Strategy reference

Harmonic Patterns (XABCD / PRZ) — Canonical Reference

Status: LIVE (descriptive) · backtest-GATED · Governing decision(s): (harmonic lane) · (charting-overhaul parent) · Reconciled: 2026-07-11 .

Origin: 📚 CLASSIC (Gartley/Carney XABCD harmonic-pattern literature) + 🏠 HOUSE implementation (PIT detector + PRZ scoring on our archive). See the origins notes.

Charter: the single canonical definition + current-state reference for the harmonic lens. Deep design: the harmonic pattern design notes. Numbers live in code + the calculations and weights notesh; this page never restates a ratio constant — it links.

One-line definition: Harmonic patterns are five-point (X-A-B-C-D) price structures whose leg lengths match a named Fibonacci-ratio template (Gartley · Bat · Butterfly · Crab · Deep Crab), completing at a D-point inside a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) where the prior swing is expected to reverse.

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1. What it is

A harmonic pattern reads a run of price as five alternating swing pivots — X → A → B → C → D — and asks whether the four legs between them fall into the Fibonacci proportions of a *named* pattern. When they do, the D-point marks a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ): the price cluster where the pattern "completes" and the market is expected to turn. Direction is read off D — a D that prints a swing low is BULL (reverses up); a D that prints a swing high is BEAR (reverses down).

Our implementation surfaces two states:

• CONFIRMED — all five pivots X-A-B-C-D are locked (D has printed); a reversal *candidate*.
• FORMING — X-A-B-C have printed and D has not; the scanner projects the PRZ where a valid D would complete (the "catch it forming, down the stream" ask from the chart-redesign §13 audit).

It is a geometry / selection lens, not a trading trigger. Detection is the cheap part; whether any pattern × timeframe carries a real forward edge on our universe is a separate, backtest-gated question (§4).

2. Our variation vs. the standard technique

Standard harmonic trading (Gartley/Scott Carney lineage) is a *manual, discretionary* craft: an analyst eyeballs an XABCD, drops Fibonacci retracement/extension tools on the legs, and trades a reversal off the PRZ. Ratios, tolerances, and which patterns "count" vary by author.

Our variation turns that into an automated, mechanized, universe-wide scanner with an explicit honesty gate:

• Auto-detected XABCD, not hand-drawn — pivots come from the shared Wolfe pivot engine (ATR-zigzag on split-adjusted daily bars), and the four legs are matched against a codified ratio-template library.
• Codified tolerance bands + a fit score. Each pattern is a set of acceptance bands (AB/BC/CD and the defining AD ratio) plus an ideal per leg; a match requires all four bands simultaneously, and a 0–1 fit score measures closeness to the ideals. Exact bands live in code (HARMONICS in the harmonic patterns code) and the design-doc ratio table — this page never restates them.
• A FORMING/PRZ projection. Beyond confirmed patterns we project the reversal zone for an in-progress X-A-B-C — the differentiating "catch it forming" capability.
• Descriptive, read BY SIDE. The scanner tags each row edge (BULL) or tail (BEAR) from the reliability backtest, and it is labelled "not a buy/sell signal" on the surface itself.
• Deliberate scope discipline. v1 encodes only the *five well-agreed* templates. Cypher / Shark / Three-Drives use different leg references (XC, 0-X-A-B-C, three symmetric drives) whose published ratios vary by source — deferred rather than encode a dubious template that would poison the backtest. Elliott is deferred entirely (subjective auto-counting).

Where it sits in the stack: it is one lens in the charting overhaul (the "CPR Spine" chart), a sibling to the Wolfe Wave lane — it reuses Wolfe's pivot machinery read-only and draws onto the same shared candle chart as an optional overlay chip, so CPR / Accumulation / MA / RS / Wolfe all coexist with it.

3. How it works (methodology)

daily OHLC (NSE bhav, split-adjusted)
        │  (optional W/M resample — resample_series)
        ▼
ATR-zigzag pivots  ──(reused read-only from the wolfe code)──►  alternating H/L swings
        ▼
slide a 5-pivot window (X,A,B,C,D)
        ▼
structure gate  →  leg ratios AB · BC · CD · AD  →  match to a named template (all 4 bands)
        ▼
   ┌── CONFIRMED (D locked)         → fit score, RSI at D, direction from D
   └── FORMING  (X-A-B-C, no D)     → project PRZ = cluster of candidate D levels

1. Pivot / swing detection. stock_series builds a split-adjusted OHLC series; ATR-zigzag (or fractal) reduces it to alternating swing highs/lows — the same primitives the Wolfe lane uses.

2. XABCD legs. For each consecutive 5-pivot window a structure gate enforces strict H/L alternation and the monotonic frame (B is a real XA retrace, C sits between, D is the turn), then the four leg ratios are computed: AB, BC, CD, and AD — where AD (D's position vs the XA leg) is the *defining* ratio.

3. Fib-ratio matching. Each candidate is tested against every template's acceptance bands; a match requires all four bands at once (the ratios are mutually constrained, which is what forces a *real* pattern). The best-fitting template wins, scored by mean closeness to its ideal AB/CD/AD.

4. PRZ projection (forming). For an in-progress X-A-B-C, only templates whose AB the leg already satisfies can still complete; each projects a candidate D from its AD ratio, and the cluster of those levels becomes the PRZ (lo/hi/mid).

Ratio constants are NOT restated here. They live in code (HARMONICS in the harmonic patterns code) and, illustratively, in the harmonic pattern design notes If the two ever disagree, code is authoritative (a couple of AD bands were widened slightly in code vs the design table — see §8).

4. Status, validation & honesty fence

LIVE but DESCRIPTIVE and backtest-GATED. The scanner and the chart overlay are in production; the *edge claim* is not. Consistent with project doctrine, the harmonic lens is a SELECTION shape — tail-carried, not a validated fundable book (the same characterization the strategy ledger applies to Wolfe/Ignition, and that PEAD-delivery was grouped into).

The reliability gate (the harmonic backtest code, run 2026-06-28 on a survivorship-inclusive universe, 1,052 confirmed patterns, entry lagged 5 bars after D, signed by reversal direction, vs same-horizon directional drift) found:

• BULL harmonics show a *modest, real, fit-graded* selection edge that beats long-drift at every horizon (Gartley-bull strongest), and the ratio-fit score stratifies outcomes (higher fit → better) — the same shape as Wolfe's Q stratification.
• BEAR harmonics ≈ short-drift — no edge beyond drift; reliable only when the broad tape is weak → ⚠ tail/regime, not a standalone edge.

The full result table and per-pattern breakdown live in the harmonic pattern design notes — this page links rather than restates.

Honesty fence (binding):

• Do not claim a validated return edge. Medians are a few percent, the D-confirmation timing carries the same look-ahead caveat as the Wolfe/Ignition backtests (mitigated, not eliminated, by the 5-bar lag), and no fundable book net of realistic cost is claimed.
• The lens is surfaced to sharpen the eye (where to look, and by which side), never as a mechanical buy/sell trigger. It stays descriptive until — and unless — a leak-free, cost-aware construction clears the gate.

5. Where it lives (code · routes · DB · timers)

Code (all NEW, harmonic-lane-owned; reuse the wolfe code READ-ONLY):

Reused from the wolfe code (read-only): zigzag, atr, fractal_pivots, stock_series, rsi, scan_universe, Pivot.

Routes:

• GET /dash/harmonic — the scanner page (reads the nightly snapshot for the daily TF; live fallback; W/M is always a live multi-TF scan). Rows click through to /dash/stock.
• GET /dash/harmonic/overlay?sym=… — JSON of a symbol's confirmed + forming patterns for the candle-chart overlay.
• Mounting: harmonic_view.router is nested into the already-mounted wolfe_view router via router.include_router(...) — no the main code edit, committed, survives a redeploy (cleaner than the older in-place overlay hooks).

DB: table harmonic_signals — module-owned (CREATE-IF-NOT-EXISTS inside the harmonic signals code; the db code / SCHEMA_BASE untouched, same isolation pattern as Wolfe's wolfe_signals). Columns: universe, sym, pattern, dir, state (CONFIRMED|FORMING), score, cmp, d_price, prz_lo, prz_hi, in_zone, rsi_d, age, tag (edge|tail), scan_date, computed_at. Written as a clean per-universe snapshot (DELETE-then-INSERT); indexed on (universe, in_zone DESC, age ASC).

Timer: hermes-harmonic-scan.timer runs python -m src.automation.harmonic_signals --persist-scan nightly Mon–Fri 16:10 UTC (after bhav → signals and the Wolfe scan). No LLM in the scheduled path (Guardrail #3 compliant).

6. Data & provenance

• Source: split-adjusted daily OHLC from the NSE bhav copy archive (via wolfe.stock_series → bhavcopy_rows / stock_signals). A PRIMARY source — no vendor or Screener.in dependency (Guardrail #8 compliant).
• Universe: nifty500 for the live scanner; survivorship-inclusive (top-liquid incl. delisted) for the backtest gate, so the reliability read is not a survivor mirage.
• Point-in-time: a zigzag pivot only confirms *after* price has swung away, so detection introduces no look-ahead beyond what the pivot detector already needs; the backtest adds a 5-bar entry lag after D (non-repaint). Forming-PRZ dates are re-snapped onto the current bars so overlays survive the D/W/M/Q resample.
• Multi-TF: detection is validated daily; W/M detection resamples the daily series (resample_series) and is treated as a hand-off pending its own re-gate (§9).

7. Terminology canon

• XABCD — the five swing pivots that define the pattern. X = origin; A/B/C = intermediate swings; D = the completion / reversal point.
• Legs & ratios — AB, BC, CD, and AD (the *defining* ratio: where D sits relative to the XA leg). Exact acceptance bands + ideals are in code; not restated here.
• PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) — the projected price cluster where a still-forming pattern's D would complete a valid template; the "catch it forming" band (lo/hi/mid).
• Pattern family — Gartley · Bat · Butterfly · Crab · Deep Crab (v1). Cypher / Shark / Three-Drives deferred (source-varying ratios); Elliott deferred entirely.
• State — CONFIRMED (five pivots locked, D printed) vs FORMING (X-A-B-C printed, D projected into the PRZ).
• Direction / side — read off D: D a swing low ⇒ BULL; D a swing high ⇒ BEAR. Surfaced as tag = edge (BULL) / tail (BEAR), the backtest's by-side read.
• Fit score — 0–1 closeness of the AB/CD/AD ratios to their template ideals; stratifies outcomes in the backtest.

Disambiguation — Harmonic vs. Wolfe Wave. Both are five-point geometries built on the same pivot engine, but they are *different techniques*: Wolfe Wave is defined by trendline/channel *symmetry* and an EPA (estimated price & arrival) target line; Harmonic is defined by Fibonacci leg-ratio templates + a PRZ. Do not conflate the two. See the sibling canonical reference: the wolfe wave notes.

8. Decision & session history

• (2026-06-24) — Charting overhaul: build our own chart on lightweight-charts ("inspired, not a copy"), the "CPR Spine" signature + four-family control bar. Its §13 capability audit anticipated a dedicated harmonic lane.
• (2026-06-24) — Harmonic patterns = a NEW strategy lane (auto-detect FORMING patterns + screen + backtest), reusing the Wolfe engine; harmonics-first, Elliott deferred; backtest reliability BEFORE trusting.
• (2026-06-28) — Lane G: scaffolded the detector + nightly scanner + the reliability benchmark; backtest run on the VPS (1,052 confirmed patterns) recorded the by-side read (BULL modest edge / BEAR tail). Nightly timer enabled; 143 setups persisted (12 in-zone).
• (2026-06-29) — Lane G2 : surfaced in the live UI — /dash/harmonic scanner + the chart Harmonic chip — browser-verified LIVE (MARICO Gartley-bear + CANHLIFE forming Gartley/PRZ drawn on candles; CPR/Accumulation/Wolfe/RS coexist; zero console errors), with zero frozen-file edits. Cross-linked from the Wolfe scanner (no orphan).
• Later: the harmonic chart overlay gained a ◀▶ stepper + pattern-name label .
• Nav (resolved): per the orphaned-screen doctrine, Wolfe/Harmonic stay chart overlays and also get a market-wide Markets "Patterns" scanner nav lens — so /dash/harmonic is reachable via the nav, the Wolfe cross-link, and direct URL (no longer an orphan; the design §5 "nav entry" hand-off is closed).

9. Open items / frozen work

• THE GATE (governing open item): the harmonic edge stays DESCRIPTIVE until a leak-free, cost-aware construction beats its directional baseline net of cost. Same posture as Wolfe — surface the selection, never sell a book.
• Multi-TF detection (W/M): the engine resamples and the scanner/overlay carry a tf param, but the *validated* backtest is daily-only — true W/M needs weekly/monthly bars fed to detection + a re-gate.
• Drawing persistence → SQLite: overlay drawings persist in localStorage (per-browser); a per-user × symbol table + save/load endpoints would make them cross-device.
• The moat (chart §13): fuse the harmonic D-zone with proprietary DVPT-accumulation + RS + CPR confluence — a pattern completing where institutions are accumulating — as a confluence column on the scanner.
• Bull-focus: a BULL-only screen + tighter score gate (the edge is bull-side).
• Template expansion: Cypher / Shark once specs are pinned · Three-Drives · a strategy_registry card reading harmonic_signals for /dash/strategist.

10. Sources of truth

• Design of record: the harmonic pattern design notes — ratio-template table (§2), the reliability benchmark (§3), scanner/UI (§4–§5b), open/next (§5).
• Strategy ledger: the strategy ledger — Tier-3 built analytical lenses ("Wolfe / Ignition / theme tags"); the Wolfe/harmonic SELECTION-shape, tail-carried characterization.
• Canonical numbers: the calculations and weights notesh — the XABCD ratio bands (HARMONICS) + PRZ projection (_FIB_CD) are now folded in there (explains the code; code stays canonical).
• Code: the harmonic patterns code · the harmonic signals code · the harmonic backtest code · the harmonic view code.
• Memory: charting-overhaul-cpr-spine (harmonic lane built + surfaced, XABCD+PRZ, descriptive).
• Sibling geometry lens: the wolfe wave notes.

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