💡 Click any month cell below to break it down year-by-year.
💡 Click any week cell to break it down year-by-year.
💡 Click any weekday cell to break it down year-by-year.
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Jan — script +0.13σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Jan residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.20σ
2025+0.09σ
2024+0.11σ
2023+0.35σ
2022-0.52σ
2021+0.20σ
2020+0.17σ
2019+0.43σ
2018+0.48σ
2017-0.44σ
2016+0.29σ
2015+0.06σ
2014+0.36σ
2013+0.53σ
2012-0.39σ
2011+0.14σ
2010+0.03σ
2009+0.32σ
2008+0.11σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Jan: +0.13σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Jan at least this hot turns up 21.9% of the time — so the 84% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Feb — script +0.05σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Feb residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-1.06σ
2025-0.33σ
2024+0.12σ
2023+0.13σ
2022+0.03σ
2021-0.36σ
2020-0.01σ
2019+0.14σ
2018+0.18σ
2017+0.29σ
2016-0.07σ
2015+0.34σ
2014+0.08σ
2013+0.57σ
2012+0.14σ
2011-0.01σ
2010+0.18σ
2009+0.03σ
2008+0.52σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Feb: +0.05σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Feb at least this hot turns up 70.2% of the time — so the 68% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Mar — script -0.00σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Mar residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.28σ
2025-0.35σ
2024-0.44σ
2023-0.15σ
2022+0.20σ
2021+0.29σ
2020+0.26σ
2019-0.34σ
2018+0.09σ
2017-0.09σ
2016+0.10σ
2015-0.06σ
2014-0.81σ
2013+0.17σ
2012+0.01σ
2011+0.02σ
2010-0.04σ
2009+0.24σ
2008+0.59σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Mar: -0.00σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Mar at least this cold turns up 100.0% of the time — so the 58% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: M-FYEND · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Apr — script -0.14σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Apr residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.32σ
2025-0.27σ
2024-0.39σ
2023-0.40σ
2022-0.72σ
2021-0.04σ
2020+0.02σ
2019+0.40σ
2018+0.36σ
2017-0.50σ
2016-0.12σ
2015-0.31σ
2014-0.05σ
2013-0.99σ
2012-0.22σ
2011-0.25σ
2010+0.09σ
2009+0.35σ
2008+0.76σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Apr: -0.14σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Apr at least this cold turns up 20.4% of the time — so the 32% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · May — script +0.06σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's May residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.01σ
2025+0.11σ
2024-0.11σ
2023+0.16σ
2022-0.11σ
2021+0.03σ
2020+0.10σ
2019-0.18σ
2018+0.01σ
2017+0.25σ
2016-0.00σ
2015+0.16σ
2014-0.50σ
2013+0.31σ
2012+0.21σ
2011+0.01σ
2010+0.01σ
2009-0.29σ
2008+1.02σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis May: +0.06σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a May at least this hot turns up 59.7% of the time — so the 63% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Jun — script +0.07σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Jun residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.52σ
2025+0.10σ
2024+0.33σ
2023-0.10σ
2022-0.09σ
2021+0.30σ
2020-0.02σ
2019+0.02σ
2018+0.23σ
2017-0.14σ
2016-0.17σ
2015-0.15σ
2014+0.24σ
2013+0.33σ
2012-0.12σ
2011+0.07σ
2010+0.01σ
2009+0.52σ
2008+0.47σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Jun: +0.07σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Jun at least this hot turns up 56.7% of the time — so the 58% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: M-MONSOON · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Jul — script +0.16σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Jul residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.70σ
2025-0.32σ
2024+0.46σ
2023-0.05σ
2022-0.11σ
2021+0.19σ
2020+0.74σ
2019+0.18σ
2018+0.05σ
2017+0.11σ
2016-0.26σ
2015+0.14σ
2014+0.18σ
2013+0.86σ
2012-0.25σ
2011-0.08σ
2010+0.10σ
2009+0.61σ
2008-0.26σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Jul: +0.16σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Jul at least this hot turns up 9.0% of the time — so the 63% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: M-MONSOON · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Aug — script +0.14σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Aug residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.12σ
2025+0.10σ
2024+0.23σ
2023+0.25σ
2022-0.31σ
2021+0.40σ
2020-0.15σ
2019+0.20σ
2018+0.31σ
2017-0.01σ
2016-0.20σ
2015+0.27σ
2014+0.09σ
2013+0.61σ
2012+0.30σ
2011-0.25σ
2010-0.06σ
2009+0.29σ
2008+0.53σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Aug: +0.14σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Aug at least this hot turns up 18.9% of the time — so the 68% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Sep — script +0.02σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Sep residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.32σ
2025-0.23σ
2024-0.16σ
2023+0.04σ
2022-0.11σ
2021-0.04σ
2020+0.56σ
2019-0.31σ
2018+0.49σ
2017+0.04σ
2016-0.04σ
2015+0.23σ
2014+0.24σ
2013-0.30σ
2012-0.14σ
2011+0.27σ
2010+0.16σ
2009+0.28σ
2008-0.24σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Sep: +0.02σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Sep at least this hot turns up 86.1% of the time — so the 47% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Oct — script +0.24σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Oct residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+3.17σ
2025+0.16σ
2024+0.11σ
2023-0.06σ
2022+0.18σ
2021-0.07σ
2020+0.17σ
2019-0.11σ
2018-0.07σ
2017-0.05σ
2016-0.14σ
2015-0.28σ
2014-0.15σ
2013+0.07σ
2012-0.09σ
2011+0.28σ
2010+0.01σ
2009+0.28σ
2008+1.08σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Oct: +0.24σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Oct at least this hot turns up 46.3% of the time — so the 53% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: M-FESTIVE · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Nov — script +0.09σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Nov residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.25σ
2024+0.40σ
2023+0.07σ
2022+0.16σ
2021+0.24σ
2020-0.22σ
2019-0.21σ
2018-0.22σ
2017+0.16σ
2016+0.27σ
2015-0.06σ
2014+0.12σ
2013+0.06σ
2012-0.04σ
2011+0.13σ
2010+0.22σ
2009+0.11σ
2008+0.11σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Nov: +0.09σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Nov at least this hot turns up 48.3% of the time — so the 72% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: M-FESTIVE · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Dec — script +0.09σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Dec residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.10σ
2024+0.11σ
2023+0.16σ
2022-0.16σ
2021+0.39σ
2020+0.28σ
2019+0.23σ
2018-0.05σ
2017+0.14σ
2016+0.23σ
2015+0.01σ
2014-0.18σ
2013+0.29σ
2012-0.21σ
2011+0.41σ
2010+0.33σ
2009+0.28σ
2008-0.63σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Dec: +0.09σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Dec at least this hot turns up 48.3% of the time — so the 72% you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 1 — year by year — script -0.07σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 1 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.24σ
2025-0.39σ
2024-0.45σ
2023-0.27σ
2022-0.68σ
2021+0.96σ
2020+0.47σ
2019-0.24σ
2018-0.09σ
2017-0.77σ
2016+0.35σ
2015+0.16σ
2014+0.52σ
2013-0.01σ
2012-0.02σ
2011+0.25σ
2010-0.76σ
2009+0.25σ
2008-0.80σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 1: -0.07σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 1 at least this cold turns up 45.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 2 — year by year — script +0.40σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 2 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.33σ
2025+1.15σ
2024+0.91σ
2023+0.67σ
2022-0.03σ
2021+0.19σ
2020-0.01σ
2019+0.19σ
2018+0.72σ
2017+0.01σ
2016+0.64σ
2015+0.28σ
2014+0.37σ
2013+1.88σ
2012-1.75σ
2011-0.02σ
2010+1.23σ
2009+0.77σ
2008-0.02σ
Why this reads grey — the subtle one
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 2: +0.40σ
On its own this looks strong: a random reshuffle beats it only 1.5% of the time. But it is 1 of 53 weeks tested for Nifty IT; correct for looking at all 53 (dependency-safe Benjamini–Hochberg–Yekutieli) and it no longer stands. Strong in isolation ≠ surviving the look across the whole calendar — — up, still grey.
mechanism: — · gates: fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 3 — year by year — script +0.12σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 3 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.77σ
2025-1.14σ
2024+0.22σ
2023+0.45σ
2022-0.95σ
2021+0.23σ
2020+0.32σ
2019+0.81σ
2018+0.87σ
2017-0.17σ
2016+0.17σ
2015+0.05σ
2014+0.14σ
2013+0.29σ
2012-0.40σ
2011+0.41σ
2010-0.11σ
2009+0.22σ
2008+0.13σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 3: +0.12σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 3 at least this hot turns up 48.8% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 4 — year by year — script +0.16σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 4 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.14σ
2025+1.05σ
2024+0.14σ
2023+0.89σ
2022-0.99σ
2021-0.86σ
2020+0.24σ
2019+0.51σ
2018+0.86σ
2017-0.56σ
2016+0.15σ
2015-0.07σ
2014+0.28σ
2013+0.15σ
2012+0.28σ
2011+0.15σ
2010-0.30σ
2009-0.07σ
2008+1.04σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 4: +0.16σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 4 at least this hot turns up 28.9% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: M-BUDGET-RUNUP · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 5 — year by year — script +0.18σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 5 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.11σ
2025-0.75σ
2024+0.05σ
2023+0.51σ
2022+0.36σ
2021-0.79σ
2020+0.49σ
2019+0.86σ
2018+0.53σ
2017-0.52σ
2016+0.20σ
2015-0.09σ
2014+0.34σ
2013+0.05σ
2012+0.22σ
2011-0.21σ
2010+0.07σ
2009+0.51σ
2008+1.52σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 5: +0.18σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 5 at least this hot turns up 22.9% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: M-BUDGET-RUNUP · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 6 — year by year — script +0.05σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 6 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-2.07σ
2025+0.42σ
2024+0.20σ
2023+0.15σ
2022-0.20σ
2021+0.34σ
2020-0.39σ
2019+0.46σ
2018-0.47σ
2017+0.64σ
2016-0.46σ
2015+1.32σ
2014-0.57σ
2013+0.68σ
2012+0.18σ
2011+0.03σ
2010+0.31σ
2009+0.01σ
2008+0.36σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 6: +0.05σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 6 at least this hot turns up 83.6% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: M-BUDGET-DAY · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,variance
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 7 — year by year — script +0.01σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 7 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-1.68σ
2025+0.02σ
2024+0.29σ
2023+0.17σ
2022+0.27σ
2021-0.36σ
2020+0.31σ
2019+0.16σ
2018-0.04σ
2017+0.30σ
2016+0.42σ
2015+0.00σ
2014+0.52σ
2013+0.21σ
2012+0.06σ
2011-0.12σ
2010+0.30σ
2009-0.34σ
2008-0.25σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 7: +0.01σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 7 at least this hot turns up 92.0% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 8 — year by year — script +0.10σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 8 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.47σ
2025-0.42σ
2024-0.33σ
2023+0.08σ
2022-0.01σ
2021-0.64σ
2020+0.04σ
2019-0.31σ
2018+0.75σ
2017+0.19σ
2016-0.14σ
2015+0.15σ
2014+0.20σ
2013+0.51σ
2012+0.76σ
2011+0.12σ
2010+0.11σ
2009+0.15σ
2008+1.25σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 8: +0.10σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 8 at least this hot turns up 58.7% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 9 — year by year — script -0.08σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 9 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.73σ
2025-1.30σ
2024-0.26σ
2023-0.62σ
2022+0.98σ
2021+0.33σ
2020-0.60σ
2019+0.04σ
2018-0.10σ
2017+0.33σ
2016-0.04σ
2015+0.08σ
2014+0.22σ
2013+0.85σ
2012-0.35σ
2011-0.32σ
2010-0.27σ
2009+0.36σ
2008-0.11σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 9: -0.08σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 9 at least this cold turns up 59.2% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 10 — year by year — script +0.09σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 10 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.26σ
2025-0.16σ
2024-0.34σ
2023-0.08σ
2022+0.30σ
2021+0.61σ
2020+0.96σ
2019-1.10σ
2018+0.45σ
2017-0.10σ
2016-0.37σ
2015-0.14σ
2014-1.15σ
2013+0.11σ
2012+0.13σ
2011+0.01σ
2010+0.40σ
2009+0.68σ
2008+1.27σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 10: +0.09σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 10 at least this hot turns up 57.2% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 11 — year by year — script -0.19σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 11 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.11σ
2025-0.90σ
2024+0.77σ
2023-0.17σ
2022-0.46σ
2021+0.13σ
2020-1.61σ
2019-0.29σ
2018-0.07σ
2017-0.19σ
2016+0.47σ
2015-0.13σ
2014-1.13σ
2013-0.09σ
2012-0.09σ
2011-0.26σ
2010+0.30σ
2009+0.81σ
2008-0.75σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 11: -0.19σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 11 at least this cold turns up 25.9% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 12 — year by year — script +0.07σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 12 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.19σ
2025-0.53σ
2024-1.45σ
2023-0.48σ
2022+0.39σ
2021+0.10σ
2020+0.36σ
2019+0.04σ
2018+0.18σ
2017-0.15σ
2016-0.20σ
2015+0.27σ
2014-0.25σ
2013+0.48σ
2012+0.20σ
2011+0.37σ
2010+0.10σ
2009-0.04σ
2008+1.74σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 12: +0.07σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 12 at least this hot turns up 82.1% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 13 — year by year — script -0.01σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 13 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.63σ
2025+0.08σ
2024-0.63σ
2023+0.33σ
2022-0.37σ
2021+0.10σ
2020+0.71σ
2019-0.15σ
2018-0.40σ
2017-0.28σ
2016-0.09σ
2015-0.18σ
2014-0.73σ
2013+0.29σ
2012-0.09σ
2011+0.00σ
2010-0.61σ
2009-0.04σ
2008+1.16σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 13: -0.01σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 13 at least this cold turns up 98.5% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 14 — year by year — script -0.11σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 14 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+1.22σ
2025-1.94σ
2024-0.14σ
2023-0.28σ
2022-0.83σ
2021+1.04σ
2020-0.76σ
2019+0.39σ
2018-0.29σ
2017-0.62σ
2016+0.05σ
2015-0.84σ
2014+0.15σ
2013-0.15σ
2012-0.12σ
2011+0.04σ
2010-0.24σ
2009+0.39σ
2008+0.87σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 14: -0.11σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 14 at least this cold turns up 59.2% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 15 — year by year — script -0.43σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 15 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.67σ
2025-0.54σ
2024-0.18σ
2023-0.62σ
2022-0.66σ
2021-0.61σ
2020-0.09σ
2019+0.04σ
2018+0.96σ
2017-1.00σ
2016-0.07σ
2015+0.16σ
2014-0.51σ
2013-1.81σ
2012-1.81σ
2011-1.26σ
2010+0.93σ
2009-0.30σ
2008-0.09σ
Why this reads grey — the subtle one
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 15: -0.43σ
On its own this looks strong: a random reshuffle beats it only 1.5% of the time. But it is 1 of 53 weeks tested for Nifty IT; correct for looking at all 53 (dependency-safe Benjamini–Hochberg–Yekutieli) and it no longer stands. Strong in isolation ≠ surviving the look across the whole calendar — — up, still grey.
mechanism: — · gates: fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 16 — year by year — script -0.14σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 16 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.21σ
2025-0.54σ
2024-0.87σ
2023-0.98σ
2022-0.91σ
2021-0.37σ
2020-0.61σ
2019+0.22σ
2018+0.94σ
2017-0.10σ
2016-0.23σ
2015-0.54σ
2014+0.34σ
2013-1.28σ
2012+0.02σ
2011-0.29σ
2010-0.36σ
2009-0.48σ
2008+3.27σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 16: -0.14σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 16 at least this cold turns up 27.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 17 — year by year — script -0.15σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 17 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-2.02σ
2025+1.26σ
2024-0.16σ
2023+0.29σ
2022-0.40σ
2021-0.29σ
2020+0.60σ
2019+0.67σ
2018-0.30σ
2017-0.41σ
2016-0.06σ
2015-0.49σ
2014-0.36σ
2013-1.31σ
2012+0.54σ
2011+0.18σ
2010-0.03σ
2009+0.45σ
2008-0.94σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 17: -0.15σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 17 at least this cold turns up 41.8% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 18 — year by year — script +0.33σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 18 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.69σ
2025+0.12σ
2024-0.70σ
2023-0.04σ
2022+0.17σ
2021+0.25σ
2020+1.20σ
2019-0.65σ
2018-0.37σ
2017+0.46σ
2016-0.32σ
2015-0.04σ
2014+0.39σ
2013+0.77σ
2012+1.09σ
2011+0.30σ
2010-0.06σ
2009+1.45σ
2008+1.51σ
Why this reads grey — the subtle one
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 18: +0.33σ
On its own this looks strong: a random reshuffle beats it only 4.0% of the time. But it is 1 of 53 weeks tested for Nifty IT; correct for looking at all 53 (dependency-safe Benjamini–Hochberg–Yekutieli) and it no longer stands. Strong in isolation ≠ surviving the look across the whole calendar — — up, still grey.
mechanism: — · gates: fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 19 — year by year — script +0.05σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 19 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.26σ
2025+0.27σ
2024+0.44σ
2023+0.04σ
2022+0.05σ
2021-0.51σ
2020-0.07σ
2019+0.44σ
2018-0.06σ
2017+0.39σ
2016+0.10σ
2015+0.38σ
2014-0.92σ
2013+0.19σ
2012-0.31σ
2011-0.05σ
2010+0.18σ
2009-0.06σ
2008+0.70σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 19: +0.05σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 19 at least this hot turns up 70.2% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 20 — year by year — script -0.03σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 20 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.77σ
2025+0.36σ
2024-0.17σ
2023+0.31σ
2022-1.08σ
2021-0.15σ
2020-0.18σ
2019-0.18σ
2018+0.39σ
2017+0.30σ
2016+0.22σ
2015-0.21σ
2014-0.68σ
2013-0.47σ
2012+0.29σ
2011+0.25σ
2010-0.16σ
2009+0.64σ
2008+0.78σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 20: -0.03σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 20 at least this cold turns up 87.1% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 21 — year by year — script +0.08σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 21 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.86σ
2025-0.23σ
2024-0.01σ
2023+0.48σ
2022-0.05σ
2021+0.57σ
2020+1.22σ
2019-1.03σ
2018+0.51σ
2017+0.43σ
2016+0.03σ
2015+0.82σ
2014-1.09σ
2013+0.62σ
2012-0.02σ
2011-0.25σ
2010+0.26σ
2009-1.90σ
2008+0.28σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 21: +0.08σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 21 at least this hot turns up 65.2% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 22 — year by year — script +0.12σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 22 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.18σ
2025-0.04σ
2024-0.59σ
2023-0.12σ
2022+0.68σ
2021-0.42σ
2020-0.75σ
2019+0.68σ
2018-0.34σ
2017-0.35σ
2016-0.01σ
2015-0.22σ
2014+0.43σ
2013+0.50σ
2012+0.33σ
2011+0.01σ
2010+0.07σ
2009+0.17σ
2008+2.09σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 22: +0.12σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 22 at least this hot turns up 40.8% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 23 — year by year — script +0.06σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 23 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.19σ
2025-0.26σ
2024+1.21σ
2023-0.74σ
2022-0.20σ
2021+0.74σ
2020-0.04σ
2019+0.10σ
2018+0.26σ
2017-0.37σ
2016-0.35σ
2015+0.15σ
2014-0.94σ
2013+0.48σ
2012-0.39σ
2011+0.33σ
2010-0.29σ
2009+0.38σ
2008+0.92σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 23: +0.06σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 23 at least this hot turns up 66.7% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 24 — year by year — script +0.07σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 24 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.98σ
2025+0.88σ
2024-0.67σ
2023-0.12σ
2022-0.79σ
2021+0.40σ
2020-0.09σ
2019+0.35σ
2018+0.54σ
2017-0.38σ
2016+0.12σ
2015-0.09σ
2014+1.29σ
2013-0.12σ
2012+0.36σ
2011-0.48σ
2010+0.51σ
2009+0.90σ
2008-0.35σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 24: +0.07σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 24 at least this hot turns up 71.1% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 25 — year by year — script +0.12σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 25 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.64σ
2025+0.21σ
2024+0.46σ
2023+0.18σ
2022+0.41σ
2021+0.39σ
2020-0.25σ
2019+0.08σ
2018-0.39σ
2017+0.11σ
2016+0.04σ
2015-0.13σ
2014+0.59σ
2013+0.49σ
2012-0.36σ
2011+0.31σ
2010-0.29σ
2009+0.72σ
2008+0.26σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 25: +0.12σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 25 at least this hot turns up 50.7% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 26 — year by year — script +0.08σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 26 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.02σ
2025-0.48σ
2024+0.35σ
2023+0.40σ
2022+0.14σ
2021-0.07σ
2020+0.45σ
2019-0.43σ
2018+0.61σ
2017+0.06σ
2016-0.76σ
2015-0.05σ
2014+0.14σ
2013+0.48σ
2012-0.04σ
2011+0.06σ
2010-0.24σ
2009+0.38σ
2008+0.61σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 26: +0.08σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 26 at least this hot turns up 61.2% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 27 — year by year — script -0.06σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 27 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.02σ
2025+0.25σ
2024+0.61σ
2023-0.11σ
2022-0.39σ
2021-0.27σ
2020+0.18σ
2019-0.48σ
2018+0.03σ
2017-0.39σ
2016-0.35σ
2015-0.47σ
2014-0.47σ
2013-0.13σ
2012-0.53σ
2011+0.05σ
2010+0.52σ
2009-0.20σ
2008+0.96σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 27: -0.06σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 27 at least this cold turns up 71.6% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 28 — year by year — script +0.04σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 28 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.45σ
2025-0.58σ
2024+0.69σ
2023+0.80σ
2022-1.29σ
2021+0.30σ
2020+0.19σ
2019-0.06σ
2018+0.53σ
2017+0.22σ
2016-0.75σ
2015-0.66σ
2014+0.96σ
2013+1.59σ
2012-0.68σ
2011-0.85σ
2010-0.09σ
2009+0.82σ
2008-0.80σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 28: +0.04σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 28 at least this hot turns up 76.6% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 29 — year by year — script +0.27σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 29 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.97σ
2025-0.28σ
2024+0.86σ
2023-0.83σ
2022+0.67σ
2021+0.54σ
2020+1.54σ
2019+0.53σ
2018+0.40σ
2017+0.73σ
2016+0.03σ
2015+0.38σ
2014-0.48σ
2013+0.73σ
2012-0.01σ
2011+0.19σ
2010-0.02σ
2009+0.45σ
2008-1.27σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 29: +0.27σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 29 at least this hot turns up 10.0% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 30 — year by year — script +0.15σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 30 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.01σ
2025-0.67σ
2024+0.26σ
2023-0.29σ
2022+0.37σ
2021+0.45σ
2020+0.26σ
2019+0.19σ
2018-0.75σ
2017-0.13σ
2016+0.09σ
2015+0.54σ
2014+0.66σ
2013+0.93σ
2012+0.07σ
2011+0.15σ
2010+0.15σ
2009+0.82σ
2008-0.31σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 30: +0.15σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 30 at least this hot turns up 34.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 31 — year by year — script +0.36σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 31 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+1.05σ
2025-0.31σ
2024-0.60σ
2023+0.75σ
2022+0.33σ
2021+0.23σ
2020+1.06σ
2019+0.60σ
2018+0.05σ
2017+0.10σ
2016+0.37σ
2015+0.18σ
2014-0.03σ
2013+1.29σ
2012+0.07σ
2011-0.47σ
2010+0.29σ
2009+0.79σ
2008+1.05σ
Why this reads grey — the subtle one
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 31: +0.36σ
On its own this looks strong: a random reshuffle beats it only 2.5% of the time. But it is 1 of 53 weeks tested for Nifty IT; correct for looking at all 53 (dependency-safe Benjamini–Hochberg–Yekutieli) and it no longer stands. Strong in isolation ≠ surviving the look across the whole calendar — — up, still grey.
mechanism: — · gates: fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 32 — year by year — script +0.08σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 32 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.44σ
2025+0.05σ
2024-0.09σ
2023+0.32σ
2022-0.40σ
2021+0.79σ
2020-0.34σ
2019+0.38σ
2018+0.02σ
2017+0.50σ
2016+0.13σ
2015-0.14σ
2014+0.43σ
2013+0.18σ
2012+0.46σ
2011-1.13σ
2010-0.42σ
2009+0.29σ
2008+0.11σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 32: +0.08σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 32 at least this hot turns up 57.7% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 33 — year by year — script +0.10σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 33 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.01σ
2025+0.13σ
2024+1.13σ
2023-0.03σ
2022+0.01σ
2021+0.74σ
2020+0.02σ
2019-0.81σ
2018+0.74σ
2017-0.55σ
2016-1.14σ
2015+0.94σ
2014-0.11σ
2013+0.08σ
2012+0.14σ
2011-0.29σ
2010-0.08σ
2009+0.22σ
2008+0.81σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 33: +0.10σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 33 at least this hot turns up 46.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 34 — year by year — script +0.10σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 34 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.48σ
2025+0.17σ
2024-0.13σ
2023+0.17σ
2022-0.85σ
2021+0.32σ
2020-0.29σ
2019+1.01σ
2018+0.11σ
2017-0.15σ
2016-0.21σ
2015+0.35σ
2014-0.20σ
2013+0.52σ
2012+0.74σ
2011+0.25σ
2010-0.04σ
2009+0.20σ
2008+0.39σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 34: +0.10σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 34 at least this hot turns up 53.7% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 35 — year by year — script +0.19σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 35 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.57σ
2025+0.33σ
2024+0.66σ
2023+0.18σ
2022-0.92σ
2021-0.27σ
2020-0.28σ
2019-0.06σ
2018+0.56σ
2017-0.23σ
2016-0.33σ
2015-0.10σ
2014+0.30σ
2013+1.27σ
2012+0.09σ
2011+0.33σ
2010+0.01σ
2009+0.75σ
2008+0.71σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 35: +0.19σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 35 at least this hot turns up 18.9% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 36 — year by year — script +0.06σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 36 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.17σ
2025-0.58σ
2024-0.07σ
2023+0.22σ
2022+0.45σ
2021-0.15σ
2020+0.43σ
2019+0.20σ
2018+0.64σ
2017-0.06σ
2016-0.73σ
2015+0.61σ
2014+0.28σ
2013-0.93σ
2012+0.48σ
2011-0.21σ
2010+0.34σ
2009+0.15σ
2008+0.34σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 36: +0.06σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 36 at least this hot turns up 68.7% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 37 — year by year — script -0.00σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 37 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.93σ
2025+0.66σ
2024+0.28σ
2023+0.45σ
2022-1.26σ
2021+0.31σ
2020+0.55σ
2019-0.78σ
2018+0.16σ
2017+0.06σ
2016+0.54σ
2015-0.26σ
2014-0.28σ
2013-0.73σ
2012+0.19σ
2011+0.54σ
2010+0.10σ
2009+0.12σ
2008+0.28σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 37: -0.00σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 37 at least this cold turns up 95.5% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 38 — year by year — script +0.07σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 38 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.00σ
2025+0.08σ
2024-0.74σ
2023+0.15σ
2022+0.12σ
2021+0.68σ
2020+1.16σ
2019-0.63σ
2018+0.46σ
2017+0.38σ
2016-0.13σ
2015+0.27σ
2014+0.51σ
2013-0.47σ
2012-1.23σ
2011+0.20σ
2010+0.26σ
2009+0.29σ
2008-0.11σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 38: +0.07σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 38 at least this hot turns up 61.2% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 39 — year by year — script -0.07σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 39 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.31σ
2025-1.13σ
2024-0.13σ
2023-0.73σ
2022+0.56σ
2021-1.12σ
2020+0.54σ
2019-0.61σ
2018+0.62σ
2017-0.01σ
2016+0.19σ
2015+0.69σ
2014+0.28σ
2013+0.52σ
2012-0.34σ
2011+0.94σ
2010+0.11σ
2009-0.15σ
2008-1.30σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 39: -0.07σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 39 at least this cold turns up 58.7% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 40 — year by year — script +0.35σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 40 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.89σ
2025-0.07σ
2024+0.62σ
2023+0.48σ
2022+0.45σ
2021+0.60σ
2020-0.01σ
2019+0.91σ
2018+0.82σ
2017+0.03σ
2016-0.48σ
2015-0.39σ
2014+1.12σ
2013+0.32σ
2012-0.24σ
2011+0.19σ
2010-0.11σ
2009+1.08σ
2008+0.53σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 40: +0.35σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 40 at least this hot turns up 6.0% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 41 — year by year — script -0.06σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 41 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.82σ
2024+0.18σ
2023-0.41σ
2022+0.42σ
2021-0.97σ
2020+1.29σ
2019-0.16σ
2018-1.71σ
2017+0.27σ
2016+0.50σ
2015-0.49σ
2014-0.20σ
2013+0.93σ
2012-0.38σ
2011+0.85σ
2010+0.19σ
2009-0.83σ
2008-1.34σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 41: -0.06σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 41 at least this cold turns up 75.6% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 42 — year by year — script -0.11σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 42 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.56σ
2024+0.04σ
2023-0.02σ
2022-0.00σ
2021+0.22σ
2020-0.04σ
2019-0.42σ
2018+0.25σ
2017-0.04σ
2016+0.30σ
2015-0.97σ
2014-0.98σ
2013-0.12σ
2012-0.11σ
2011-0.22σ
2010+0.10σ
2009+0.16σ
2008+0.42σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 42: -0.11σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 42 at least this cold turns up 61.7% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 43 — year by year — script +0.16σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 43 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.73σ
2024+0.69σ
2023-0.16σ
2022-0.23σ
2021-0.23σ
2020-0.24σ
2019-0.57σ
2018-0.51σ
2017-0.32σ
2016-0.54σ
2015+0.25σ
2014-0.58σ
2013-0.08σ
2012-0.01σ
2011+0.28σ
2010-0.22σ
2009+1.13σ
2008+3.52σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 43: +0.16σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 43 at least this hot turns up 30.9% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 44 — year by year — script +0.09σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 44 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.15σ
2024-1.03σ
2023-0.09σ
2022-0.02σ
2021+0.33σ
2020-0.23σ
2019+0.44σ
2018+0.02σ
2017-0.29σ
2016+0.27σ
2015+0.30σ
2014+0.46σ
2013-0.38σ
2012+0.33σ
2011-0.08σ
2010-0.02σ
2009+0.72σ
2008+1.06σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 44: +0.09σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 44 at least this hot turns up 73.6% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 45 — year by year — script +0.12σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 45 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.25σ
2024+1.00σ
2023-0.22σ
2022+0.67σ
2021+0.39σ
2020-0.16σ
2019-0.05σ
2018+0.22σ
2017+0.95σ
2016-0.65σ
2015+0.27σ
2014+0.26σ
2013+0.93σ
2012-0.13σ
2011+0.49σ
2010+0.12σ
2009-0.22σ
2008-1.50σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 45: +0.12σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 45 at least this hot turns up 56.2% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 46 — year by year — script +0.21σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 46 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.51σ
2024+0.89σ
2023+0.86σ
2022+0.17σ
2021+0.16σ
2020-0.45σ
2019-0.06σ
2018-0.15σ
2017-0.06σ
2016+0.79σ
2015-0.42σ
2014+0.02σ
2013+0.03σ
2012-0.02σ
2011+0.47σ
2010+0.12σ
2009+0.50σ
2008+0.39σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 46: +0.21σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 46 at least this hot turns up 31.3% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 47 — year by year — script +0.10σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 47 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.40σ
2024+0.37σ
2023-0.10σ
2022+0.29σ
2021-0.16σ
2020-0.38σ
2019-0.42σ
2018-0.86σ
2017+0.13σ
2016+1.25σ
2015-0.16σ
2014-0.09σ
2013+0.01σ
2012+0.15σ
2011-0.12σ
2010+0.79σ
2009+0.25σ
2008+0.47σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 47: +0.10σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 47 at least this hot turns up 44.8% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 48 — year by year — script +0.09σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 48 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.22σ
2024-0.41σ
2023-0.09σ
2022+0.25σ
2021+0.59σ
2020+0.14σ
2019-0.19σ
2018+0.82σ
2017-0.28σ
2016-0.33σ
2015-0.18σ
2014+0.35σ
2013-0.38σ
2012-0.24σ
2011+0.13σ
2010+0.04σ
2009-0.21σ
2008+1.40σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 48: +0.09σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 48 at least this hot turns up 57.2% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 49 — year by year — script -0.03σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 49 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.82σ
2024+0.32σ
2023-0.00σ
2022-1.14σ
2021-0.25σ
2020+0.19σ
2019+0.69σ
2018+0.40σ
2017+0.22σ
2016-0.18σ
2015+0.00σ
2014-0.63σ
2013-0.16σ
2012-0.91σ
2011+0.71σ
2010+0.51σ
2009+0.05σ
2008-1.13σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 49: -0.03σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 49 at least this cold turns up 87.1% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 50 — year by year — script +0.20σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 50 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.13σ
2024+0.59σ
2023+1.11σ
2022-0.14σ
2021+0.96σ
2020+0.07σ
2019-0.28σ
2018+0.03σ
2017+0.20σ
2016+0.78σ
2015+0.55σ
2014-0.42σ
2013+0.60σ
2012-0.07σ
2011+0.70σ
2010+0.71σ
2009+0.36σ
2008-1.97σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 50: +0.20σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 50 at least this hot turns up 15.9% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 51 — year by year — script +0.22σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 51 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.29σ
2024-0.25σ
2023+0.02σ
2022+0.30σ
2021+0.64σ
2020+0.30σ
2019+0.70σ
2018-0.87σ
2017+0.04σ
2016+0.12σ
2015-0.19σ
2014+0.59σ
2013+0.82σ
2012+0.17σ
2011-0.18σ
2010+0.22σ
2009+0.85σ
2008+0.30σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 51: +0.22σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 51 at least this hot turns up 19.9% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 52 — year by year — script +0.04σ over 18 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 52 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.14σ
2024-0.12σ
2023-0.47σ
2022-0.15σ
2021+0.18σ
2020+0.93σ
2019-0.08σ
2018+0.21σ
2017+0.27σ
2016+0.28σ
2015-0.10σ
2014-0.31σ
2013+0.05σ
2012+0.05σ
2011+0.53σ
2010+0.05σ
2009+0.03σ
2008-0.47σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 52: +0.04σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Week 52 at least this hot turns up 80.6% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Week 53 — year by year — script -0.08σ over 5 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 53 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2021+0.49σ
2020-0.06σ
2016-0.66σ
2015-0.11σ
2009-0.08σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 53: -0.08σ
Only 5 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Mon — year by year — script +0.11σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Mon residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.19σ
2025+0.09σ
2024-0.12σ
2023+0.06σ
2022-0.11σ
2021+0.10σ
2020+0.63σ
2019+0.24σ
2018+0.26σ
2017-0.02σ
2016+0.07σ
2015-0.00σ
2014-0.20σ
2013+0.19σ
2012-0.10σ
2011+0.11σ
2010+0.08σ
2009+0.29σ
2008+0.33σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Mon: +0.11σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Mon at least this hot turns up 18.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Tue — year by year — script +0.07σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Tue residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.16σ
2025-0.12σ
2024+0.16σ
2023-0.09σ
2022-0.11σ
2021+0.11σ
2020+0.15σ
2019-0.10σ
2018+0.19σ
2017+0.08σ
2016-0.01σ
2015-0.04σ
2014-0.01σ
2013+0.27σ
2012-0.01σ
2011+0.23σ
2010+0.12σ
2009+0.22σ
2008+0.21σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Tue: +0.07σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Tue at least this hot turns up 50.7% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Wed — year by year — script +0.09σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Wed residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.73σ
2025+0.26σ
2024-0.01σ
2023+0.09σ
2022-0.16σ
2021+0.17σ
2020+0.04σ
2019+0.28σ
2018+0.20σ
2017-0.20σ
2016+0.06σ
2015+0.17σ
2014+0.03σ
2013+0.20σ
2012+0.06σ
2011+0.24σ
2010+0.20σ
2009+0.26σ
2008+0.58σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Wed: +0.09σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Wed at least this hot turns up 17.4% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Thu — year by year — script +0.02σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Thu residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.12σ
2025-0.10σ
2024+0.14σ
2023+0.02σ
2022-0.12σ
2021+0.14σ
2020-0.07σ
2019-0.05σ
2018-0.00σ
2017+0.17σ
2016-0.07σ
2015-0.12σ
2014-0.07σ
2013+0.08σ
2012-0.15σ
2011-0.09σ
2010+0.16σ
2009+0.28σ
2008+0.32σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Thu: +0.02σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Thu at least this hot turns up 91.0% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: F-EXPIRY · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,variance
Behind the script · Nifty IT · Fri — year by year — script +0.03σ over 19 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Fri residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.07σ
2025-0.34σ
2024+0.17σ
2023+0.13σ
2022-0.12σ
2021+0.15σ
2020+0.06σ
2019-0.12σ
2018+0.09σ
2017-0.10σ
2016-0.09σ
2015+0.15σ
2014+0.13σ
2013+0.40σ
2012-0.12σ
2011-0.17σ
2010-0.13σ
2009+0.23σ
2008+0.17σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Fri: +0.03σ
Reshuffle Nifty IT’s own calendar at random and a Fri at least this hot turns up 84.6% of the time — so the — you see sits inside what pure chance produces. That is the whole reason it stays grey.
mechanism: — · gates: null-inside-band,fdr-fail,no-mechanism