+1.34σ
2019-0.33σ
2018+0.29σ
2017-0.11σ
2016-0.56σ
2015-0.24σ
2014+0.33σ
2013+0.33σ
2012-0.30σ
2011+0.45σ
2010-0.26σ
2009-0.09σ
2008-0.79σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 50: -0.10σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 50 at least this cold turns up 43.8% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 51 — year by year — script -0.07σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 51 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.19σ
2024+0.18σ
2023+0.55σ
2022+0.07σ
2021+0.35σ
2020-0.52σ
2019-0.31σ
2018-0.16σ
2017-0.14σ
2016-0.18σ
2015-0.15σ
2014-1.60σ
2013-0.20σ
2012-0.26σ
2011+0.65σ
2010+0.12σ
2009-0.35σ
2008+0.54σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 51: -0.07σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 51 at least this cold turns up 68.7% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 52 — year by year — script +0.14σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 52 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.13σ
2024+0.40σ
2023+0.74σ
2022-0.56σ
2021+0.08σ
2020+0.05σ
2019-0.28σ
2018+0.18σ
2017+0.00σ
2016+1.01σ
2015+0.08σ
2014-0.07σ
2013+0.13σ
2012-0.14σ
2011-0.09σ
2010+0.40σ
2009+0.03σ
2008+0.36σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 52: +0.14σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Week 52 at least this hot turns up 29.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Week 53 — year by year — script -0.18σ over 5 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 53 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2021+0.41σ
2020-0.34σ
2016-0.43σ
2015-0.04σ
2009-0.48σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 53: -0.18σ
Only 5 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Mon — year by year — script -0.00σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Mon residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.10σ
2025-0.08σ
2024-0.08σ
2023-0.01σ
2022-0.13σ
2021-0.03σ
2020-0.11σ
2019-0.03σ
2018+0.06σ
2017+0.10σ
2016+0.10σ
2015-0.14σ
2014-0.20σ
2013-0.02σ
2012-0.10σ
2011+0.18σ
2010+0.00σ
2009+0.13σ
2008+0.45σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Mon: -0.00σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Mon at least this cold turns up 100.0% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Tue — year by year — script +0.01σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Tue residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.01σ
2025-0.19σ
2024+0.00σ
2023-0.00σ
2022+0.01σ
2021-0.12σ
2020+0.00σ
2019-0.03σ
2018-0.17σ
2017-0.12σ
2016-0.10σ
2015+0.06σ
2014-0.05σ
2013+0.20σ
2012+0.11σ
2011+0.05σ
2010+0.13σ
2009+0.04σ
2008+0.38σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Tue: +0.01σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Tue at least this hot turns up 77.6% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Wed — year by year — script +0.04σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Wed residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.10σ
2025-0.08σ
2024+0.16σ
2023+0.36σ
2022+0.21σ
2021-0.13σ
2020+0.04σ
2019-0.13σ
2018+0.13σ
2017+0.13σ
2016-0.22σ
2015-0.06σ
2014-0.06σ
2013-0.08σ
2012+0.18σ
2011+0.36σ
2010+0.15σ
2009-0.09σ
2008+0.06σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Wed: +0.04σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Wed at least this hot turns up 31.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Thu — year by year — script -0.00σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Thu residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.36σ
2025-0.03σ
2024-0.40σ
2023-0.11σ
2022+0.13σ
2021-0.08σ
2020-0.02σ
2019+0.02σ
2018+0.03σ
2017-0.16σ
2016+0.05σ
2015+0.03σ
2014+0.17σ
2013+0.04σ
2012+0.11σ
2011+0.06σ
2010+0.20σ
2009-0.01σ
2008+0.27σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Thu: -0.00σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Thu at least this cold turns up 99.5% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: F-EXPIRY · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,variance
Behind the script · Nifty FMCG · Fri — year by year — script +0.04σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Fri residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.02σ
2025+0.13σ
2024+0.05σ
2023+0.03σ
2022+0.19σ
2021+0.10σ
2020+0.05σ
2019-0.17σ
2018+0.19σ
2017+0.05σ
2016-0.05σ
2015+0.02σ
2014-0.20σ
2013-0.24σ
2012+0.09σ
2011-0.04σ
2010+0.19σ
2009-0.10σ
2008+0.57σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Fri: +0.04σ
Reshuffle Nifty FMCG’s own calendar at random and a Fri at least this hot turns up 31.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism