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▲ Market mood Cautious — the market (Nifty 50) is below its 1-year trend line, so momentum is weak.
why?killswitch.regime: Nifty 50 22422 < 200DMA 24351 by 7.92% — momentum regime OFF (as of 2026-10-01) · full ledger → Coverage & limits
as of 2026-10-03
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Nifty Total Market broad / size index · 2026-10-01

-5.4% vs 50-DMA · -4.2% vs 200-DMA · 3m ret -5.8% · -8.4% off 52w-high · +7.6% above 52w-low

Price candles / line · D·W·M·Q · 50/200-MA

Nifty Total Market · price (candles / line) + 50/200-MA
12,382.30
close -123
-1.0%
today
-6.1%
1m return
Open12,467.85High12,489.80Low12,247.40
Volume3,302,798,909Turnover₹103,705 CrDiv yld1.01%
P/E21.75 · 3th pctile of 252d (higher = richer)P/B3.0750-DMA13,094.70 (-5.4%)
200-DMA12,918.56 (-4.2%)52w high13,522.30 (-8.4%)52w low11,507.05 (+7.6%)
Returns  1d -1.0% · 1w -3.0% · 1m -6.1% · 3m -5.8% · 6m +5.4% · 12m -4.0%

Relative strength vs Nifty 500

How this index has done relative to the broad market (its return minus Nifty 500's, per window). ⇄ Compare with other indices  ·  Full rotation map →
Nifty Total MarketNifty 500RS = outperf.
1m-6.1%-6.4%+0.2%
3m-5.8%-6.2%+0.4%
6m+5.4%+4.4%+1.0%
12m-4.0%-4.7%+0.7%
Bottom lineFor Nifty Total Market, no calendar cell survives the certification stack — every apparent pattern is indistinguishable from a placebo. The greying IS the finding. This is descriptive calendar context, never a signal.
Read it right — two things this is not:
1
Green ≠ “the price rose.” Green = it ran above its own baseline that period — for a stock or sector, after the market is stripped out. Market +10%, stock +12% is a green month even though the market did the lifting. A relative tendency, not a price forecast.
2
A high hit-rate ≠ an edge. “89% up” is a base rate, not a tradeable signal — reshuffle the calendar at random and streaks that good still appear, which is why almost every cell stays grey (and nothing here is tradeable net of costs).
Open the full seasonal tape — calendar/scope controls + year-by-year drill-downs →
💡 Click any month cell below to break it down year-by-year.
25-year stack — each cell = that year's residual for that month, in σ
In plain EnglishEach row is a year (newest on top), each column a month. Green = the month ran above this entity's own baseline that year, red below; a blank cell = too few observations. Read down a column to judge whether a month is a real tendency or just 2–3 loud years. Click a column's cell to break the month down year-by-year.
patearn.inJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec20262026 · Jan: -0.35σ · click to break down-0.42026 · Feb: -0.09σ · click to break down-0.12026 · Mar: -0.97σ · click to break down-12026 · Apr: 0.6σ · click to break down0.62026 · May: -0.11σ · click to break down-0.12026 · Jun: 0σ · click to break down02026 · Jul: 0σ · click to break down02026 · Aug: -0.1σ · click to break down-0.12026 · Sep: -0.49σ · click to break down-0.52026 · Oct: -1.46σ · click to break down-1.520252025 · Jan: -0.4σ · click to break down-0.42025 · Feb: -0.77σ · click to break down-0.82025 · Mar: 0.36σ · click to break down0.42025 · Apr: 0.08σ · click to break down0.12025 · May: 0.09σ · click to break down0.12025 · Jun: 0.07σ · click to break down0.12025 · Jul: -0.35σ · click to break down-0.42025 · Aug: -0.32σ · click to break down-0.32025 · Sep: -0.1σ · click to break down-0.12025 · Oct: 0.12σ · click to break down0.12025 · Nov: -0.11σ · click to break down-0.12025 · Dec: -0.19σ · click to break down-0.220242024 · Jan: 0.02σ · click to break down02024 · Feb: -0.03σ · click to break down02024 · Mar: -0.07σ · click to break down-0.12024 · Apr: 0.14σ · click to break down0.12024 · May: -0.09σ · click to break down-0.12024 · Jun: 0.39σ · click to break down0.42024 · Jul: 0.15σ · click to break down0.12024 · Aug: -0.05σ · click to break down-0.12024 · Sep: 0.02σ · click to break down02024 · Oct: -0.51σ · click to break down-0.52024 · Nov: -0.11σ · click to break down-0.12024 · Dec: -0.2σ · click to break down-0.2
Monthly consolidation — every month named & ranked by its 25-year average residual; ★ = strongest month
In plain EnglishOne bar per month. Bar height = the size of the move (σ), green above this entity's own baseline, red below — so the strongest month is simply the tallest, no shade to decode. The number on each bar is that value; the #rank under each name orders the months hottest→coldest, and ★ marks the single strongest. Click a bar to break the month down year-by-year. Descriptive shape, never a signal.
Jan · no 15-year history—JanFeb · no 15-year history—FebMar · no 15-year history—MarApr · no 15-year history—AprMay · no 15-year history—MayJun · no 15-year history—JunJul · no 15-year history—JulAug · no 15-year history—AugSep · no 15-year history—SepOct · no 15-year history—OctNov · no 15-year history—NovDec · no 15-year history—Dec
0 of 12 months certified · descriptive shape, never a signal.
💡 Click any week cell to break it down year-by-year.
52-week stack — each cell = that year's residual for that ISO week, in σ
In plain EnglishSame idea as the month stack, one column per ISO calendar week. Wide — scroll sideways. Read down a column to judge a real weekly tendency vs a couple of loud years.
patearn.inW1W5W9W13W17W21W25W29W33W37W41W45W49W5320262026 · W1: 0.54σ · click to break down0.52026 · : -0.85σ · click to break down-0.92026 · : -0.1σ · click to break down-0.12026 · : -1.05σ · click to break down-1.12026 · W5: -0.2σ · click to break down-0.22026 · : 0.87σ · click to break down0.92026 · : -0.24σ · click to break down-0.22026 · : -0.03σ · click to break down02026 · W9: -0.39σ · click to break down-0.42026 · : -1.14σ · click to break down-1.12026 · : -1.45σ · click to break down-1.42026 · : -0.17σ · click to break down-0.22026 · W13: -0.59σ · click to break down-0.62026 · : -0.23σ · click to break down-0.22026 · : 1.7σ · click to break down1.72026 · : 0.71σ · click to break down0.72026 · W17: -0.46σ · click to break down-0.52026 · : 0.08σ · click to break down0.12026 · : 0.43σ · click to break down0.42026 · : -0.82σ · click to break down-0.82026 · W21: 0.03σ · click to break down02026 · : -0.08σ · click to break down-0.12026 · : -0.33σ · click to break down-0.32026 · : 0.05σ · click to break down0.12026 · W25: 0.56σ · click to break down0.62026 · : -0.17σ · click to break down-0.22026 · : 0.11σ · click to break down0.12026 · : -0.05σ · click to break down02026 · W29: -0.15σ · click to break down-0.22026 · : -0.6σ · click to break down-0.62026 · : 0.51σ · click to break down0.52026 · : 0.2σ · click to break down0.22026 · W33: -0.24σ · click to break down-0.22026 · : -0.18σ · click to break down-0.22026 · : -0.11σ · click to break down-0.12026 · : -0.42σ · click to break down-0.42026 · W37: -0.55σ · click to break down-0.52026 · : -0.16σ · click to break down-0.22026 · : -0.38σ · click to break down-0.42026 · : -1.24σ · click to break down-1.220252025 · W1: 0.28σ · click to break down0.32025 · : -1.35σ · click to break down-1.32025 · : -0.32σ · click to break down-0.32025 · : -0.67σ · click to break down-0.72025 · W5: 0.12σ · click to break down0.12025 · : -0.08σ · click to break down-0.12025 · : -1.58σ · click to break down-1.62025 · : -0.09σ · click to break down-0.12025 · W9: -1.61σ · click to break down-1.62025 · : 0.67σ · click to break down0.72025 · : -0.68σ · click to break down-0.72025 · : 1.37σ · click to break down1.42025 · W13: -0.11σ · click to break down-0.12025 · : -1.04σ · click to break down-12025 · : -0.22σ · click to break down-0.22025 · : 1.93σ · click to break down1.92025 · W17: 0.05σ · click to break down02025 · : 0.05σ · click to break down02025 · : -0.59σ · click to break down-0.62025 · : 1.43σ · click to break down1.42025 · W21: -0.26σ · click to break down-0.32025 · : -0.13σ · click to break down-0.12025 · : 0.27σ · click to break down0.32025 · : -0.47σ · click to break down-0.52025 · W25: -0.03σ · click to break down02025 · : 0.55σ · click to break down0.52025 · : -0.22σ · click to break down-0.22025 · : -0.5σ · click to break down-0.52025 · W29: -0.16σ · click to break down-0.22025 · : -0.51σ · click to break down-0.52025 · : -0.6σ · click to break down-0.62025 · : -0.47σ · click to break down-0.52025 · W33: 0.19σ · click to break down0.22025 · : 0.23σ · click to break down0.22025 · : -1σ · click to break down-12025 · : 0.3σ · click to break down0.32025 · W37: 0.27σ · click to break down0.32025 · : 0.2σ · click to break down0.22025 · : -1.13σ · click to break down-1.12025 · : 0.32σ · click to break down0.32025 · W41: 0.2σ · click to break down0.22025 · : 0.13σ · click to break down0.12025 · : -0.03σ · click to break down02025 · : -0.14σ · click to break down-0.12025 · W45: -0.46σ · click to break down-0.52025 · : 0.2σ · click to break down0.22025 · : -0.25σ · click to break down-0.22025 · : 0σ · click to break down02025 · W49: -0.31σ · click to break down-0.32025 · : -0.3σ · click to break down-0.32025 · : -0.23σ · click to break down-0.22025 · : -0.02σ · click to break down020242024 · W1: 0.01σ · click to break down02024 · : 0.1σ · click to break down0.12024 · : -0.26σ · click to break down-0.32024 · : -0.56σ · click to break down-0.62024 · W5: 0.6σ · click to break down0.62024 · : -0.05σ · click to break down-0.12024 · : 0.15σ · click to break down0.12024 · : 0.08σ · click to break down0.12024 · W9: 0σ · click to break down02024 · : -0.14σ · click to break down-0.12024 · : -0.94σ · click to break down-0.92024 · : 0.13σ · click to break down0.12024 · W13: 0.44σ · click to break down0.42024 · : 0.53σ · click to break down0.52024 · : -0.08σ · click to break down-0.12024 · : -0.69σ · click to break down-0.72024 · W17: 0.49σ · click to break down0.52024 · : 0.07σ · click to break down0.12024 · : -0.75σ · click to break down-0.82024 · : 0.63σ · click to break down0.62024 · W21: 0.39σ · click to break down0.42024 · : -0.59σ · click to break down-0.62024 · : 0.81σ · click to break down0.82024 · : 0.47σ · click to break down0.52024 · W25: -0.06σ · click to break down-0.12024 · : 0.26σ · click to break down0.32024 · : 0.41σ · click to break down0.42024 · : 0σ · click to break down02024 · W29: -0.49σ · click to break down-0.52024 · : 0.43σ · click to break down0.42024 · : -0.14σ · click to break down-0.12024 · : -0.49σ · click to break down-0.52024 · W33: 0.08σ · click to break down0.12024 · : 0.32σ · click to break down0.32024 · : 0.23σ · click to break down0.22024 · : -0.4σ · click to break down-0.42024 · W37: 0.4σ · click to break down0.42024 · : 0.18σ · click to break down0.22024 · : 0.2σ · click to break down0.22024 · : -1.41σ · click to break down-1.42024 · W41: -0.01σ · click to break down02024 · : -0.3σ · click to break down-0.32024 · : -1.25σ · click to break down-1.22024 · : 0.32σ · click to break down0.32024 · W45: -0.32σ · click to break down-0.32024 · : -1.15σ · click to break down-1.22024 · : 0.28σ · click to break down0.32024 · : 0.47σ · click to break down0.52024 · W49: 0.62σ · click to break down0.62024 · : -0.06σ · click to break down-0.12024 · : -1.31σ · click to break down-1.32024 · : 0.06σ · click to break down0.1
Weekly consolidation — ISO weeks 1–53, month-anchored; week numbers on top, months beneath; ★ = strongest week
In plain EnglishSame idea across ISO weeks. Week numbers (W1, W5, …) run along the top and month labels beneath, so you can place any bar without hovering — the hover still gives the exact value and week date-span. ★ marks the strongest week; click any bar to break it down year-by-year. Descriptive.
W1 ≈ Dec 29 – Jan 4 · no 15-year historyW2 ≈ Jan 5–11 · no 15-year historyW3 ≈ Jan 12–18 · no 15-year historyW4 ≈ Jan 19–25 · no 15-year historyW5 ≈ Jan 26 – Feb 1 · no 15-year historyW6 ≈ Feb 2–8 · no 15-year historyW7 ≈ Feb 9–15 · no 15-year historyW8 ≈ Feb 16–22 · no 15-year historyW9 ≈ Feb 23 – Mar 1 · no 15-year historyW10 ≈ Mar 2–8 · no 15-year historyW11 ≈ Mar 9–15 · no 15-year historyW12 ≈ Mar 16–22 · no 15-year historyW13 ≈ Mar 23–29 · no 15-year historyW14 ≈ Mar 30 – Apr 5 · no 15-year historyW15 ≈ Apr 6–12 · no 15-year historyW16 ≈ Apr 13–19 · no 15-year historyW17 ≈ Apr 20–26 · no 15-year historyW18 ≈ Apr 27 – May 3 · no 15-year historyW19 ≈ May 4–10 · no 15-year historyW20 ≈ May 11–17 · no 15-year historyW21 ≈ May 18–24 · no 15-year historyW22 ≈ May 25–31 · no 15-year historyW23 ≈ Jun 1–7 · no 15-year historyW24 ≈ Jun 8–14 · no 15-year historyW25 ≈ Jun 15–21 · no 15-year historyW26 ≈ Jun 22–28 · no 15-year historyW27 ≈ Jun 29 – Jul 5 · no 15-year historyW28 ≈ Jul 6–12 · no 15-year historyW29 ≈ Jul 13–19 · no 15-year historyW30 ≈ Jul 20–26 · no 15-year historyW31 ≈ Jul 27 – Aug 2 · no 15-year historyW32 ≈ Aug 3–9 · no 15-year historyW33 ≈ Aug 10–16 · no 15-year historyW34 ≈ Aug 17–23 · no 15-year historyW35 ≈ Aug 24–30 · no 15-year historyW36 ≈ Aug 31 – Sep 6 · no 15-year historyW37 ≈ Sep 7–13 · no 15-year historyW38 ≈ Sep 14–20 · no 15-year historyW39 ≈ Sep 21–27 · no 15-year historyW40 ≈ Sep 28 – Oct 4 · no 15-year historyW41 ≈ Oct 5–11 · no 15-year historyW42 ≈ Oct 12–18 · no 15-year historyW43 ≈ Oct 19–25 · no 15-year historyW44 ≈ Oct 26 – Nov 1 · no 15-year historyW45 ≈ Nov 2–8 · no 15-year historyW46 ≈ Nov 9–15 · no 15-year historyW47 ≈ Nov 16–22 · no 15-year historyW48 ≈ Nov 23–29 · no 15-year historyW49 ≈ Nov 30 – Dec 6 · no 15-year historyW50 ≈ Dec 7–13 · no 15-year historyW51 ≈ Dec 14–20 · no 15-year historyW52 ≈ Dec 21–27 · no 15-year historyW53 ≈ Dec 28 – Jan 3 · no 15-year historyW1W5W9W13W17W21W25W29W33W37W41W45W49W53JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
💡 Click any weekday cell to break it down year-by-year.
Weekday — Monday–Friday, same certification bar as months
In plain EnglishDay-of-week tendency (e.g. a Monday effect), shown descriptively — most days will show nothing.
No weekdays populated for this entity yet — not hidden, just not computed/covered.
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Jan — script -0.24σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Jan residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.35σ
2025-0.40σ
2024+0.02σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Jan: -0.24σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Feb — script -0.29σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Feb residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.09σ
2025-0.77σ
2024-0.03σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Feb: -0.29σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Mar — script -0.22σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Mar residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.97σ
2025+0.36σ
2024-0.07σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Mar: -0.22σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: M-FYEND · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Apr — script +0.27σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Apr residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.60σ
2025+0.08σ
2024+0.14σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Apr: +0.27σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · May — script -0.04σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's May residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.11σ
2025+0.09σ
2024-0.09σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis May: -0.04σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Jun — script +0.15σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Jun residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.00σ
2025+0.07σ
2024+0.39σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Jun: +0.15σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Jul — script -0.07σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Jul residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.00σ
2025-0.35σ
2024+0.15σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Jul: -0.07σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Aug — script -0.16σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Aug residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.10σ
2025-0.32σ
2024-0.05σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Aug: -0.16σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Sep — script -0.19σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Sep residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.49σ
2025-0.10σ
2024+0.02σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Sep: -0.19σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Oct — script -0.62σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Oct residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-1.46σ
2025+0.12σ
2024-0.51σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Oct: -0.62σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Nov — script -0.11σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Nov residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.11σ
2024-0.11σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Nov: -0.11σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Dec — script -0.19σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Dec residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.19σ
2024-0.20σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Dec: -0.19σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: M-YEAREND · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 1 — year by year — script +0.27σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 1 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.54σ
2025+0.28σ
2024+0.01σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 1: +0.27σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 2 — year by year — script -0.70σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 2 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.85σ
2025-1.35σ
2024+0.10σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 2: -0.70σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 3 — year by year — script -0.23σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 3 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.10σ
2025-0.32σ
2024-0.26σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 3: -0.23σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 4 — year by year — script -0.76σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 4 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-1.05σ
2025-0.67σ
2024-0.56σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 4: -0.76σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: M-BUDGET-RUNUP · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 5 — year by year — script +0.17σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 5 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.20σ
2025+0.12σ
2024+0.60σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 5: +0.17σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: M-BUDGET-RUNUP · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 6 — year by year — script +0.25σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 6 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.87σ
2025-0.08σ
2024-0.05σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 6: +0.25σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: M-BUDGET-DAY · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,variance
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 7 — year by year — script -0.56σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 7 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.24σ
2025-1.58σ
2024+0.15σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 7: -0.56σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 8 — year by year — script -0.01σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 8 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.03σ
2025-0.09σ
2024+0.08σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 8: -0.01σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 9 — year by year — script -0.67σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 9 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.39σ
2025-1.61σ
2024+0.00σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 9: -0.67σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 10 — year by year — script -0.21σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 10 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-1.14σ
2025+0.67σ
2024-0.14σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 10: -0.21σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 11 — year by year — script -1.02σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 11 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-1.45σ
2025-0.68σ
2024-0.94σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 11: -1.02σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 12 — year by year — script +0.44σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 12 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.17σ
2025+1.37σ
2024+0.13σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 12: +0.44σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 13 — year by year — script -0.09σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 13 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.59σ
2025-0.11σ
2024+0.44σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 13: -0.09σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 14 — year by year — script -0.25σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 14 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.23σ
2025-1.04σ
2024+0.53σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 14: -0.25σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 15 — year by year — script +0.46σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 15 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+1.70σ
2025-0.22σ
2024-0.08σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 15: +0.46σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 16 — year by year — script +0.65σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 16 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.71σ
2025+1.93σ
2024-0.69σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 16: +0.65σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 17 — year by year — script +0.03σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 17 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.46σ
2025+0.05σ
2024+0.49σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 17: +0.03σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 18 — year by year — script +0.07σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 18 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.08σ
2025+0.05σ
2024+0.07σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 18: +0.07σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 19 — year by year — script -0.30σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 19 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.43σ
2025-0.59σ
2024-0.75σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 19: -0.30σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 20 — year by year — script +0.41σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 20 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.82σ
2025+1.43σ
2024+0.63σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 20: +0.41σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 21 — year by year — script +0.06σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 21 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.03σ
2025-0.26σ
2024+0.39σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 21: +0.06σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 22 — year by year — script -0.27σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 22 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.08σ
2025-0.13σ
2024-0.59σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 22: -0.27σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 23 — year by year — script +0.25σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 23 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.33σ
2025+0.27σ
2024+0.81σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 23: +0.25σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 24 — year by year — script +0.02σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 24 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.05σ
2025-0.47σ
2024+0.47σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 24: +0.02σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 25 — year by year — script +0.16σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 25 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.56σ
2025-0.03σ
2024-0.06σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 25: +0.16σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 26 — year by year — script +0.21σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 26 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.17σ
2025+0.55σ
2024+0.26σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 26: +0.21σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 27 — year by year — script +0.10σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 27 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.11σ
2025-0.22σ
2024+0.41σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 27: +0.10σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 28 — year by year — script -0.18σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 28 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.05σ
2025-0.50σ
2024+0.00σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 28: -0.18σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 29 — year by year — script -0.27σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 29 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.15σ
2025-0.16σ
2024-0.49σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 29: -0.27σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 30 — year by year — script -0.23σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 30 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.60σ
2025-0.51σ
2024+0.43σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 30: -0.23σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 31 — year by year — script -0.08σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 31 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.51σ
2025-0.60σ
2024-0.14σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 31: -0.08σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 32 — year by year — script -0.25σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 32 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.20σ
2025-0.47σ
2024-0.49σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 32: -0.25σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 33 — year by year — script +0.01σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 33 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.24σ
2025+0.19σ
2024+0.08σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 33: +0.01σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 34 — year by year — script +0.12σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 34 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.18σ
2025+0.23σ
2024+0.32σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 34: +0.12σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 35 — year by year — script -0.30σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 35 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.11σ
2025-1.00σ
2024+0.23σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 35: -0.30σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 36 — year by year — script -0.17σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 36 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.42σ
2025+0.30σ
2024-0.40σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 36: -0.17σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 37 — year by year — script +0.04σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 37 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.55σ
2025+0.27σ
2024+0.40σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 37: +0.04σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 38 — year by year — script +0.07σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 38 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.16σ
2025+0.20σ
2024+0.18σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 38: +0.07σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 39 — year by year — script -0.44σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 39 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.38σ
2025-1.13σ
2024+0.20σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 39: -0.44σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 40 — year by year — script -0.78σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 40 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-1.24σ
2025+0.32σ
2024-1.41σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 40: -0.78σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 41 — year by year — script +0.09σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 41 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.20σ
2024-0.01σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 41: +0.09σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 42 — year by year — script -0.09σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 42 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.13σ
2024-0.30σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 42: -0.09σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 43 — year by year — script -0.64σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 43 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.03σ
2024-1.25σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 43: -0.64σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
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Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 44 — year by year — script +0.09σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 44 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.14σ
2024+0.32σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 44: +0.09σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
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Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 45 — year by year — script -0.39σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 45 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.46σ
2024-0.32σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 45: -0.39σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
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Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 46 — year by year — script -0.48σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 46 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025+0.20σ
2024-1.15σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 46: -0.48σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
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Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 47 — year by year — script +0.02σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 47 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.25σ
2024+0.28σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 47: +0.02σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
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Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 48 — year by year — script +0.24σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 48 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.00σ
2024+0.47σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 48: +0.24σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
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Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 49 — year by year — script +0.15σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 49 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.31σ
2024+0.62σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 49: +0.15σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
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Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 50 — year by year — script -0.18σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 50 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.30σ
2024-0.06σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 50: -0.18σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
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Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 51 — year by year — script -0.77σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 51 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.23σ
2024-1.31σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 51: -0.77σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Week 52 — year by year — script +0.02σ over 2 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Week 52 residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2025-0.02σ
2024+0.06σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Week 52: +0.02σ
Only 2 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Mon — year by year — script -0.13σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Mon residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.27σ
2025-0.09σ
2024-0.01σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Mon: -0.13σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Tue — year by year — script -0.22σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Tue residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.13σ
2025-0.20σ
2024-0.33σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Tue: -0.22σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Wed — year by year — script +0.17σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Wed residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026+0.26σ
2025+0.21σ
2024+0.04σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Wed: +0.17σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Thu — year by year — script -0.16σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Thu residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.36σ
2025-0.11σ
2024-0.01σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Thu: -0.16σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: F-EXPIRY · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,variance
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Behind the script · Nifty Total Market · Fri — year by year — script -0.20σ over 3 years, reported, not gated
In plain EnglishThe consensus shows the average year. Here is every year's Fri residual, newest first — the dispersion the single number hides. A run of similar bars = a real tendency; one or two outliers carrying it = not one.
2026-0.30σ
2025-0.47σ
2024+0.16σ
Why this reads grey
chance’s 95% reachthis Fri: -0.20σ
Only 3 years of history — too few to test a stable seasonal read (needs ≥15). Shown for completeness, not assessed.
mechanism: — · gates: N<15,null-inside-band,fdr-fail,sign-unstable,no-mechanism
← close
Read this honestly:
  • Not a signal. Nothing here is tradeable net of STT + market impact — expectancy ≈ 0 (PEAD, the closest cousin, net-failed 0.10 return/vol vs 0.85 buy-and-hold). Descriptive calendar context, never a ranking or an entry.
  • Point-in-time. Every residual and z is computed only from data knowable that year (annual expanding fit); the frozen hypothesis family was sha256-hashed before any number was computed (2882ccbc6c1e…).
  • Certification is strict. A month is coloured only if it clears two placebo nulls, family-wide FDR, ≥15 years, out-of-sample sign-stability, AND a pledged India mechanism. Most cells grey out — that winnowing is the point.
  • Sector residuals strip the Nifty 500 move; the index itself is its own baseline. Membership for sub-drills is current-tag (survivorship) where it applies.